Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 20, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $24.8600 (-0.24%) ($24.8400 - $25.2900) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $24.8600(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(74%)    VWO(70%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.79(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.37(2.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.14(2.98%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   10.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2011	25.19	24.14	24.37	24.79			24.86(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	7	57	24.74	50%	-0.08	73	1.89%	0	1.4	53	0
2	Sep_19_2011	25.21	24.03	24.23	24.63			24.92(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	10	37	11.76	50%	-0.08	41.9	1.89%	0	1.5	55	0
3	Sep_16_2011	25.23	23.91	24.1	24.4			24.98(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	13	19	15	50%	-0.08	17.4	1.9%	0	1.7	63	0
4	Sep_15_2011	25.25	23.82	24.01	24.1			24.8(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	7	5	12.58	48%	-0.08	-2.4	1.89%	0	1.7	66	0
5	Sep_14_2011	25.27	23.78	24.01	23.94			24.41(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	2	0	16.81	49%	-0.08	-1.3	1.9%	0	1.1	58	0

6	Sep_13_2011	25.29	23.77	23.96	23.89			24.05(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	5	9	16.34	49%	-0.08	-1.3	1.89%	0	0.5	57	0
7	Sep_12_2011	25.31	23.79	23.96	23.78			23.77(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	1	21	11.25	49%	-0.08	5.7	1.89%	0	-0	64	0
8	Sep_9_2011	25.33	23.81	23.96	23.75			23.49(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-6	32	16.51	48%	-0.12	2.9	1.89%	0	-0.6	63	0
9	Sep_8_2011	25.36	23.83	23.99	23.88			24(-0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-4	48	9.46	50%	-0.08	5.3	1.87%	0	0.3	60	0
10	Sep_7_2011	25.38	23.79	23.96	23.97			24.12(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-4	49	10.76	50%	-0.08	-8.7	1.87%	0	0.6	48	0

11	Sep_6_2011	25.4	23.78	23.9	24.05			23.51(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-8	44	11.43	48%	-0.08	-14.7	1.84%	0	-0.4	42	0
12	Sep_2_2011	25.42	23.76	23.83	24.23			23.62(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-1	38	14.34	47%	-0.08	-26.8	1.84%	0	-0.2	42	0
13	Sep_1_2011	25.44	23.79	23.73	24.26			24.17(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	7	25	11.32	47%	-0.08	-34.9	1.82%	0	0.6	50	0
14	Aug_31_2011	25.46	23.8	23.63	24.1			24.44(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	7	1	12.26	48%	-0.04	-46.3	1.83%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Aug_30_2011	25.47	23.84	23.59	23.94			24.5(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	9	5	12.47	48%	-0.08	-52.3	1.84%	0	0.8	62	0

16	Aug_29_2011	25.49	23.87	23.56	23.74			24.4(2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	-10000	16	-4	19.93	48%	-0.04	-61.3	1.85%	0	0.6	52	0
17	Aug_26_2011	25.5	23.92	23.55	23.39			23.8(1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	-10000	12	-14	23.17	46%	-0.08	-70.5	1.82%	0	-0.1	57	0
18	Aug_25_2011	25.52	24.01	23.58	23.13			23.34(-1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	2	-40	20.44	44%	-0.12	-76	1.81%	0	-0.7	45	0
19	Aug_24_2011	25.55	24.14	23.64	23.08			23.68(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-18	-10000	-5	-55	22.5	44%	-0.12	-75.4	1.8%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Aug_23_2011	25.58	24.25	23.58	23.19			23.47(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-9	-79	18.57	43%	-0.08	-67.9	1.8%	0	-0.7	39	0

21	Aug_22_2011	25.6	24.41	23.63	23.37			22.64(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-19	-88	20.32	40%	-0.12	-60.2	1.74%	0	-1.4	36	0
22	Aug_19_2011	25.63	24.61	23.69	23.76			22.52(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10000	-15	-94	37.74	40%	-0.16	-50.2	1.74%	0	-1.6	33	0
23	Aug_18_2011	25.67	24.82	23.87	24.08			23.08(-4.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-8	-87	30.95	42%	-0.12	-43.1	1.72%	0	-1.4	34	0
24	Aug_17_2011	25.7	25	24.02	24.25			24.26(-0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	-10000	12	-92	21.58	45%	-0.08	-38.2	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	0
25	Aug_16_2011	25.72	25.1	24.13	24.01			24.37(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	-10000	4	-124	20.23	44%		-41.6	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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