Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 25, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $14.3700 (0.91%) ($14.0100 - $14.6300) on Wed. Feb. 25, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $14.3700(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(77%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $7.26(-49.48%)
Resistance Level   $15.01
5 Day Moving Average   $14.28(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.69(-2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.01(-4.26%)
To recent high   -11.9%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.73% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2009	15.36	15.01	14.69	14.28			14.37(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-4	-103	18.43	46%	-0.13	-34.9	2.58%	0	-1.1	41	0
2	Feb_24_2009	15.38	15.05	14.78	14.36			14.24(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-5	-96	8.19	52%	-0.26	-25.9	2.59%	0	-1.5	39	0
3	Feb_23_2009	15.42	15.1	14.96	14.46			13.87(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-10000	-16	-78	14.2	49%	-0.32	-21.5	2.64%	0	-2.5	40	0
4	Feb_20_2009	15.47	15.16	15.17	14.77			14.54(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-9	-34	12.28	54%	-0.26	-5.1	2.65%	0	-1.5	52	0
5	Feb_19_2009	15.51	15.17	15.27	14.95			14.4(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-10000	-10	-16	6.83	49%	-0.39	6.7	2.71%	0	-1.9	43	0

6	Feb_18_2009	15.57	15.21	15.36	15.15			14.76(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-6	-3	6.66	49%	-0.32	20.2	2.79%	0	-1.2	40	0
7	Feb_17_2009	15.62	15.2	15.41	15.27			14.75(-4.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-10000	-12	5	6.24	49%	-0.64	16.3	2.79%	0	-1.1	47	0
8	Feb_13_2009	15.72	15.21	15.44	15.52			15.39(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-6	25	3.92	54%	-0.32	27.8	2.8%	0	0.4	56	0
9	Feb_12_2009	15.77	15.18	15.38	15.64			15.46(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	34	5.79	50%	-0.32	23.7	2.91%	0	0.7	59	0
10	Feb_11_2009	15.82	15.15	15.35	15.63			15.39(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	11	-10000	1	39	5.68	50%	-0.32	12.2	2.97%	0	0.6	61	0

11	Feb_10_2009	15.87	15.14	15.36	15.6			15.36(-4.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	44	8.83	50%	-0.31	-2.6	2.99%	0	0.5	55	0
12	Feb_9_2009	15.92	15.13	15.35	15.57			16.01(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	10	57	4.61	53%	-0.31	-12.1	2.94%	0	2.2	70	0
13	Feb_6_2009	15.97	15.1	15.25	15.35			15.97(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	20	-10000	12	44	7.67	49%	-0.31	-36.1	2.96%	0	2.4	60	0
14	Feb_5_2009	16.02	15.09	15.13	15.09			15.44(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	3	22	8.97	43%	-0.31	-51.7	3.02%	0	1	57	0
15	Feb_4_2009	16.07	15.1	15.06	15.03			15.2(-0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-3	14	5.78	46%	-0.37	-46	3.1%	0	0.3	56	0

16	Feb_3_2009	16.13	15.15	15.04	15.1			15.21(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	0	19	6.33	46%	-0.37	-20.7	3.15%	0	0.1	50	0
17	Feb_2_2009	16.19	15.18	14.95	15.09			14.91(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-2	7	4.93	46%	-0.43	-11.1	3.14%	0	-0.6	46	0
18	Jan_30_2009	16.26	15.23	14.96	15.13			14.68(-2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-2	2	5.08	48%	-0.43	0	3.13%	0	-1.1	41	0
19	Jan_29_2009	16.33	15.23	14.98	15.17			15.13(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	2	-10000	4	-4	5.07	46%	-0.37	7.2	3.15%	0	-0.3	40	0
20	Jan_28_2009	16.39	15.27	14.94	15.08			15.59(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	5	-22	7.14	54%	-0.36	3.9	3.16%	0	0.6	46	0

21	Jan_27_2009	16.45	15.24	14.94	14.96			15.16(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	6	-37	6.14	54%	-0.42	-5.1	3.6%	0	-0.2	35	0
22	Jan_26_2009	16.52	15.24	14.89	14.8			15.07(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	1	-56	7.34	54%	-0.42	-16.7	3.61%	0	-0.3	40	0
23	Jan_23_2009	16.59	15.24	14.93	14.77			14.89(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	0	-62	7.44	51%	-0.36	-24	3.66%	0	-0.7	37	0
24	Jan_22_2009	16.65	15.23	15.02	14.76			14.68(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-0	-59	7.49	49%	-0.48	-34.3	3.67%	0	-1.1	44	0
25	Jan_21_2009	16.73	15.25	15.13	14.77			15.02(4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-1	-54	5.86	46%		-35.6	3.71%	0	-0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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