Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $28.7500 (-1%) ($28.5700 - $28.9800) on Wed. Dec. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $28.7500(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.03(-0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.93(-0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.53(0.77%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2012	29.8	28.53	28.93	29.03			28.75(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	25	-10000	-4	113	12.59	43%	0.03	2.3	0.95%	0	0.4	71	0
2	Dec_4_2012	29.79	28.53	28.9	29.09			29.04(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	3	131	10.66	44%	0	7.1	0.94%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Dec_3_2012	29.79	28.55	28.84	29.05			29.09(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	1	134	7.91	44%	0.03	6.6	0.94%	0	1	65	0
4	Nov_30_2012	29.78	28.55	28.7	29.03			29.13(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	4	122	6.3	42%	0.07	5.6	0.95%	0	1.2	65	0
5	Nov_29_2012	29.76	28.54	28.56	28.97			29.16(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	11	110	13.52	42%	0.03	3.8	0.96%	0	1.2	67	0

6	Nov_28_2012	29.75	28.52	28.42	28.82			29.02(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	11	79	11.27	42%	0	-10.1	0.95%	0	1	56	0
7	Nov_27_2012	29.75	28.52	28.32	28.67			28.85(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	6	36	10.75	42%	0.03	-20.7	0.95%	0	0.7	42	0
8	Nov_26_2012	29.74	28.52	28.25	28.59			28.98(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	20	13	8.07	42%	0	-34.1	0.95%	0	0.9	45	0
9	Nov_23_2012	29.74	28.51	28.16	28.32			28.85(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	18	-36	8.29	42%	0	-59.3	0.95%	0	0.7	46	0
10	Nov_21_2012	29.74	28.52	28.08	28.08			28.39(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10000	9	-98	10.1	39%	-0.03	-82.3	0.92%	0	-0.2	35	0

11	Nov_20_2012	29.75	28.57	28.09	27.96			28.3(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	4	-125	14.62	39%	-0.03	-92.6	0.92%	0	-0.5	43	0
12	Nov_19_2012	29.76	28.62	28.17	27.91			28.42(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-29	-10000	4	-128	10.98	39%	0	-93.6	0.92%	0	-0.3	42	0
13	Nov_16_2012	29.76	28.69	28.22	27.86			27.66(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-10	-149	8.67	36%	0	-93.8	0.85%	0	-1.7	32	0
14	Nov_15_2012	29.76	28.82	28.36	27.98			27.62(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-10000	-8	-134	8.95	36%	-0.03	-85.8	0.87%	0	-2	30	0
15	Nov_14_2012	29.77	28.96	28.53	28.08			27.78(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-10000	-12	-121	15.25	36%	0	-76.9	0.87%	0	-1.8	30	0

16	Nov_13_2012	29.77	29.08	28.64	28.23			28.06(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-19	-120	10.09	37%	0	-71.7	0.86%	0	-1.5	29	0
17	Nov_12_2012	29.77	29.18	28.74	28.46			28.2(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-15	-94	5.11	37%	0	-69.9	0.87%	0	-1.5	35	0
18	Nov_9_2012	29.77	29.26	28.82	28.65			28.24(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-11	-92	14.4	37%	0	-72.6	0.87%	0	-1.6	28	0
19	Nov_8_2012	29.77	29.36	28.9	28.79			28.11(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-42	-10000	-20	-107	9.46	37%	-0.03	-78.4	0.86%	0	-2.1	24	0
20	Nov_7_2012	29.78	29.46	29.01	29.04			28.52(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-6	-100	10.1	39%	0	-79.1	0.85%	0	-1.7	25	0

21	Nov_6_2012	29.78	29.57	29.01	29.11			29.25(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	4	-107	6.07	44%	0	-82.4	0.8%	0	-0.6	38	0
22	Nov_5_2012	29.78	29.64	29.11	29.06			29.12(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	4	-131	6.02	44%	0.03	-79.4	0.8%	0	-0.9	39	0
23	Nov_2_2012	29.77	29.74	29.19	29.02			28.96(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-1	-135	9.13	49%	0.03	-74.5	0.83%	0	-1.3	37	0
24	Nov_1_2012	29.76	29.83	29.32	29.03			29.34(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-31	-10000	3	-131	6.27	52%	0.03	-68.3	0.82%	0	-0.7	39	0
25	Oct_31_2012	29.75	29.91	29.42	28.99			28.87(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-11	-140	19.43	48%		-66.7	0.8%	0	-1.5	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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