Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $13.6500 (0.52%) ($13.1700 - $13.8600) on Fri. Mar. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $13.6500(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(77%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $3.95(-71.06%)
Resistance Level   $14.53
5 Day Moving Average   $13.73(-0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.94(-2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.53(-6.06%)
To recent high   -16.3%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 5.23% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2009	15.16	14.53	13.94	13.73			13.65(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-6	-95	23.33	51%	-0.2	-46.1	2.28%	0	-1.2	28	0
2	Mar_5_2009	15.19	14.62	14.02	13.83			13.58(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-8	-102	6.95	51%	-0.13	-41.9	2.29%	0	-1.4	26	0
3	Mar_4_2009	15.21	14.71	14.11	13.96			14.01(2.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-4	-104	6.41	55%	-0.26	-42.2	2.32%	0	-1	30	0
4	Mar_3_2009	15.25	14.77	14.18	14.03			13.65(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-32	-10000	-7	-107	7.44	52%	-0.26	-40.3	2.35%	0	-1.6	24	0
5	Mar_2_2009	15.29	14.84	14.29	14.15			13.78(-2.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-29	-10000	-1	-113	7.35	52%	-0.13	-40	2.38%	0	-1.6	20	0

6	Feb_27_2009	15.31	14.89	14.45	14.16			14.12(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-33	-10000	-5	-115	6.97	46%	-0.13	-44.4	2.53%	0	-1.3	23	0
7	Feb_26_2009	15.33	14.94	14.57	14.25			14.22(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-2	-108	7.07	46%	-0.2	-39.8	2.55%	0	-1.3	35	0
8	Feb_25_2009	15.36	15.01	14.69	14.28			14.37(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-4	-103	18.43	46%	-0.13	-34.9	2.58%	0	-1.1	41	0
9	Feb_24_2009	15.38	15.05	14.78	14.36			14.24(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-5	-96	8.19	52%	-0.26	-25.9	2.59%	0	-1.5	39	0
10	Feb_23_2009	15.42	15.1	14.96	14.46			13.87(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-10000	-16	-78	14.2	49%	-0.32	-21.5	2.64%	0	-2.5	40	0

11	Feb_20_2009	15.47	15.16	15.17	14.77			14.54(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-9	-34	12.28	54%	-0.26	-5.1	2.65%	0	-1.5	52	0
12	Feb_19_2009	15.51	15.17	15.27	14.95			14.4(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-10	-16	6.83	49%	-0.39	6.7	2.71%	0	-1.9	43	0
13	Feb_18_2009	15.57	15.21	15.36	15.15			14.76(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-6	-3	6.66	49%	-0.32	20.2	2.79%	0	-1.2	40	0
14	Feb_17_2009	15.62	15.2	15.41	15.27			14.75(-4.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-10000	-12	5	6.24	49%	-0.64	16.3	2.79%	0	-1.1	47	0
15	Feb_13_2009	15.72	15.21	15.44	15.52			15.39(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-6	25	3.92	54%	-0.32	27.8	2.8%	0	0.4	56	0

16	Feb_12_2009	15.77	15.18	15.38	15.64			15.46(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	34	5.79	50%	-0.32	23.7	2.91%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Feb_11_2009	15.82	15.15	15.35	15.63			15.39(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	1	39	5.68	50%	-0.32	12.2	2.97%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Feb_10_2009	15.87	15.14	15.36	15.6			15.36(-4.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	44	8.83	50%	-0.31	-2.6	2.99%	0	0.5	55	0
19	Feb_9_2009	15.92	15.13	15.35	15.57			16.01(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	10	57	4.61	53%	-0.31	-12.1	2.94%	0	2.2	70	0
20	Feb_6_2009	15.97	15.1	15.25	15.35			15.97(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	20	-10000	12	44	7.67	49%	-0.31	-36.1	2.96%	0	2.4	60	0

21	Feb_5_2009	16.02	15.09	15.13	15.09			15.44(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	3	22	8.97	43%	-0.31	-51.7	3.02%	0	1	57	0
22	Feb_4_2009	16.07	15.1	15.06	15.03			15.2(-0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-3	14	5.78	46%	-0.37	-46	3.1%	0	0.3	56	0
23	Feb_3_2009	16.13	15.15	15.04	15.1			15.21(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	0	19	6.33	46%	-0.37	-20.7	3.15%	0	0.1	50	0
24	Feb_2_2009	16.19	15.18	14.95	15.09			14.91(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-2	7	4.93	46%	-0.43	-11.1	3.14%	0	-0.6	46	0
25	Jan_30_2009	16.26	15.23	14.96	15.13			14.68(-2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-2	2	5.08	48%		0	3.13%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.