Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 10, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.7000 (-0.45%) ($19.5400 - $19.7600) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $19.7000(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(76%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.74(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.75(-0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.46(1.23%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20090910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2009	17.7	19.46		19.74			19.7(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-5	19	12.46	65%	0.23	90.6	1.26%	0	0.4	64	0
2	Aug_7_2009	17.66	19.37	19.75	19.8			19.79(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	2	41	11.74	57%	0.28	80.1	1.25%	0	0.6	69	0
3	Aug_6_2009	17.61	19.27	19.74	19.78			19.59(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	48	10.21	57%	0.23	70.5	1.35%	0	0.4	70	0
4	Aug_5_2009	17.57	19.17	19.75	19.82			19.73(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	1	76	5.01	57%	0.29	61.5	1.34%	0	0.6	78	0
5	Aug_4_2009	17.52	19.06	19.72	19.8			19.91(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	3	95	5.82	57%	0.29	53.5	1.34%	0	0.9	87	0

6	Aug_3_2009	17.47	18.93	19.66	19.76			19.97(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	4	121	7.82	57%	0.34	47.7	1.35%	0	1.1	93	0
7	Jul_31_2009	17.41	18.82	19.58	19.7			19.7(-0.35%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	36	-10000	1	142	6.73	55%	0.29	44.6	1.36%	0	1	92	0
8	Jul_30_2009	17.36	18.73	19.52	19.7			19.77(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-10000	0	176	11.48	55%	0.35	43.4	1.36%	0	1.1	95	0
9	Jul_29_2009	17.3	18.65	19.43	19.69			19.67(-0.1%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0	57	-10000	5	214	5.93	55%	0.29	47.5	1.36%	0	1.2	95	0
10	Jul_28_2009	17.25	18.57	19.32	19.63			19.69(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	64	-10000	6	238	5.89	55%	0.41	50.4	1.37%	0	1.3	96	0

11	Jul_27_2009	17.18	18.5	19.15	19.55			19.65(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	67	-10000	7	247	5.74	55%	0.35	54.6	1.37%	0	1.4	96	0
12	Jul_24_2009	17.12	18.42	18.98	19.45			19.65(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	-10000	10	244	10.71	55%	0.35	55.2	1.37%	0	1.6	79	0
13	Jul_23_2009	17.06	18.34	18.77	19.32			19.77(1.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	-10000	14	229	13.41	55%	0.35	56.8	1.37%	0	2	80	0
14	Jul_22_2009	17	18.24	18.54	19.13			19.39(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	-10000	13	190	7.26	52%	0.35	54.7	1.36%	0	1.9	64	0
15	Jul_21_2009	16.94	18.15	18.33	18.96			19.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	-10000	22	156	15.82	52%	0.36	49.4	1.36%	0	2	64	0

16	Jul_20_2009	16.88	18.07	18.14	18.68			19.17(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	-10000	21	96	20.7	47%	0.3	35.5	1.37%	0	2.2	60	0
17	Jul_17_2009	16.83	18.01	17.99	18.42			19(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	22	51	18.45	47%	0.3	21.6	1.43%	0	2.2	61	0
18	Jul_16_2009	16.78	17.95	17.86	18.13			18.82(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	17	-10000	21	5	8.52	52%	0.24	-1.4	1.43%	0	2.3	58	0
19	Jul_15_2009	16.74	17.91	17.79	17.86			18.55(3.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	8	-10000	19	-24	8.31	50%	0.3	-28.8	1.46%	0	1.9	59	0
20	Jul_14_2009	16.69	17.87	17.74	17.62			17.88(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	9	-51	6.95	43%	0.24	-58.9	1.39%	0	0	55	0

21	Jul_13_2009	16.65	17.89	17.78	17.51			17.86(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-12	-10000	2	-54	8.24	43%	0.18	-69.6	1.4%	0	-0.1	55	0
22	Jul_10_2009	16.62	17.91	17.81	17.49			17.53(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-5	-60	10.03	40%	0.18	-67	1.38%	0	-1.2	39	0
23	Jul_9_2009	16.59	17.96	17.88	17.55			17.46(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-14	-51	14.03	45%	0.18	-57.1	1.39%	0	-1.5	42	0
24	Jul_8_2009	16.56	18	17.93	17.72			17.35(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-13	-32	8.61	45%	0.18	-40.7	1.42%	0	-2.1	38	0
25	Jul_7_2009	16.53	18.05	17.97	17.89			17.34(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-16	-10000	-16	-17	4.49	41%		-25.2	1.43%	0	-2.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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