Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $31.8500 (-1.61%) ($31.8000 - $32.0500) on Thu. Aug. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $31.8500(-1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $31.93
5 Day Moving Average   $32.15(-0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.15(-0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.93(-0.25%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20130915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2013	31.21	31.93	32.15	32.15			31.85(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-5	38	7.04	37%	0.06	15.4	0.75%	0	-0.3	55	0
2	Aug_14_2013	31.19	31.94	32.18	32.21			32.37(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	6	64	5.3	40%	0.06	23.1	0.72%	0	1.5	69	0
3	Aug_13_2013	31.17	31.92	32.12	32.14			32.4(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	4	57	4.72	40%	0.06	28.4	0.72%	0	1.7	70	0
4	Aug_12_2013	31.15	31.9	32.06	32.09			32.18(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	13	-10000	-2	58	4.98	40%	0.06	37.8	0.72%	0	1.1	71	0
5	Aug_9_2013	31.13	31.89	32.01	32.11			31.97(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-3	66	3.67	40%	0.06	57.7	0.71%	0	0.3	63	0

6	Aug_8_2013	31.11	31.88	31.99	32.15			32.14(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	1	83	5.06	42%	0.06	76.9	0.71%	0	1	70	0
7	Aug_7_2013	31.09	31.87	31.94	32.14			32.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	5	75	5.25	42%	0.06	89	0.72%	0	0.6	50	0
8	Aug_6_2013	31.07	31.84	31.9	32.08			32.11(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	57	4.69	42%	0.06	87.5	0.72%	0	1	49	0
9	Aug_5_2013	31.05	31.8	31.84	32.03			32.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	11	38	4.37	42%	0.06	83.5	0.71%	0	1.5	53	0
10	Aug_2_2013	31.03	31.74	31.76	31.91			32.21(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	9	9	4.43	48%	0.06	80.6	0.72%	0	1.5	52	0

11	Aug_1_2013	31.01	31.69	31.68	31.81			32.07(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	8	-17	7.75	46%	0.06	84.8	0.74%	0	1.3	52	0
12	Jul_31_2013	30.99	31.64	31.67	31.72			31.73(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	2	-30	6.84	44%	0.03	76.2	0.73%	0	0.3	44	0
13	Jul_30_2013	30.98	31.6	31.69	31.7			31.84(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	7	-17	5.56	46%	0.06	71.9	0.74%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Jul_29_2013	30.96	31.54	31.71	31.62			31.68(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	2	-14	3.98	49%	0.03	66.9	0.75%	0	0.4	62	0
15	Jul_26_2013	30.95	31.49	31.74	31.59			31.73(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	5	4	6.03	49%	0.06	58.7	0.77%	0	0.5	66	0

16	Jul_25_2013	30.93	31.45	31.76	31.53			31.64(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10000	-6	8	4.83	49%	0.03	53	0.77%	0	0.4	64	0
17	Jul_24_2013	30.92	31.4	31.79	31.6			31.62(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-7	38	5.79	49%	0.06	45.3	0.77%	0	0.4	68	0
18	Jul_23_2013	30.9	31.34	31.79	31.69			31.41(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-11	64	4.58	52%	0.03	34.3	0.76%	0	0.1	68	0
19	Jul_22_2013	30.89	31.28	31.77	31.82			31.54(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-8	96	5.04	52%	0.06	25.5	0.77%	0	0.4	73	0
20	Jul_19_2013	30.87	31.23	31.74	31.92			31.45(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	26	-10000	-7	124	13.6	52%	0.06	22.6	0.78%	0	0.4	75	0

21	Jul_18_2013	30.85	31.2	31.72	32.01			31.99(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	1	163	4.27	53%	0.06	21.6	0.74%	0	1.3	87	0
22	Jul_17_2013	30.83	31.17	31.62	32			32.07(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	-10000	12	176	5.48	49%	0.1	24.9	0.75%	0	1.5	91	0
23	Jul_16_2013	30.8	31.15	31.5	31.86			32.05(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	13	160	4.97	51%	0.1	22	0.8%	0	1.6	92	0
24	Jul_15_2013	30.77	31.13	31.37	31.7			32.02(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	-10000	13	152	4.55	48%	0.07	14.4	0.82%	0	1.6	93	0
25	Jul_12_2013	30.75	31.09	31.22	31.53			31.93(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	11	131	7.21	48%		3	0.84%	0	1.6	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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