Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $32.0200 (0.28%) ($31.8300 - $32.0500) on Mon. Jul. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $32.0200(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.7(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.37(2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.13(2.86%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2013	30.77	31.13	31.37	31.7			32.02(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	-10000	13	152	4.55	48%	0.07	14.4	0.82%	0	1.6	93	0
2	Jul_12_2013	30.75	31.09	31.22	31.53			31.93(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	11	131	7.21	48%	0.1	3	0.84%	0	1.6	76	0
3	Jul_11_2013	30.72	31.07	31.1	31.38			31.91(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	-10000	14	111	10.32	48%	0.07	-3.7	0.85%	0	1.7	66	0
4	Jul_10_2013	30.7	31.07	30.96	31.2			31.38(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	10	70	8.84	48%	0.07	-15.9	0.82%	0	0.7	44	0
5	Jul_9_2013	30.68	31.03	30.86	31.08			31.28(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	8	22	12.47	50%	0	-25.2	0.85%	0	0.5	37	0

6	Jul_8_2013	30.68	31.05	30.75	30.97			31.16(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	8	-24	7.83	50%	0.07	-29.8	0.85%	0	0.2	41	0
7	Jul_5_2013	30.66	31.07	30.68	30.86			31.18(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	7	-57	14.2	48%	0.07	-34.7	0.85%	0	0.2	46	0
8	Jul_3_2013	30.64	31.08	30.64	30.77			30.98(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	-10000	6	-87	11.6	47%	0.03	-45.1	0.85%	0	-0.2	40	0
9	Jul_2_2013	30.63	31.1	30.68	30.69			30.8(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	7	-92	14.5	47%	0.03	-51.2	0.85%	0	-0.6	44	0
10	Jul_1_2013	30.62	31.14	30.78	30.6			30.75(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	9	-95	9.58	47%	0.03	-56.6	0.85%	0	-0.7	41	0

11	Jun_28_2013	30.61	31.2	30.86	30.48			30.59(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	1	-116	9.15	47%	0.03	-61.8	0.86%	0	-1.1	35	0
12	Jun_27_2013	30.6	31.25	30.94	30.47			30.72(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-34	-10000	-2	-128	6.54	47%	0.03	-64.2	0.86%	0	-1	38	0
13	Jun_26_2013	30.59	31.31	31.03	30.49			30.57(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-15	-131	20.47	47%	0.03	-63.3	0.85%	0	-1.4	41	0
14	Jun_25_2013	30.58	31.38	31.1	30.69			30.39(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10000	-23	-114	8.26	47%	0.03	-58.3	0.85%	0	-1.9	40	0
15	Jun_24_2013	30.57	31.45	31.21	30.99			30.14(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-38	-10000	-23	-82	11.19	47%	0	-50.7	0.85%	0	-2.8	33	0

16	Jun_21_2013	30.57	31.54	31.39	31.3			30.51(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-20	-10000	-13	-42	12.11	47%	0.03	-49.5	0.84%	0	-2.9	34	0
17	Jun_20_2013	30.56	31.6	31.52	31.47			30.85(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-14	-10000	-12	-19	15.78	49%	0.07	-53.2	0.84%	0	-3	40	0
18	Jun_19_2013	30.54	31.65	31.59	31.63			31.55(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	-10000	5	-4	11.22	53%	0.07	-48.3	0.79%	0	-0.5	43	0
19	Jun_18_2013	30.52	31.68	31.57	31.57			31.92(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	0	-10000	7	-20	6.32	55%	0.1	-40.9	0.78%	0	1.1	51	0
20	Jun_17_2013	30.49	31.69	31.54	31.48			31.67(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-13	-10000	-3	-41	6.59	54%	0.07	-35.6	0.77%	0	-0.1	47	0

21	Jun_14_2013	30.47	31.71	31.55	31.51			31.38(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-6	-36	5.78	52%	0.07	-18.3	0.77%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Jun_13_2013	30.45	31.71	31.58	31.58			31.62(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	3	-25	7.61	52%	0.07	-5.3	0.77%	0	-0.5	48	0
23	Jun_12_2013	30.43	31.74	31.61	31.54			31.26(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-2	-28	8.95	50%	0.07	-6.6	0.76%	0	-2	41	0
24	Jun_11_2013	30.41	31.76	31.66	31.56			31.47(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-35	7.31	50%	0.03	0	0.75%	0	-1.3	37	0
25	Jun_10_2013	30.4	31.77	31.7	31.6			31.8(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-1	-37	6.39	52%		8.7	0.74%	0	0.1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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