Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 25, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $29.8100 (2.83%) ($29.6200 - $29.8400) on Wed. Apr. 25, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $29.8100(2.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.7(-10.43%)
5 Day Moving Average   $29.3(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.5(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.79(0.07%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2012	27.97	29.79	29.5	29.3			29.81(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-16	-10000	2	-71	14.36	60%	0.14	-51.4	0.84%	0	0	46	0
2	Apr_24_2012	27.93	29.82	29.49	29.28			28.99(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10000	-16	-106	9.63	55%	0.11	-48.1	0.78%	0	-1.8	32	0
3	Apr_23_2012	27.9	29.89	29.55	29.47			29.05(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-4	-98	15.53	55%	0.14	-36.1	0.78%	0	-2	32	0
4	Apr_20_2012	27.86	29.94	29.64	29.52			29.28(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-6	-99	11.63	57%	0.11	-36.2	0.77%	0	-1.7	40	0
5	Apr_19_2012	27.83	29.98	29.73	29.59			29.39(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-11	-95	19.23	57%	0.14	-35	0.77%	0	-1.7	40	0

6	Apr_18_2012	27.79	30.02	29.8	29.72			29.69(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-1	-80	7.11	59%	0.18	-24.3	0.75%	0	-1	42	0
7	Apr_17_2012	27.74	30.04	29.87	29.73			29.94(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-14	-10000	7	-75	10.27	62%	0.22	-21.4	0.76%	0	-0.3	43	0
8	Apr_16_2012	27.68	30.05	29.92	29.65			29.3(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-10000	-12	-101	20.49	57%	0.18	-15.5	0.72%	0	-2.4	32	0
9	Apr_13_2012	27.63	30.08	30.01	29.78			29.61(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-10	-78	10.53	61%	0.07	7	0.71%	0	-1.8	46	0
10	Apr_12_2012	27.61	30.11	30.08	29.89			30.08(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-14	-10000	-1	-54	9.07	67%	0.25	38.8	0.68%	0	-0.1	53	0

11	Apr_11_2012	27.54	30.1	30.1	29.9			29.71(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-15	-54	9.31	64%	0.18	61.3	0.67%	0	-1.6	45	0
12	Apr_10_2012	27.49	30.11	30.17	30.05			29.54(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-19	-10000	-18	-23	14.37	64%	0.18	102.5	0.66%	0	-2.4	41	0
13	Apr_9_2012	27.44	30.1	30.27	30.23			29.96(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-4	25	6.89	71%	0.26	115.1	0.63%	0	-0.5	48	0
14	Apr_5_2012	27.37	30.07	30.28	30.27			30.17(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-2	37	5.06	75%	0.15	85.7	0.62%	0	0.3	60	0
15	Apr_4_2012	27.33	30.01	30.28	30.29			30.1(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-4	40	9.21	75%	0.15	73.9	0.62%	0	0.2	55	0

16	Apr_3_2012	27.29	29.95	30.26	30.33			30.46(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	1	58	6.78	83%	0.18	63.1	0.59%	0	0.9	68	0
17	Apr_2_2012	27.24	29.86	30.22	30.32			30.48(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	1	64	16.41	83%	0.18	57.2	0.61%	0	1.1	71	0
18	Mar_30_2012	27.19	29.78	30.18	30.31			30.16(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	-10000	3	92	8.01	81%	0.15	56.9	0.6%	0	0.7	77	0
19	Mar_29_2012	27.15	29.73	30.16	30.28			30.25(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	6	110	5.74	81%	0.18	57.9	0.6%	0	0.9	81	0
20	Mar_28_2012	27.1	29.67	30.13	30.23			30.31(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	6	131	6.49	81%	0.15	60	0.6%	0	1.1	84	0

21	Mar_27_2012	27.06	29.6	30.09	30.18			30.42(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	44	-10000	7	156	6.44	81%	0.15	62.2	0.62%	0	1.4	90	0
22	Mar_26_2012	27.02	29.53	30.03	30.11			30.43(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	-10000	7	185	12.19	81%	0.19	65.6	0.62%	0	1.6	91	0
23	Mar_23_2012	26.97	29.45	29.91	30.04			29.99(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	50	-10000	2	193	9.51	78%	0.15	68.3	0.6%	0	1	77	0
24	Mar_22_2012	26.93	29.39	29.84	30.04			29.99(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-10000	0	193	7.5	78%	0.15	70.6	0.61%	0	1.1	68	0
25	Mar_21_2012	26.89	29.33	29.75	30.02			30.06(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	-10000	3	194	8.82	78%		74.5	0.62%	0	1.4	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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