Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 4, 2011

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $26.6900 (0.64%) ($26.4700 - $26.7100) on Fri. Feb. 4, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $26.6900(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.42(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.31(1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.12(2.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110304

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2011	24.68	26.12	26.31	26.42			26.69(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	16	69	7.57	58%	0.16	74.8	0.81%	0	2	58	0
2	Feb_3_2011	24.64	26.08	26.21	26.25			26.52(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	2	31	11.46	58%	0.2	76	0.83%	0	1.7	60	0
3	Feb_2_2011	24.59	26.04	26.15	26.23			26.48(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	2	28	8.75	60%	0.16	86.5	0.83%	0	1.8	59	0
4	Feb_1_2011	24.55	25.99	26.1	26.21			26.43(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	5	31	12.37	60%	0.16	91.7	0.84%	0	1.8	62	0
5	Jan_31_2011	24.51	25.94	26.07	26.16			25.99(0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-2	34	13.99	57%	0.2	90.6	0.81%	0	0.2	56	0

6	Jan_28_2011	24.46	25.91	26.09	26.18			25.83(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	14	-10000	2	50	16.18	57%	0.16	80.4	0.81%	0	-0.3	54	0
7	Jan_27_2011	24.42	25.88	26.1	26.16			26.44(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	12	58	9.05	63%	0.21	69.5	0.75%	0	1.7	64	0
8	Jan_26_2011	24.37	25.82	26.05	26.04			26.35(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	6	43	8.29	63%	0.21	62.9	0.75%	0	1.7	66	0
9	Jan_25_2011	24.32	25.77	25.99	26.04			26.2(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	0	34	11.01	63%	0.08	59.7	0.75%	0	1.3	67	0
10	Jan_24_2011	24.3	25.72	25.95	25.98			26.08(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	-1	44	18.49	63%	0.16	62.9	0.75%	0	1.1	67	0

11	Jan_21_2011	24.26	25.68	25.92	25.99			25.72(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-5	64	11.63	60%	0.21	66.4	0.73%	0	0.1	68	0
12	Jan_20_2011	24.21	25.65	25.93	26.04			25.87(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-10000	-2	94	15.36	60%	0.17	70.5	0.73%	0	0.7	71	0
13	Jan_19_2011	24.17	25.62	25.92	26.06			26.01(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-10000	6	115	11.22	55%	0.25	71.4	0.73%	0	1.1	73	0
14	Jan_18_2011	24.11	25.58	25.88	26			26.2(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	-10000	9	114	8.63	57%	0.37	67.7	0.76%	0	1.8	82	0
15	Jan_14_2011	24.02	25.52	25.81	25.91			26.17(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	32	-10000	8	105	7.85	60%	0.21	61.2	0.78%	0	2	79	0

16	Jan_13_2011	23.97	25.46	25.71	25.83			25.94(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	1	91	13.04	59%	0.21	61	0.77%	0	1.6	77	0
17	Jan_12_2011	23.92	25.42	25.64	25.82			25.96(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	5	91	13.58	59%	0.21	63.2	0.78%	0	1.9	78	0
18	Jan_11_2011	23.87	25.38	25.57	25.77			25.73(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	3	86	8.39	57%	0.21	71.6	0.77%	0	1.3	71	0
19	Jan_10_2011	23.82	25.35	25.52	25.74			25.77(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	6	87	10.33	57%	0.17	76.8	0.77%	0	1.7	78	0
20	Jan_7_2011	23.78	25.32	25.47	25.68			25.75(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	12	86	8.92	57%	0.21	84.6	0.77%	0	1.9	78	0

21	Jan_6_2011	23.73	25.28	25.41	25.56			25.87(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	28	-10000	13	71	11.04	57%	0.17	86.7	0.77%	0	2.8	81	0
22	Jan_5_2011	23.69	25.24	25.35	25.43			25.72(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	19	-10000	8	52	11.84	61%	0.17	103	0.77%	0	2.8	80	0
23	Jan_4_2011	23.65	25.2	25.29	25.35			25.57(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	7	38	9.19	61%	0.21	126.7	0.8%	0	2.5	67	0
24	Jan_3_2011	23.6	25.16	25.25	25.28			25.47(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	9	-10000	4	25	7.43	61%	0.17	142.9	0.81%	0	2.2	66	0
25	Dec_31_2010	23.56	25.12	25.21	25.24			25.19(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	4	-10000	0	14	6.35	59%		151.8	0.81%	0	0.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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