Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $29.7300 (1.12%) ($29.5400 - $29.8000) on Fri. Feb. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $29.7300(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.46(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.45(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.44(0.99%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.48% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2013	29.49	29.44	29.45	29.46			29.73(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	7	-10000	6	10	7.32	58%	-0.03	64.6	0.97%	0	2.1	51	0
2	Jan_31_2013	29.5	29.43	29.42	29.38			29.4(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	2	-3	5.42	56%	-0.07	84.1	0.98%	0	-0.2	46	0
3	Jan_30_2013	29.52	29.45	29.41	29.35			29.35(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-6	-11	5.96	56%	-0.07	98	0.98%	0	-0.7	49	0
4	Jan_29_2013	29.54	29.43	29.41	29.35			29.44(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	0	-1	6.79	56%	-0.03	111.8	0.99%	0	0.1	53	0
5	Jan_28_2013	29.55	29.38	29.4	29.35			29.4(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1	-10000	0	-2	7.21	56%	-0.07	60.6	1%	0	0.1	49	0

6	Jan_25_2013	29.57	29.35	29.41	29.44			29.3(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	-2	-1	16.21	56%	-0.07	31.1	1%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	Jan_24_2013	29.59	29.32	29.44	29.47			29.27(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-1	1	13.38	56%	-0.03	21	1%	0	-0.1	41	0
8	Jan_23_2013	29.6	29.3	29.46	29.48			29.78(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	8	-2	9.49	58%	-0.03	17.7	0.98%	0	1.3	46	0
9	Jan_22_2013	29.61	29.26	29.46	29.36			29.47(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	1	-9	6.4	56%	-0.03	12.7	0.98%	0	0.6	65	0
10	Jan_18_2013	29.62	29.26	29.41	29.35			29.39(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	-3	8	7.74	50%	-0.03	16.2	1.01%	0	0.4	71	0

11	Jan_17_2013	29.63	29.26	29.42	29.39			29.43(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	6.35	50%	-0.03	22.2	1.02%	0	0.5	63	0
12	Jan_16_2013	29.64	29.25	29.43	29.41			29.31(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-1	48	8.72	52%	-0.03	27	1.02%	0	0.2	61	0
13	Jan_15_2013	29.65	29.23	29.48	29.43			29.21(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-2	67	8.08	52%	-0.07	30	1.04%	0	-0.1	57	0
14	Jan_14_2013	29.67	29.21	29.46	29.46			29.4(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-1	70	9.73	52%	-0.03	31.5	1.04%	0	0.5	58	0
15	Jan_11_2013	29.68	29.19	29.36	29.47			29.59(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	1	56	5.06	52%	-0.03	32.1	1.04%	0	1	52	0

16	Jan_10_2013	29.69	29.17	29.28	29.45			29.55(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	-1	43	9.74	52%	-0.03	36.6	1.04%	0	1	53	0
17	Jan_9_2013	29.7	29.15	29.19	29.47			29.4(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-5	31	11.6	50%	-0.03	42.5	1.03%	0	0.7	48	0
18	Jan_8_2013	29.71	29.12	29.14	29.55			29.35(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	6	41	5.57	48%	-0.07	45.7	1.05%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Jan_7_2013	29.73	29.09	29.1	29.45			29.46(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	14	39	7.69	48%	-0.03	34.6	1.05%	0	1	61	0
20	Jan_4_2013	29.74	29.06	29.08	29.23			29.5(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	11	20	6.83	48%	-0.03	15	1.05%	0	1.2	56	0

21	Jan_3_2013	29.75	29.02	29.06	29.06			29.62(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	12	5	9.79	48%	-0.03	0	1.05%	0	1.7	54	0
22	Jan_2_2013	29.76	28.99	29.03	28.88			29.81(3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.8	7	-10000	13	-10	15.04	48%	-0.03	-13.2	1.05%	0	2.5	56	0
23	Dec_31_2012	29.77	28.95	28.95	28.69			28.85(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-10	-10000	-1	-36	15.19	43%	-0.03	-35.6	0.96%	0	-0.4	51	0
24	Dec_28_2012	29.78	28.96	28.93	28.71			28.36(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-10000	-16	-43	8.25	39%	-0.07	-28	0.93%	0	-2.2	46	0
25	Dec_27_2012	29.8	29.01	29	28.92			28.68(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-9	-15	10.75	44%		6.3	0.93%	0	-1.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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