Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 16, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $30.2400 (1.24%) ($30.0100 - $30.2800) on Tue. Apr. 16, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $30.2400(1.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.32(-0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.12(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.15(0.3%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2013	29.61	30.15		30.32			30.24(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	4	21	8.32	49%	0.03	10	0.74%	0	0.4	49	0
2	Apr_15_2013	29.6	30.14	30.12	30.32			29.87(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-2	4	-10000	0	17	16.42	45%	0.03	1.4	0.73%	0	-1.3	47	0
3	Apr_12_2013	29.59	30.14	30.14	30.28			30.37(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	12	20	5.75	50%	0.03	0	0.7%	0	1.1	54	0
4	Apr_11_2013	29.58	30.16	30.13	30.15			30.5(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	11	7	6.24	50%	0.07	-12.9	0.7%	0	1.6	61	0
5	Apr_10_2013	29.56	30.15	30.09	30.04			30.6(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.9	6	-10000	12	-13	10.55	50%	0.1	-28.6	0.7%	0	2.4	53	0

6	Apr_9_2013	29.53	30.13	30.09	29.91			30.07(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-39	5.97	44%	0.07	-51.8	0.67%	0	-0.4	48	0
7	Apr_8_2013	29.51	30.14	30.05	29.94			29.86(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-4	-39	6.32	41%	0.07	-32.1	0.66%	0	-1.6	42	0
8	Apr_5_2013	29.49	30.16	30.09	29.98			29.73(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-11	-36	7.01	41%	0.07	-11.3	0.66%	0	-2.7	39	0
9	Apr_4_2013	29.47	30.19	30.12	30.09			29.96(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-5	-30	5.64	44%	0.07	30.2	0.65%	0	-1.8	37	0
10	Apr_3_2013	29.45	30.2	30.15	30.14			29.95(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-7	-20	8.47	44%	0.07	62.5	0.66%	0	-2.1	45	0

11	Apr_2_2013	29.43	30.21	30.15	30.21			30.19(0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10000	2	-8	4.22	57%	0.07	130.3	0.65%	0	-0.2	49	0
12	Apr_1_2013	29.41	30.2	30.18	30.19			30.07(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-2	-14	4.63	57%	0.14	106.5	0.78%	0	-0.9	43	0
13	Mar_28_2013	29.37	30.18	30.19	30.21			30.27(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	5	-10	7.43	58%	0.07	72.9	0.8%	0	0.4	49	0
14	Mar_27_2013	29.35	30.15	30.19	30.15			30.21(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-16	7.23	58%	0.03	67.1	0.81%	0	0.3	50	0
15	Mar_26_2013	29.34	30.13	30.21	30.17			30.29(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-10	4.22	58%	0.03	62.2	0.81%	0	0.6	54	0

16	Mar_25_2013	29.33	30.09	30.2	30.15			30.1(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-2	-14	4.58	58%	0.03	43.4	0.81%	0	0	48	0
17	Mar_22_2013	29.32	30.05	30.23	30.17			30.17(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-1	3	3.41	58%	0.03	38.7	0.81%	0	0.4	63	0
18	Mar_21_2013	29.31	30.03	30.24	30.18			29.98(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-7	14	5.8	54%	0.03	34.2	0.82%	0	-0.1	62	0
19	Mar_20_2013	29.3	30	30.27	30.27			30.32(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	44	7.31	57%	0.03	34.2	0.82%	0	0.9	74	0
20	Mar_19_2013	29.29	29.96	30.25	30.25			30.17(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-2	51	7.28	57%	0.03	29.2	0.82%	0	0.6	68	0

21	Mar_18_2013	29.28	29.95	30.26	30.27			30.21(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-2	71	6.17	60%	0.03	30.8	0.83%	0	0.7	75	0
22	Mar_15_2013	29.27	29.93	30.22	30.3			30.2(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-2	85	9.86	62%	0.07	31.7	0.85%	0	0.7	78	0
23	Mar_14_2013	29.25	29.91	30.17	30.32			30.45(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	4	92	5.76	60%	0.03	35.9	0.85%	0	1.5	67	0
24	Mar_13_2013	29.24	29.87	30.09	30.27			30.23(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	1	92	5.49	60%	0.03	38.2	0.86%	0	1.1	71	0
25	Mar_12_2013	29.23	29.85	30.04	30.26			30.25(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10000	2	96	4.85	60%		42.3	0.86%	0	1.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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