Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.7100 (1.37%) ($23.4600 - $23.8000) on Mon. May. 3, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $23.7100(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $23.72
5 Day Moving Average   $23.64(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.82(-0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.72(-0.04%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2010	22.63	23.72		23.64			23.71(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-7	-34	6.88	49%	0.09	41.2	0.82%	0	-0	54	0
2	Apr_30_2010	22.61	23.7	23.82	23.71			23.39(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-15	-20	10.55	48%	0.04	52.5	0.81%	0	-1.1	50	0
3	Apr_29_2010	22.6	23.69	23.86	23.85			23.89(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-3	17	9.05	49%	0.04	61.4	0.76%	0	0.7	62	0
4	Apr_28_2010	22.59	23.65	23.88	23.88			23.65(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-6	42	12.76	39%	0.09	61.5	0.79%	0	0	62	0
5	Apr_27_2010	22.57	23.63	23.91	23.94			23.58(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-10000	-6	66	28.25	39%	0.09	63.2	0.88%	0	-0.1	62	0

6	Apr_26_2010	22.55	23.61	23.92	24			24.05(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	5	93	9.81	44%	0.09	67.1	0.84%	0	1.2	72	0
7	Apr_23_2010	22.53	23.56	23.87	23.95			24.08(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	7	93	12.87	44%	0.09	66	0.84%	0	1.4	74	0
8	Apr_22_2010	22.51	23.51	23.81	23.88			24.02(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	22	-10000	-1	91	10.01	37%	0.09	64.4	0.85%	0	1.5	78	0
9	Apr_21_2010	22.49	23.46	23.74	23.89			23.96(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	1	88	9.4	35%	0.09	69	0.97%	0	1.5	75	0
10	Apr_20_2010	22.47	23.42	23.67	23.88			23.91(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	5	92	6.94	33%	0.09	77.4	0.98%	0	1.5	71	0

11	Apr_19_2010	22.45	23.37	23.62	23.82			23.78(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	4	90	8.77	37%	0.09	75.9	1%	0	1.3	71	0
12	Apr_16_2010	22.43	23.32	23.57	23.77			23.73(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	4	90	15.2	37%	0.04	73.7	1.02%	0	1.3	72	0
13	Apr_15_2010	22.42	23.29	23.51	23.72			24.05(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	32	-10000	13	89	9.49	37%	0.09	75.2	1.01%	0	2.5	78	0
14	Apr_14_2010	22.4	23.23	23.41	23.57			23.94(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	26	-10000	12	68	14.98	37%	0.09	79.5	1.03%	0	2.7	77	0
15	Apr_13_2010	22.38	23.17	23.33	23.43			23.6(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	4	48	5.94	36%	0.09	89	1.01%	0	2	64	0

16	Apr_12_2010	22.36	23.13	23.27	23.38			23.53(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	3	44	4.16	34%	0.09	89	1.02%	0	1.9	69	0
17	Apr_9_2010	22.34	23.09	23.22	23.34			23.48(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	7	45	5.49	34%	0.09	98.9	1.02%	0	2	73	0
18	Apr_8_2010	22.32	23.05	23.18	23.26			23.3(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	3	34	8.46	34%	0.04	111	1.03%	0	1.3	59	0
19	Apr_7_2010	22.31	23.02	23.16	23.22			23.26(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	32	5.71	34%	0.04	122.9	1.03%	0	1.3	59	0
20	Apr_6_2010	22.3	22.99	23.15	23.2			23.35(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	4	37	5.07	33%	0.04	124.2	1.03%	0	1.7	64	0

21	Apr_5_2010	22.29	22.94	23.11	23.15			23.33(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	6	35	4.85	33%	0.09	121.9	1.04%	0	1.8	68	0
22	Apr_1_2010	22.27	22.89	23.11	23.08			23.06(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	25	9.11	34%	0.09	93.9	1.04%	0	0.6	62	0
23	Mar_31_2010	22.25	22.85	23.05	23.09			23.1(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	1	33	4.68	34%	0.04	86.9	1.05%	0	0.7	62	0
24	Mar_30_2010	22.24	22.79	23.04	23.08			23.17(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-1	38	5.31	34%	0.09	83.2	1.05%	0	1	68	0
25	Mar_29_2010	22.22	22.73	23.01	23.09			23.07(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	2	49	7.75	34%		85.2	1.05%	0	0.9	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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