Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 28, 2012

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $29.0800 (0.73%) ($28.8400 - $29.0800) on Tue. Feb. 28, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $29.0800(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(73%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.79(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.62(1.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.2(3.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2012	26.26	28.2	28.62	28.79			29.08(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	7	88	10.11	100%	0.15	86.4	0.93%	0	1.6	79	0
2	Feb_27_2012	26.22	28.1	28.53	28.7			28.87(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	24	-10000	5	81	8.53	100%	0.19	80.4	1.01%	0	1.4	78	0
3	Feb_24_2012	26.17	28	28.44	28.63			28.82(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	4	80	5.5	100%	0.15	75.8	1.01%	0	1.4	77	0
4	Feb_23_2012	26.13	27.91	28.38	28.57			28.65(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	7	92	5.51	84%	0.19	73.5	1.02%	0	1.3	80	0
5	Feb_22_2012	26.08	27.83	28.32	28.47			28.54(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	4	89	8.1	84%	0.19	73.1	1.07%	0	1.2	80	0

6	Feb_21_2012	26.03	27.75	28.24	28.41			28.64(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	6	99	9.72	75%	0.35	76.1	1.07%	0	1.5	86	0
7	Feb_17_2012	25.94	27.66	28.15	28.32			28.52(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	30	-10000	6	103	9.28	68%	0.15	79.3	1.1%	0	1.5	85	0
8	Feb_16_2012	25.9	27.57	28.07	28.23			28.52(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	30	-10000	4	106	10.05	68%	0.15	81.4	1.13%	0	1.6	86	0
9	Feb_15_2012	25.86	27.48	27.96	28.17			28.11(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	2	109	12.21	65%	0.15	87.7	1.14%	0	1.1	84	0
10	Feb_14_2012	25.82	27.41	27.88	28.14			28.26(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	6	114	6.54	65%	0.16	87.4	1.15%	0	1.4	80	0

11	Feb_13_2012	25.78	27.3	27.76	28.05			28.21(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	-10000	6	109	8.42	65%	0.19	88.5	1.15%	0	1.6	82	0
12	Feb_10_2012	25.73	27.2	27.64	27.95			28.03(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	4	101	6.37	68%	0.16	84.5	1.17%	0	1.4	79	0
13	Feb_9_2012	25.69	27.11	27.53	27.89			28.24(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	-10000	10	101	9.49	58%	0.16	84.1	1.17%	0	1.9	88	0
14	Feb_8_2012	25.65	27	27.39	27.72			27.97(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	8	80	11.49	58%	0.12	82.4	1.25%	0	1.8	87	0
15	Feb_7_2012	25.62	26.9	27.3	27.58			27.8(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	9	78	7.39	58%	0.12	79.6	1.25%	0	1.7	87	0

16	Feb_6_2012	25.59	26.81	27.21	27.43			27.73(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-10000	9	75	6.7	58%	0.12	77.8	1.25%	0	1.7	90	0
17	Feb_3_2012	25.56	26.72	27.12	27.28			27.72(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	25	-10000	9	74	7.39	62%	0.12	77.5	1.26%	0	2	90	0
18	Feb_2_2012	25.53	26.63	27.02	27.12			27.37(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	-10000	6	66	6.02	60%	0.12	81.3	1.28%	0	1.6	81	0
19	Feb_1_2012	25.5	26.55	26.96	27.02			27.3(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18	-10000	2	67	8.97	54%	0.12	80.9	1.29%	0	1.6	82	0
20	Jan_31_2012	25.47	26.48	26.89	26.98			27.03(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-10000	2	71	8.09	54%	0.16	82.9	1.34%	0	1.2	80	0

21	Jan_30_2012	25.43	26.4	26.81	26.95			26.98(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-10000	1	72	7.7	54%	0.12	85	1.36%	0	1.3	81	0
22	Jan_27_2012	25.4	26.33	26.72	26.93			26.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	1	74	8.26	58%	0.12	84.4	1.36%	0	1.2	78	0
23	Jan_26_2012	25.37	26.25	26.66	26.91			26.9(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	2	76	8.71	58%	0.12	82	1.4%	0	1.4	78	0
24	Jan_25_2012	25.34	26.19	26.58	26.88			27.08(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	5	80	17.93	58%	0.16	85.9	1.4%	0	1.8	87	0
25	Jan_24_2012	25.3	26.11	26.47	26.78			26.87(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	7	75	5.75	58%		91.7	1.42%	0	1.6	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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