Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.2000 (1.15%) ($21.0500 - $21.2500) on Mon. Feb. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $21.2000(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.62(-26.32%)
Resistance Level   $22.39
5 Day Moving Average   $21.45(-1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.85(-2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.39(-5.31%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.17% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2010	21.73	22.39	21.85	21.45			21.2(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-10	-175	19.22	45%	0	-58.4	1.11%	0	-1.7	30	0
2	Jan_29_2010	21.73	22.48	22	21.57			20.96(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-49	-10000	-11	-163	26.9	43%	0.05	-56.4	1.15%	0	-2.3	26	0
3	Jan_28_2010	21.72	22.59	22.21	21.71			21.33(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-10000	-18	-149	23.14	43%	0.05	-57.1	1.15%	0	-2.2	31	0
4	Jan_27_2010	21.71	22.68	22.37	21.94			21.96(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-10000	-11	-125	17.68	47%	0.05	-49.1	1.11%	0	-1.4	35	0
5	Jan_26_2010	21.7	22.74	22.45	22.08			21.78(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10000	-20	-124	16.13	47%	0	-37.2	1.11%	0	-2	29	0

6	Jan_25_2010	21.7	22.81	22.57	22.33			21.84(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-14	-97	33.34	47%	0.09	-15.8	1.11%	0	-2.3	30	0
7	Jan_22_2010	21.68	22.86	22.69	22.5			21.66(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-35	-10000	-21	-78	33.7	47%	0.09	0	1.1%	0	-3.3	34	0
8	Jan_21_2010	21.66	22.92	22.82	22.76			22.44(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-10000	-9	-49	12.81	52%	0.14	47.1	1.01%	0	-2.4	39	0
9	Jan_20_2010	21.63	22.93	22.88	22.76			22.68(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	0	-34	14.7	54%	0.14	74.3	1%	0	-1.5	44	0
10	Jan_19_2010	21.6	22.92	22.94	22.86			23.05(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	2	-30	7.48	59%	0.23	78.4	0.98%	0	0.8	49	0

11	Jan_15_2010	21.55	22.87	22.95	22.84			22.66(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-7	-32	13.53	56%	0.09	51.5	0.96%	0	-0.9	43	0
12	Jan_14_2010	21.53	22.86	22.98	22.92			22.98(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	2	-14	7.51	61%	0.14	52	0.95%	0	0.4	56	0
13	Jan_13_2010	21.5	22.83	23	22.9			22.92(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-1	-8	10.05	61%	0.14	51.5	0.96%	0	0.3	57	0
14	Jan_12_2010	21.47	22.8	23.01	22.91			22.7(-1.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-7	-10000	-10	3	9.74	60%	0.14	51.7	0.95%	0	-0.3	57	0
15	Jan_11_2010	21.44	22.78	23.05	23.02			22.95(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-6	40	15.24	62%	0.14	59.7	0.94%	0	0.5	68	0

16	Jan_8_2010	21.41	22.75	23.06	23.08			23.04(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-10000	2	79	11.89	62%	0.14	65	0.94%	0	0.8	75	0
17	Jan_7_2010	21.38	22.71	23.04	23.06			22.89(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-5	85	7.29	62%	0.19	65.6	0.94%	0	0.5	63	0
18	Jan_6_2010	21.34	22.67	23.03	23.11			22.98(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-1	108	10.02	65%	0.14	65.1	0.94%	0	0.8	67	0
19	Jan_5_2010	21.31	22.63	22.99	23.12			23.24(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	3	117	19.99	68%	0.19	68.5	0.94%	0	1.5	68	0
20	Jan_4_2010	21.27	22.58	22.9	23.09			23.27(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	5	118	8.45	68%	0.24	74	0.95%	0	1.7	72	0

21	Dec_31_2009	21.22	22.52	22.78	23.04			22.93(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	3	108	5.76	59%	0.19	77.4	0.93%	0	1.1	66	0
22	Dec_30_2009	21.18	22.47	22.73	23.01			23.13(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	7	104	5.68	59%	0.14	76.4	1.01%	0	1.8	73	0
23	Dec_29_2009	21.15	22.42	22.64	22.93			23.05(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	9	102	3.85	59%	0.19	77.6	1.01%	0	1.9	76	0
24	Dec_28_2009	21.11	22.35	22.58	22.83			23.08(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	13	95	9.13	61%	0.24	72.3	1.01%	0	2.2	69	0
25	Dec_24_2009	21.06	22.28	22.49	22.68			23.01(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	16	76	1.67	61%		63.3	1.02%	0	2.4	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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