Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $30.2900 (0.2%) ($30.2000 - $30.3700) on Fri. Mar. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $30.2900(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.13(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.85(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.81(1.61%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2013	29.21	29.81	29.85	30.13			30.29(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	10	63	5.99	62%	0.03	47.9	0.87%	0	1.7	57	0
2	Mar_7_2013	29.2	29.78	29.79	30			30.23(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	9	45	5.33	62%	-0.03	43.7	0.88%	0	1.7	56	0
3	Mar_6_2013	29.21	29.75	29.7	29.88			30.16(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	7	18	7.17	62%	0	39.5	0.88%	0	1.7	53	0
4	Mar_5_2013	29.21	29.72	29.64	29.79			30.18(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	9	-10000	12	1	12.44	59%	0	36.5	0.88%	0	2.1	53	0
5	Mar_4_2013	29.21	29.72	29.61	29.64			29.77(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	8	-20	5	57%	0	18.3	0.88%	0	0.4	44	0

6	Mar_1_2013	29.21	29.68	29.6	29.64			29.68(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-10	-10000	0	-40	5.51	57%	0	14.9	0.87%	0	0	44	0
7	Feb_28_2013	29.21	29.67	29.61	29.54			29.63(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	5	-36	6.67	57%	-0.03	18.3	0.86%	0	-0.2	50	0
8	Feb_27_2013	29.22	29.65	29.63	29.48			29.69(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	2	-41	8.25	57%	0	1.4	0.87%	0	0.2	51	0
9	Feb_26_2013	29.22	29.65	29.65	29.46			29.44(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-9	-45	7.61	57%	-0.03	-2.6	0.86%	0	-0.9	46	0
10	Feb_25_2013	29.23	29.64	29.71	29.57			29.27(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-8	-19	8.08	57%	-0.07	10.3	0.86%	0	-1.6	52	0

11	Feb_22_2013	29.25	29.65	29.71	29.67			29.69(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-2	1	8.67	63%	-0.07	20.5	0.87%	0	0.2	50	0
12	Feb_21_2013	29.27	29.63	29.78	29.69			29.33(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-5	-10000	-9	8	16.63	61%	-0.03	22.2	0.86%	0	-1.3	51	0
13	Feb_20_2013	29.28	29.63	29.82	29.8			29.57(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	4	-10000	-5	31	6.66	61%	-0.07	45.7	0.85%	0	-0.3	57	0
14	Feb_19_2013	29.3	29.65	29.83	29.8			29.98(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	0	48	4.62	69%	-0.07	55.6	0.83%	0	1.4	64	0
15	Feb_15_2013	29.32	29.62	29.83	29.87			29.78(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-2	45	5.01	69%	-0.03	53.8	0.89%	0	0.7	61	0

16	Feb_14_2013	29.33	29.6	29.77	29.9			29.8(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-10000	2	60	6.37	66%	-0.03	56.4	0.89%	0	0.9	64	0
17	Feb_13_2013	29.34	29.58	29.73	29.87			29.88(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	3	61	9	66%	-0.03	51.3	0.9%	0	1.3	67	0
18	Feb_12_2013	29.35	29.54	29.68	29.83			29.89(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	3	47	5.37	66%	-0.07	44.9	0.91%	0	1.5	51	0
19	Feb_11_2013	29.37	29.52	29.63	29.79			29.99(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	10	46	6.44	66%	-0.03	40	0.91%	0	2.1	59	0
20	Feb_8_2013	29.38	29.49	29.57	29.66			29.93(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	3	27	9.13	63%	-0.07	29.7	0.91%	0	2.3	60	0

21	Feb_7_2013	29.4	29.47	29.51	29.62			29.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	-10000	4	21	9.93	57%	-0.07	27.8	0.92%	0	1.3	55	0
22	Feb_6_2013	29.42	29.46	29.51	29.56			29.67(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	4	13	7.44	57%	-0.07	7.4	0.98%	0	1.3	58	0
23	Feb_5_2013	29.44	29.44	29.47	29.5			29.68(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	6	-10000	3	15	9.63	57%	-0.07	9.8	0.98%	0	1.6	60	0
24	Feb_4_2013	29.46	29.43	29.47	29.45			29.34(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-1	10	10.88	56%	-0.1	35.4	0.97%	0	-0.6	49	0
25	Feb_1_2013	29.49	29.44	29.45	29.46			29.73(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	7	-10000	6	10	7.32	58%		64.6	0.97%	0	2.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.