Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 8, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $29.9600 (0.03%) ($29.8400 - $30.0400) on Wed. Aug. 8, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $29.9600(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(90%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.63(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.36(2.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.91(3.63%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2012	28.92	28.91	29.36	29.63			29.96(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	10	110	8.56	60%	0	46.9	1.12%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Aug_7_2012	28.92	28.82	29.18	29.47			29.95(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	8	82	7.69	60%	0	35.4	1.12%	0	2	63	0
3	Aug_6_2012	28.92	28.73	29	29.34			29.75(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	8	67	11.32	60%	0	27.6	1.12%	0	2	67	0
4	Aug_3_2012	28.92	28.67	28.87	29.21			29.54(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	5	57	8.19	56%	0	22.9	1.15%	0	2	66	0
5	Aug_2_2012	28.92	28.62	28.87	29.13			28.97(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	5	59	6.63	54%	-0.03	27.3	1.13%	0	0.9	61	0

6	Aug_1_2012	28.93	28.63	28.79	29.04			29.16(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	14	75	9.12	54%	-0.03	31.5	1.12%	0	1.3	68	0
7	Jul_31_2012	28.94	28.62	28.75	28.82			29.26(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	13	64	8.74	54%	0	29.4	1.13%	0	1.6	64	0
8	Jul_30_2012	28.94	28.6	28.66	28.61			29.14(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	-10000	8	41	8.93	54%	0	27.2	1.13%	0	1.4	60	0
9	Jul_27_2012	28.94	28.57	28.57	28.48			29.13(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	9	-10000	5	21	9.14	54%	0	22.3	1.13%	0	1.5	55	0
10	Jul_26_2012	28.94	28.51	28.48	28.4			28.51(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-6	-10000	-8	1	7.04	50%	0	13.8	1.1%	0	0	47	0

11	Jul_25_2012	28.94	28.51	28.42	28.52			28.08(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-10	-10000	-10	-8	8.23	52%	-0.03	14.3	1.08%	0	-1.1	35	0
12	Jul_24_2012	28.95	28.5	28.44	28.67			28.19(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-3	-10000	-2	-4	7.88	52%	0	16.5	1.14%	0	-0.8	36	0
13	Jul_23_2012	28.95	28.5	28.46	28.7			28.48(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-1	-10000	2	-10	6.53	51%	-0.03	10.7	1.14%	0	-0	44	0
14	Jul_20_2012	28.96	28.49	28.47	28.66			28.76(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	6	-15	15.71	51%	0	8.6	1.13%	0	0.7	50	0
15	Jul_19_2012	28.96	28.46	28.46	28.56			29.09(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	9	-10000	15	-10	9.84	51%	0	1.4	1.13%	0	1.6	66	0

16	Jul_18_2012	28.96	28.46	28.45	28.32			28.84(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	8	-22	8.13	50%	0	-6	1.13%	0	1.1	59	0
17	Jul_17_2012	28.96	28.44	28.46	28.19			28.35(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	1	-21	8.38	51%	-0.03	-9	1.11%	0	-0.2	57	0
18	Jul_16_2012	28.97	28.44	28.51	28.18			28.24(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-5	-8	4.71	49%	-0.03	-2.2	1.14%	0	-0.6	57	0
19	Jul_13_2012	28.98	28.44	28.56	28.26			28.27(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10000	-5	5	6.89	47%	0	4.5	1.15%	0	-0.5	48	0
20	Jul_12_2012	28.98	28.45	28.54	28.34			27.9(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	-10000	-15	6	9.76	47%	-0.03	12.7	1.15%	0	-1.4	49	0

21	Jul_11_2012	28.99	28.45	28.54	28.59			28.18(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-11	22	7.84	47%	0	30	1.16%	0	-0.8	43	0
22	Jul_10_2012	28.99	28.47	28.58	28.77			28.31(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-7	30	7.29	45%	-0.03	53.1	1.16%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Jul_9_2012	29	28.45	28.54	28.89			28.63(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-1	34	7.32	44%	0	65.7	1.16%	0	0.5	51	0
24	Jul_6_2012	29	28.44	28.53	28.91			28.69(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	9	42	6.9	44%	0.03	81	1.17%	0	0.6	54	0
25	Jul_5_2012	28.99	28.41	28.48	28.76			29.12(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	16	-10000	12	29	7.06	46%		72.3	1.16%	0	1.8	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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