Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $25.1200 (0.16%) ($25.0000 - $25.2300) on Thu. Dec. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $25.1200(0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.14(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.04(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.7(1.7%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2010	23.23	24.7	25.04	25.14			25.12(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	1	112	5.94	64%	0.13	61.7	0.85%	0	1.1	70	0
2	Dec_15_2010	23.2	24.64	25	25.14			25.08(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	0	119	4.6	64%	0.09	45.3	0.85%	0	1	64	0
3	Dec_14_2010	23.18	24.58	24.94	25.13			25.18(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	7	134	6.29	64%	0.13	30.7	0.85%	0	1.4	73	0
4	Dec_13_2010	23.15	24.53	24.83	25.06			25.14(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	7	113	6.9	67%	0.13	18.7	0.85%	0	1.5	62	0
5	Dec_10_2010	23.12	24.49	24.73	24.99			25.19(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	6	99	5.82	67%	0.13	6.9	0.87%	0	1.8	65	0

6	Dec_9_2010	23.09	24.46	24.65	24.92			25.07(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	6	92	6.23	67%	0.17	-4.1	0.87%	0	1.7	65	0
7	Dec_8_2010	23.05	24.45	24.59	24.85			25.05(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	11	103	9.01	67%	0.13	-4.8	0.87%	0	1.7	70	0
8	Dec_7_2010	23.02	24.44	24.49	24.73			24.84(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	16	95	9.91	67%	0.17	-8.8	0.87%	0	1.1	68	0
9	Dec_6_2010	22.98	24.45	24.45	24.56			24.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	27	-10000	12	70	6.44	67%	0.13	-12.9	0.88%	0	0.9	57	0
10	Dec_3_2010	22.95	24.46	24.39	24.43			24.81(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	8	50	9.18	68%	0.13	-12.2	0.89%	0	0.9	56	0

11	Dec_2_2010	22.92	24.46	24.33	24.34			24.75(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	5	23	9.63	68%	0.13	-9.3	0.9%	0	0.7	49	0
12	Dec_1_2010	22.89	24.46	24.24	24.29			24.46(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10000	7	-14	10.73	70%	0.13	-8.1	0.9%	0	-0	40	0
13	Nov_30_2010	22.86	24.47	24.18	24.21			23.95(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-9	-62	10.69	68%	0.09	-9.3	0.91%	0	-1.2	32	0
14	Nov_29_2010	22.84	24.5	24.21	24.31			24.19(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-3	-65	7.17	70%	0.13	-0.6	0.92%	0	-0.8	34	0
15	Nov_26_2010	22.81	24.5	24.23	24.34			24.35(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-10000	2	-79	2.49	70%	0.22	3.7	0.92%	0	-0.4	36	0

16	Nov_24_2010	22.76	24.51	24.25	24.32			24.49(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	12	-90	7.22	70%	0.18	5	0.92%	0	-0.1	37	0
17	Nov_23_2010	22.72	24.5	24.3	24.19			24.09(-1.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-23	-10000	5	-107	11.01	68%	0.04	-0.6	0.92%	0	-1	39	0
18	Nov_22_2010	22.71	24.51	24.39	24.13			24.45(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-25	-10000	3	-108	9.41	72%	0.18	0.6	0.91%	0	-0.2	47	0
19	Nov_19_2010	22.67	24.51	24.45	24.13			24.31(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-10000	0	-99	5.12	72%	0.18	-2.5	0.91%	0	-0.5	51	0
20	Nov_18_2010	22.63	24.5	24.53	24.1			24.24(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-10000	-8	-83	10.81	72%	0.18	-1.8	0.93%	0	-0.6	50	0

21	Nov_17_2010	22.59	24.49	24.61	24.19			23.84(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-10000	-22	-60	10.41	70%	0.13	7.6	0.91%	0	-1.5	43	0
22	Nov_16_2010	22.56	24.5	24.71	24.44			23.83(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-21	-13	17.92	70%	0.13	28.1	0.92%	0	-1.6	43	0
23	Nov_15_2010	22.53	24.5	24.8	24.68			24.27(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-15	37	8.8	77%	0.09	50.9	0.88%	0	-0.6	55	0
24	Nov_12_2010	22.51	24.51	24.82	24.85			24.34(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-15	69	10.79	77%	0.13	71.9	0.88%	0	-0.4	59	0
25	Nov_11_2010	22.48	24.5	24.84	25.01			24.69(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	-10000	-7	104	12.13	73%		85.6	0.88%	0	0.4	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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