Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.2400 (-0.22%) ($22.1700 - $22.4000) on Fri. Dec. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.2400(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.18(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.12(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.05(0.86%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2009	20.81	22.05	22.12	22.18			22.24(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	1	36	4.1	62%	0.1	70.7	1%	0	1.1	65	0
2	Dec_10_2009	20.79	22.02	22.07	22.17			22.29(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	4	36	10.93	64%	0.14	79.1	1%	0	1.4	62	0
3	Dec_9_2009	20.76	22	22.04	22.13			22.19(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	28	7.48	64%	0.14	104.9	1.01%	0	1.1	51	0
4	Dec_8_2009	20.73	21.98	22.02	22.11			21.98(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-2	18	8.83	64%	0.14	129.3	1.01%	0	0	44	0
5	Dec_7_2009	20.7	21.97	22.03	22.13			22.18(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	8	24	6.64	64%	0.15	153.5	1%	0	1.1	50	0

6	Dec_4_2009	20.67	21.92	21.98	22.04			22.22(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	9	7	11.02	66%	0.15	124.8	1.01%	0	1.2	57	0
7	Dec_3_2009	20.64	21.87	21.98	22.04			22.08(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	0	-10	6.45	66%	0.19	101.6	1.03%	0	0.8	59	0
8	Dec_2_2009	20.6	21.81	21.94	21.94			22.07(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	-10000	1	-4	5.21	66%	0.19	77	1.03%	0	0.7	54	0
9	Dec_1_2009	20.56	21.75	21.95	21.94			22.1(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	0	7	8.53	62%	0.24	60.1	1.03%	0	0.8	58	0
10	Nov_30_2009	20.51	21.68	21.96	21.93			21.75(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	2	16	6.98	57%	0.2	50.7	1.06%	0	0.1	52	0

11	Nov_27_2009	20.47	21.63	21.97	21.91			21.71(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-2	29	5.26	57%	0.34	39.6	1.06%	0	0.2	62	0
12	Nov_25_2009	20.4	21.6	21.98	21.93			22.07(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	-1	44	3.51	60%	0.25	37.2	1.03%	0	0.9	70	0
13	Nov_24_2009	20.35	21.54	21.96	21.94			22.03(-0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-3	73	7.01	60%	0.2	33.9	1.03%	0	0.9	75	0
14	Nov_23_2009	20.31	21.49	21.93	21.98			22.07(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	-10000	-2	109	7.24	60%	0.1	35.2	1.03%	0	1.1	77	0
15	Nov_20_2009	20.29	21.45	21.9	22			21.69(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	32	-10000	-4	140	5.55	60%	0.2	36.6	1.02%	0	0.5	72	0

16	Nov_19_2009	20.25	21.43	21.86	22.04			21.8(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	44	-10000	2	168	10.57	60%	0.15	41.2	1.02%	0	0.7	76	0
17	Nov_18_2009	20.22	21.4	21.81	22.02			22.12(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	5	175	4.21	65%	0.2	41.9	1%	0	1.4	65	0
18	Nov_17_2009	20.18	21.36	21.68	21.97			22.24(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	-10000	9	172	5	60%	0.2	41.4	1.01%	0	1.9	72	0
19	Nov_16_2009	20.14	21.31	21.52	21.87			22.14(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	-10000	7	141	8	60%	0.2	40.6	1.06%	0	1.9	64	0
20	Nov_13_2009	20.1	21.26	21.38	21.79			21.9(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	11	122	5.44	59%	0.2	44.1	1.07%	0	1.7	59	0

21	Nov_12_2009	20.06	21.22	21.25	21.66			21.7(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	9	87	6.36	61%	0.2	39.4	1.06%	0	1.4	54	0
22	Nov_11_2009	20.02	21.2	21.2	21.56			21.86(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	19	72	5.21	59%	0.2	38.8	1.08%	0	1.9	55	0
23	Nov_10_2009	19.98	21.17	21.08	21.34			21.73(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	18	27	5.37	59%	0.2	33.1	1.1%	0	1.9	55	0
24	Nov_9_2009	19.94	21.13	21.01	21.13			21.74(2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	11	-10000	18	-9	7.44	59%	0.2	18.8	1.1%	0	2.2	56	0
25	Nov_6_2009	19.9	21.09	20.94	20.92			21.25(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	11	-46	4.96	56%		10.5	1.07%	0	0.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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