Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.5000 (-2.01%) ($21.4600 - $21.9000) on Thu. Jun. 24, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $21.5000(-2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $21.79
5 Day Moving Average   $21.98(-2.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.03(-2.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.79(-1.33%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2010	22.44	21.79	22.03	21.98			21.5(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	6	-10000	-12	58	15.27	45%	0	40.4	1.48%	0	-0.7	54	0
2	Jun_23_2010	22.44	21.77	22.05	22.17			21.94(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-4	72	9.41	47%	0.04	41.4	1.47%	0	0.4	46	0
3	Jun_22_2010	22.43	21.74	21.97	22.24			21.98(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-4	68	10.18	47%	0.04	37.1	1.47%	0	0.5	51	0
4	Jun_21_2010	22.42	21.71	21.9	22.3			22.17(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	6	75	8.74	47%	0.04	28.5	1.47%	0	1	60	0
5	Jun_18_2010	22.41	21.68	21.79	22.21			22.33(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	7	57	7.12	47%	0.04	14.1	1.47%	0	1.5	58	0

6	Jun_17_2010	22.4	21.62	21.7	22.09			22.41(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	11	41	9.92	47%	0	-10	1.47%	0	1.9	56	0
7	Jun_16_2010	22.4	21.6	21.66	21.92			22.33(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	16	43	7.75	47%	0.04	-37.5	1.47%	0	1.9	64	0
8	Jun_15_2010	22.39	21.58	21.61	21.66			22.27(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	-10000	14	26	11.53	47%	0	-63.2	1.47%	0	1.9	60	0
9	Jun_14_2010	22.39	21.59	21.52	21.44			21.7(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	8	1	13.02	44%	0	-78.5	1.44%	0	0.3	54	0
10	Jun_11_2010	22.39	21.62	21.52	21.32			21.74(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	5	-11	10.73	44%	0	-72.9	1.44%	0	0.3	53	0

11	Jun_10_2010	22.39	21.67	21.51	21.25			21.55(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-10	-10000	-8	-14	14.21	44%	-0.09	-60.4	1.43%	0	-0.2	54	0
12	Jun_9_2010	22.41	21.74	21.47	21.37			21.04(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-11	-19	13.31	41%	-0.09	-44.6	1.4%	0	-1.2	39	0
13	Jun_8_2010	22.43	21.82	21.5	21.54			21.15(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-4	-12	13.33	41%	-0.04	-40.4	1.4%	0	-1.1	38	0
14	Jun_7_2010	22.44	21.9	21.53	21.6			21.11(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-7	-28	10.54	41%	-0.09	-44.4	1.4%	0	-1.3	34	0
15	Jun_4_2010	22.46	21.94	21.57	21.71			21.42(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-5	-33	18.49	44%	-0.04	-53.9	1.4%	0	-0.9	38	0

16	Jun_3_2010	22.47	21.98	21.56	21.79			22.13(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	14	-47	12.59	47%	-0.04	-65.3	1.34%	0	0.3	39	0
17	Jun_2_2010	22.48	22.01	21.54	21.58			21.91(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	8	-95	10.38	47%	-0.04	-75.8	1.34%	0	-0.2	33	0
18	Jun_1_2010	22.49	22.06	21.56	21.46			21.43(-0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-30	-10000	1	-124	13.23	46%	-0.09	-80.3	1.31%	0	-1	37	0
19	May_28_2010	22.51	22.17	21.66	21.45			21.64(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10000	3	-131	12.12	46%	-0.04	-73.7	1.31%	0	-0.7	37	0
20	May_27_2010	22.52	22.26	21.73	21.41			21.82(3.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	7	-122	19.12	46%	-0.04	-73.8	1.32%	0	-0.6	52	0

21	May_26_2010	22.53	22.36	21.82	21.31			21.1(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-13	-139	24.32	41%	-0.13	-75	1.26%	0	-1.5	40	0
22	May_25_2010	22.56	22.48	22.02	21.49			21.31(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-13	-116	18.29	41%	-0.09	-74.2	1.25%	0	-1.4	36	0
23	May_24_2010	22.58	22.6	22.16	21.67			21.37(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-10000	-17	-107	12.96	41%	-0.04	-70.2	1.25%	0	-1.5	36	0
24	May_21_2010	22.59	22.73	22.3	21.9			21.47(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-14	-98	21.02	39%	-0.04	-62.9	1.25%	0	-1.6	32	0
25	May_20_2010	22.6	22.86	22.34	22.09			21.31(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-10000	-21	-111	19.83	39%		-56.9	1.25%	0	-2	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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