Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.2400 (-3.01%) ($20.6400 - $22.9900) on Thu. May. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $22.2400(-3.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

Resistance Level   $23.61
5 Day Moving Average   $23.06(-3.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.42(-5.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.61(-5.8%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100606

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_6_2010	22.64	23.61	23.42	23.06			22.24(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-57	-10000	-31	-134	25.52	42%	0	-17.7	0.91%	0	-3.1	30	0
2	May_5_2010	22.64	23.68	23.61	23.39			22.93(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-32	-10000	-14	-87	13.47	49%	0	6.5	0.82%	0	-2.3	33	0
3	May_4_2010	22.64	23.7	23.72	23.53			23.03(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-24	-10000	-11	-62	14.84	42%	0.04	23	0.82%	0	-2.3	37	0
4	May_3_2010	22.63	23.72	23.72	23.64			23.71(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-7	-34	6.88	49%	0.09	41.2	0.82%	0	-0	54	0
5	Apr_30_2010	22.61	23.7	23.82	23.71			23.39(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-15	-20	10.55	48%	0.04	52.5	0.81%	0	-1.1	50	0

6	Apr_29_2010	22.6	23.69	23.86	23.85			23.89(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-3	17	9.05	49%	0.04	61.4	0.76%	0	0.7	62	0
7	Apr_28_2010	22.59	23.65	23.88	23.88			23.65(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-6	42	12.76	39%	0.09	61.5	0.79%	0	0	62	0
8	Apr_27_2010	22.57	23.63	23.91	23.94			23.58(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-10000	-6	66	28.25	39%	0.09	63.2	0.88%	0	-0.1	62	0
9	Apr_26_2010	22.55	23.61	23.92	24			24.05(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	5	93	9.81	44%	0.09	67.1	0.84%	0	1.2	72	0
10	Apr_23_2010	22.53	23.56	23.87	23.95			24.08(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	7	93	12.87	44%	0.09	66	0.84%	0	1.4	74	0

11	Apr_22_2010	22.51	23.51	23.81	23.88			24.02(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	22	-10000	-1	91	10.01	37%	0.09	64.4	0.85%	0	1.5	78	0
12	Apr_21_2010	22.49	23.46	23.74	23.89			23.96(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	1	88	9.4	35%	0.09	69	0.97%	0	1.5	75	0
13	Apr_20_2010	22.47	23.42	23.67	23.88			23.91(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	5	92	6.94	33%	0.09	77.4	0.98%	0	1.5	71	0
14	Apr_19_2010	22.45	23.37	23.62	23.82			23.78(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	4	90	8.77	37%	0.09	75.9	1%	0	1.3	71	0
15	Apr_16_2010	22.43	23.32	23.57	23.77			23.73(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	4	90	15.2	37%	0.04	73.7	1.02%	0	1.3	72	0

16	Apr_15_2010	22.42	23.29	23.51	23.72			24.05(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	32	-10000	13	89	9.49	37%	0.09	75.2	1.01%	0	2.5	78	0
17	Apr_14_2010	22.4	23.23	23.41	23.57			23.94(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	26	-10000	12	68	14.98	37%	0.09	79.5	1.03%	0	2.7	77	0
18	Apr_13_2010	22.38	23.17	23.33	23.43			23.6(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	4	48	5.94	36%	0.09	89	1.01%	0	2	64	0
19	Apr_12_2010	22.36	23.13	23.27	23.38			23.53(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	3	44	4.16	34%	0.09	89	1.02%	0	1.9	69	0
20	Apr_9_2010	22.34	23.09	23.22	23.34			23.48(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	7	45	5.49	34%	0.09	98.9	1.02%	0	2	73	0

21	Apr_8_2010	22.32	23.05	23.18	23.26			23.3(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	3	34	8.46	34%	0.04	111	1.03%	0	1.3	59	0
22	Apr_7_2010	22.31	23.02	23.16	23.22			23.26(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	32	5.71	34%	0.04	122.9	1.03%	0	1.3	59	0
23	Apr_6_2010	22.3	22.99	23.15	23.2			23.35(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	4	37	5.07	33%	0.04	124.2	1.03%	0	1.7	64	0
24	Apr_5_2010	22.29	22.94	23.11	23.15			23.33(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	6	35	4.85	33%	0.09	121.9	1.04%	0	1.8	68	0
25	Apr_1_2010	22.27	22.89	23.05	23.08			23.06(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	25	9.11	34%		93.9	1.04%	0	0.6	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.