Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 7, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.7500 (-0.19%) ($20.6500 - $20.8100) on Wed. Oct. 7, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $20.7500(-0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.49(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.63(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.71(0.19%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20091107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2009	19.2	20.71	20.63	20.49			20.75(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-15	-10000	-3	-52	5.19	64%	0.16	45.5	1.09%	0	0.2	48	0
2	Oct_6_2009	19.17	20.7	20.64	20.49			20.79(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-12	-10000	0	-46	8.25	64%	0.21	60.4	1.14%	0	0.4	46	0
3	Oct_5_2009	19.13	20.67	20.65	20.52			20.42(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-9	-48	6.22	62%	0.21	65.8	1.12%	0	-1.1	43	0
4	Oct_2_2009	19.09	20.66	20.69	20.62			20.25(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-12	-10000	-6	-28	7.15	57%	0.16	66.7	1.13%	0	-1.6	44	0
5	Oct_1_2009	19.06	20.64	20.76	20.69			20.25(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-9	-10000	-7	-15	16.2	57%	0.21	54.2	1.18%	0	-1.2	42	0

6	Sep_30_2009	19.02	20.62	20.82	20.78			20.87(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	-1	4	14.91	62%	0.21	46.7	1.11%	0	0.7	57	0
7	Sep_29_2009	18.98	20.56	20.83	20.79			20.81(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-2	17	11.11	62%	0.21	37.3	1.12%	0	0.6	64	0
8	Sep_28_2009	18.94	20.52	20.82	20.81			20.92(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	34	5.06	62%	0.16	38.3	1.12%	0	0.9	71	0
9	Sep_25_2009	18.91	20.49	20.79	20.78			20.58(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-5	42	9.22	60%	0.21	39.5	1.11%	0	0.2	69	0
10	Sep_24_2009	18.87	20.47	20.79	20.84			20.71(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-3	76	5.58	60%	0.16	48.6	1.11%	0	0.6	80	0

11	Sep_23_2009	18.84	20.44	20.81	20.84			20.91(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-10000	0	107	6.53	60%	0.16	57.1	1.11%	0	1.1	88	0
12	Sep_22_2009	18.81	20.4	20.76	20.87			20.91(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	35	-10000	3	130	5.69	56%	0.16	65	1.11%	0	1.2	88	0
13	Sep_21_2009	18.78	20.36	20.69	20.84			20.8(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	2	129	6.01	56%	0.21	74.6	1.16%	0	1.1	68	0
14	Sep_18_2009	18.74	20.32	20.63	20.81			20.89(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	3	123	6.55	56%	0.21	78.7	1.16%	0	1.4	61	0
15	Sep_17_2009	18.7	20.26	20.52	20.77			20.84(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	3	109	5.73	56%	0.16	78.1	1.16%	0	1.5	62	0

16	Sep_16_2009	18.67	20.2	20.4	20.73			20.92(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	8	96	10.84	56%	0.21	73.6	1.16%	0	1.8	65	0
17	Sep_15_2009	18.63	20.13	20.27	20.63			20.76(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	9	72	4.57	56%	0.22	71.2	1.17%	0	1.7	64	0
18	Sep_14_2009	18.59	20.05	20.19	20.52			20.62(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	8	58	4.52	56%	0.22	55.4	1.18%	0	1.5	63	0
19	Sep_11_2009	18.55	20.01	20.15	20.42			20.69(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	16	51	11.76	56%	0.22	49.7	1.18%	0	1.8	63	0
20	Sep_10_2009	18.51	19.96	20.1	20.23			20.67(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	18	35	15.73	56%	0.22	44.2	1.18%	0	2.2	68	0

21	Sep_9_2009	18.47	19.92	20.04	20.02			20.39(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	13	18	7.06	54%	0.16	32.2	1.17%	0	1.6	68	0
22	Sep_8_2009	18.44	19.87	20	19.87			20.24(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	4	5	3.12	54%	0.33	10.3	1.17%	0	1.3	67	0
23	Sep_4_2009	18.38	19.84	20	19.82			20.09(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	1	-10000	-3	14	10.25	54%	0.16	2.2	1.17%	0	0.9	71	0
24	Sep_3_2009	18.35	19.84	19.98	19.86			19.74(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-8	27	5.34	51%	0.16	7.4	1.16%	0	-0.3	52	0
25	Sep_2_2009	18.32	19.82	19.99	19.95			19.65(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-9	39	4.95	51%		14	1.17%	0	-0.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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