Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $24.9400 (1.05%) ($24.9000 - $25.1800) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $24.9400(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.16(-15.16%)
Resistance Level   $26.05
5 Day Moving Average   $25.28(-1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.68(-2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.05(-4.26%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2011	25.52	26.05	25.68	25.28			24.94(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-10000	-13	-149	10.96	39%	0	-69	0.91%	0	-1.9	32	0
2	Mar_16_2011	25.52	26.15	25.85	25.43			24.68(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-51	-10000	-26	-126	21.46	37%	0.04	-65.4	0.9%	0	-2.6	35	0
3	Mar_15_2011	25.51	26.26	26.01	25.73			25.3(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-10000	-18	-82	14.94	41%	0.04	-63.4	0.85%	0	-2.1	42	0
4	Mar_14_2011	25.5	26.35	26.09	25.93			25.68(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-7	-57	9.66	44%	0.08	-56	0.83%	0	-1.6	42	0
5	Mar_11_2011	25.48	26.41	26.18	26.01			25.8(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-12	-59	11.42	44%	0.04	-50.3	0.82%	0	-1.5	35	0

6	Mar_10_2011	25.47	26.46	26.25	26.14			25.7(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-10000	-17	-58	15.02	44%	0.08	-42.2	0.82%	0	-1.9	33	0
7	Mar_9_2011	25.45	26.52	26.3	26.32			26.19(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-1	-47	11.91	48%	0.12	-27.3	0.79%	0	-0.9	38	0
8	Mar_8_2011	25.42	26.56	26.3	26.33			26.3(0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	5	-66	10.99	48%	0.08	-21.2	0.79%	0	-0.7	42	0
9	Mar_7_2011	25.4	26.58	26.29	26.28			26.08(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-9	-96	14.86	45%	0.08	-14.4	0.79%	0	-1.4	38	0
10	Mar_4_2011	25.38	26.58	26.38	26.37			26.42(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-1	-80	13.94	49%	0.12	4	0.76%	0	-0.6	42	0

11	Mar_3_2011	25.35	26.58	26.43	26.38			26.63(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	-10000	10	-69	9.56	51%	0.12	5.6	0.76%	0	0	48	0
12	Mar_2_2011	25.32	26.62	26.46	26.28			26.21(0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-10000	4	-90	9.93	50%	0.08	-0.8	0.73%	0	-1.2	38	0
13	Mar_1_2011	25.3	26.63	26.52	26.24			26.05(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-6	-104	14.55	55%	0.12	-0.8	0.74%	0	-1.8	34	0
14	Feb_28_2011	25.27	26.64	26.62	26.3			26.56(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-30	-10000	-9	-92	9.25	58%	0.12	3.3	0.75%	0	-0.3	45	0
15	Feb_25_2011	25.24	26.64	26.65	26.39			26.45(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-12	-75	7.8	58%	0.16	10.8	0.75%	0	-0.4	46	0

16	Feb_24_2011	25.2	26.6	26.68	26.51			26.12(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-17	-52	11.36	59%	0.12	26.6	0.75%	0	-1.3	44	0
17	Feb_23_2011	25.17	26.62	26.76	26.68			26.03(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-15	-10000	-16	-13	12.26	55%	0.12	45.9	0.77%	0	-1.6	43	0
18	Feb_22_2011	25.14	26.62	26.86	26.84			26.34(-2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-2	-10000	-12	28	22.35	58%	0.2	62.5	0.78%	0	-0.9	52	0
19	Feb_18_2011	25.09	26.63	26.91	26.96			27(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	2	84	6.33	70%	0.16	61.3	0.7%	0	0.9	83	0
20	Feb_17_2011	25.05	26.56	26.88	26.94			27.04(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	-10000	5	104	6.65	70%	0.2	56.5	0.73%	0	1.2	86	0

21	Feb_16_2011	25	26.51	26.83	26.89			26.99(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	3	98	6.79	63%	0.12	52.3	0.73%	0	1.2	61	0
22	Feb_15_2011	24.97	26.46	26.78	26.86			26.84(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-2	93	6.04	63%	0.16	57.1	0.77%	0	1	61	0
23	Feb_14_2011	24.93	26.42	26.75	26.88			26.94(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	2	107	5.94	63%	0.16	64.2	0.77%	0	1.3	65	0
24	Feb_11_2011	24.89	26.38	26.66	26.86			26.9(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	4	101	12.75	55%	0.16	72.1	0.79%	0	1.4	67	0
25	Feb_10_2011	24.85	26.33	26.55	26.82			26.76(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	5	96	7.84	55%		72.3	0.82%	0	1.2	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.