Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 19, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.7800 (0.21%) ($23.5200 - $23.8200) on Mon. Apr. 19, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $23.7800(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.82(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.62(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.37(1.75%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2010	22.45	23.37	23.62	23.82			23.78(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	4	90	8.77	37%	0.09	75.9	1%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Apr_16_2010	22.43	23.32	23.57	23.77			23.73(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	4	90	15.2	37%	0.04	73.7	1.02%	0	1.3	72	0
3	Apr_15_2010	22.42	23.29	23.51	23.72			24.05(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	32	-10000	13	89	9.49	37%	0.09	75.2	1.01%	0	2.5	78	0
4	Apr_14_2010	22.4	23.23	23.41	23.57			23.94(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	26	-10000	12	68	14.98	37%	0.09	79.5	1.03%	0	2.7	77	0
5	Apr_13_2010	22.38	23.17	23.33	23.43			23.6(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	4	48	5.94	36%	0.09	89	1.01%	0	2	64	0

6	Apr_12_2010	22.36	23.13	23.27	23.38			23.53(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	3	44	4.16	34%	0.09	89	1.02%	0	1.9	69	0
7	Apr_9_2010	22.34	23.09	23.22	23.34			23.48(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	7	45	5.49	34%	0.09	98.9	1.02%	0	2	73	0
8	Apr_8_2010	22.32	23.05	23.18	23.26			23.3(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	3	34	8.46	34%	0.04	111	1.03%	0	1.3	59	0
9	Apr_7_2010	22.31	23.02	23.16	23.22			23.26(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	2	32	5.71	34%	0.04	122.9	1.03%	0	1.3	59	0
10	Apr_6_2010	22.3	22.99	23.15	23.2			23.35(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	4	37	5.07	33%	0.04	124.2	1.03%	0	1.7	64	0

11	Apr_5_2010	22.29	22.94	23.11	23.15			23.33(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	6	35	4.85	33%	0.09	121.9	1.04%	0	1.8	68	0
12	Apr_1_2010	22.27	22.89	23.11	23.08			23.06(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	25	9.11	34%	0.09	93.9	1.04%	0	0.6	62	0
13	Mar_31_2010	22.25	22.85	23.05	23.09			23.1(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	1	33	4.68	34%	0.04	86.9	1.05%	0	0.7	62	0
14	Mar_30_2010	22.24	22.79	23.04	23.08			23.17(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-1	38	5.31	34%	0.09	83.2	1.05%	0	1	68	0
15	Mar_29_2010	22.22	22.73	23.01	23.09			23.07(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	2	49	7.75	34%	0.09	85.2	1.05%	0	0.9	70	0

16	Mar_26_2010	22.2	22.68	22.98	23.06			23(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	3	55	8.58	34%	0.05	78.9	1.04%	0	0.7	71	0
17	Mar_25_2010	22.19	22.62	22.95	23.02			23.11(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	2	60	8.33	34%	0.14	69.3	1.05%	0	1	78	0
18	Mar_24_2010	22.16	22.54	22.92	23			23.07(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	74	5.88	34%	0.09	65.4	1.06%	0	1.1	82	0
19	Mar_23_2010	22.14	22.48	22.88	22.98			23.18(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	5	91	5.98	34%	0.14	62.1	1.06%	0	1.4	87	0
20	Mar_22_2010	22.11	22.4	22.82	22.92			22.96(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-10000	3	98	8.43	34%	0.09	59.6	1.06%	0	1.1	86	0

21	Mar_19_2010	22.09	22.34	22.76	22.88			22.79(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	1	104	9.04	34%	0.09	62.6	1.05%	0	0.9	82	0
22	Mar_18_2010	22.07	22.29	22.72	22.87			23(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	4	120	4.5	36%	0.09	68.8	1.06%	0	1.5	95	0
23	Mar_17_2010	22.05	22.23	22.63	22.82			22.97(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	4	125	9.81	35%	0.09	77.3	1.07%	0	1.6	95	0
24	Mar_16_2010	22.03	22.17	22.53	22.77			22.9(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	-10000	6	125	6.61	35%	0.09	84.3	1.08%	0	1.7	90	0
25	Mar_15_2010	22.01	22.1	22.43	22.69			22.73(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	5	128	8.78	35%		94.1	1.07%	0	1.5	91	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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