Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $24.3000 (-0.37%) ($24.1500 - $24.5500) on Fri. Oct. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $24.3000(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(74%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    XAR(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.87(1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.03(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.2(0.41%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2011	24.87	24.2	24.03	23.87			24.3(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	6	-30	9.77	43%	-0.08	1.9	1.97%	0	0.2	43	0
2	Oct_6_2011	24.89	24.17	23.99	23.73			24.39(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-12	-10000	2	-53	10.67	43%	-0.08	-11.8	1.98%	0	0.4	43	0
3	Oct_5_2011	24.91	24.17	23.92	23.69			24.03(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-19	-10000	-2	-70	13.24	43%	-0.08	-17.9	1.97%	0	-0.2	42	0
4	Oct_4_2011	24.93	24.15	23.96	23.74			23.54(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-9	-71	16.98	41%	-0.12	-18.1	1.95%	0	-1.2	42	0
5	Oct_3_2011	24.96	24.16	24.09	23.95			23.07(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-21	-10000	-11	-49	23.54	39%	-0.12	-14.4	1.95%	0	-2.1	42	0

6	Sep_30_2011	24.99	24.2	24.28	24.2			23.6(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-3	-16	16.73	43%	-0.12	-3.6	1.94%	0	-1.3	51	0
7	Sep_29_2011	25.02	24.23	24.42	24.28			24.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	4	9	19.69	45%	-0.12	9.7	1.92%	0	-0	62	0
8	Sep_28_2011	25.05	24.24	24.48	24.18			24.26(-1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-2	9	12.33	46%	-0.08	11.3	1.93%	0	0	54	0
9	Sep_27_2011	25.07	24.25	24.5	24.23			24.61(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	3	-10000	-2	16	21.94	47%	-0.12	24.2	1.92%	0	0.8	56	0
10	Sep_26_2011	25.1	24.23	24.45	24.28			24.3(1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-5	25	20.51	47%	-0.08	45.7	1.93%	0	0.2	60	0

11	Sep_23_2011	25.12	24.21	24.4	24.4			24(1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-8	36	26.1	46%	-0.08	65.8	1.93%	0	-0.5	56	0
12	Sep_22_2011	25.14	24.18	24.36	24.6			23.73(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	4	-10000	-9	43	41.23	46%	-0.12	74.9	1.93%	0	-0.9	47	0
13	Sep_21_2011	25.17	24.19	24.4	24.81			24.49(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	1	59	22.08	50%	-0.08	82.6	1.89%	0	0.6	50	0
14	Sep_20_2011	25.19	24.14	24.37	24.79			24.86(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	7	57	24.74	50%	-0.08	73	1.89%	0	1.4	53	0
15	Sep_19_2011	25.21	24.03	24.23	24.63			24.92(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	10	37	11.76	50%	-0.08	41.9	1.89%	0	1.5	55	0

16	Sep_16_2011	25.23	23.91	24.1	24.4			24.98(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	13	19	15	50%	-0.08	17.4	1.9%	0	1.7	63	0
17	Sep_15_2011	25.25	23.82	24.01	24.1			24.8(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	7	5	12.58	48%	-0.08	-2.4	1.89%	0	1.7	66	0
18	Sep_14_2011	25.27	23.78	24.01	23.94			24.41(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	2	0	16.81	49%	-0.08	-1.3	1.9%	0	1.1	58	0
19	Sep_13_2011	25.29	23.77	23.96	23.89			24.05(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	5	9	16.34	49%	-0.08	-1.3	1.89%	0	0.5	57	0
20	Sep_12_2011	25.31	23.79	23.96	23.78			23.77(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	1	21	11.25	49%	-0.08	5.7	1.89%	0	-0	64	0

21	Sep_9_2011	25.33	23.81	23.96	23.75			23.49(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-6	32	16.51	48%	-0.12	2.9	1.89%	0	-0.6	63	0
22	Sep_8_2011	25.36	23.83	23.99	23.88			24(-0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-4	48	9.46	50%	-0.08	5.3	1.87%	0	0.3	60	0
23	Sep_7_2011	25.38	23.79	23.96	23.97			24.12(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-4	49	10.76	50%	-0.08	-8.7	1.87%	0	0.6	48	0
24	Sep_6_2011	25.4	23.78	23.9	24.05			23.51(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-8	44	11.43	48%	-0.08	-14.7	1.84%	0	-0.4	42	0
25	Sep_2_2011	25.42	23.76	23.83	24.23			23.62(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-1	38	14.34	47%		-26.8	1.84%	0	-0.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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