Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $25.9100 (-2.08%) ($25.8900 - $26.4800) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $25.9100(-2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(88%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Resistance Level   $26.26
5 Day Moving Average   $26.05(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.05(-0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.26(-1.33%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2011	26.17	26.26	26.05	26.05			25.91(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-10000	3	-40	16.63	39%	0	-50.8	0.9%	0	-1.1	38	0
2	May_31_2011	26.17	26.29	26.07	26.01			26.46(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-7	-10000	12	-64	10.67	46%	0.04	-53.3	0.85%	0	0.5	41	0
3	May_27_2011	26.16	26.3	26.03	25.88			26.1(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	-1	-99	12.55	39%	0.04	-60	0.88%	0	-0.6	40	0
4	May_26_2011	26.15	26.33	26.06	25.89			25.97(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	-6	-101	11.22	39%	0	-52.7	0.88%	0	-1.1	41	0
5	May_25_2011	26.15	26.37	26.13	25.96			25.8(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-9	-86	12.41	42%	0	-39.5	0.88%	0	-1.7	39	0

6	May_24_2011	26.15	26.42	26.21	26.06			25.72(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-6	-71	8.77	42%	0	-17.9	0.9%	0	-2.3	35	0
7	May_23_2011	26.15	26.47	26.32	26.13			25.8(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-4	-57	12.61	40%	0.04	3.9	0.9%	0	-2.5	34	0
8	May_20_2011	26.14	26.5	26.41	26.18			26.17(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-5	-50	13.46	39%	0.04	24.1	0.94%	0	-1.4	40	0
9	May_19_2011	26.13	26.51	26.44	26.24			26.32(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-50	8.18	39%	0.04	44.6	0.94%	0	-0.9	40	0
10	May_18_2011	26.12	26.5	26.45	26.34			26.27(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-44	11.96	39%	0.04	59.8	0.95%	0	-1	38	0

11	May_17_2011	26.11	26.48	26.48	26.4			26.08(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-20	-10000	-12	-43	55.19	39%	0.04	51.3	0.94%	0	-1.3	33	0
12	May_16_2011	26.1	26.46	26.54	26.55			26.08(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-8	-20	16.97	39%	0	50	0.94%	0	-1.1	40	0
13	May_13_2011	26.1	26.44	26.6	26.65			26.46(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-1	2	10.21	41%	0.04	53.5	0.92%	0	0.1	55	0
14	May_12_2011	26.09	26.41	26.6	26.66			26.79(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	7	14	10.98	43%	0.08	47.1	0.91%	0	0.9	65	0
15	May_11_2011	26.07	26.37	26.63	26.66			26.59(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	16	11.85	43%	0.04	40.6	0.91%	0	0.5	67	0

16	May_10_2011	26.06	26.32	26.64	26.58			26.83(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	13	-10000	3	43	13.6	43%	0.08	36.8	0.91%	0	1.2	84	0
17	May_9_2011	26.04	26.28	26.62	26.54			26.59(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-1	63	3.98	43%	0.08	34.1	0.9%	0	0.7	83	0
18	May_6_2011	26.02	26.24	26.6	26.55			26.48(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-5	80	10.7	43%	0.04	35	0.89%	0	0.6	71	0
19	May_5_2011	26.01	26.22	26.59	26.61			26.43(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-5	101	13.44	43%	0.04	39.4	0.9%	0	0.5	69	0
20	May_4_2011	26	26.2	26.56	26.67			26.57(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-3	121	10.96	43%	0.08	43.8	0.9%	0	0.9	71	0

21	May_3_2011	25.98	26.17	26.47	26.71			26.65(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	1	127	8.16	43%	0.04	46.5	0.91%	0	1.2	76	0
22	May_2_2011	25.97	26.13	26.37	26.7			26.64(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	5	121	6.71	43%	0.08	48.4	0.91%	0	1.3	67	0
23	Apr_29_2011	25.95	26.1	26.28	26.64			26.74(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	7	112	7.5	47%	0.08	48.6	0.92%	0	1.7	68	0
24	Apr_28_2011	25.93	26.06	26.18	26.56			26.76(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	10	98	8.5	43%	0.04	50.7	0.92%	0	2	63	0
25	Apr_27_2011	25.92	26.02	26.09	26.44			26.75(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	19	76	8.03	43%		56.3	0.97%	0	2.4	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.