Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 28, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $15.5900 (2.84%) ($15.3100 - $15.7800) on Wed. Jan. 28, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.16% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $15.5900(2.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(77%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -1.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.58% (StdDev 3.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.08(3.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.94(4.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.27(2.1%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 3.34% (three month std-dev: 3.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2009	16.39	15.27	14.94	15.08			15.59(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	5	-22	7.14	54%	-0.36	3.9	3.16%	0	0.6	46	0
2	Jan_27_2009	16.45	15.24	14.94	14.96			15.16(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	6	-37	6.14	54%	-0.42	-5.1	3.6%	0	-0.2	35	0
3	Jan_26_2009	16.52	15.24	14.89	14.8			15.07(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	1	-56	7.34	54%	-0.42	-16.7	3.61%	0	-0.3	40	0
4	Jan_23_2009	16.59	15.24	14.93	14.77			14.89(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	0	-62	7.44	51%	-0.36	-24	3.66%	0	-0.7	37	0
5	Jan_22_2009	16.65	15.23	15.02	14.76			14.68(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-0	-59	7.49	49%	-0.48	-34.3	3.67%	0	-1.1	44	0

6	Jan_21_2009	16.73	15.25	15.13	14.77			15.02(4.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-14	-10000	-1	-54	5.86	46%	-0.48	-35.6	3.71%	0	-0.5	49	0
7	Jan_20_2009	16.81	15.27	15.25	14.81			14.33(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-7	-43	16.86	46%	-0.53	-34	3.72%	0	-1.8	46	0
8	Jan_16_2009	16.9	15.32	15.42	15			14.94(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-4	-22	7.45	50%	-0.47	-27.9	3.69%	0	-0.8	53	0
9	Jan_15_2009	16.98	15.35	15.52	15.12			14.84(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-7	-7	7.65	47%	-0.53	-19.5	3.75%	0	-1.2	52	0
10	Jan_14_2009	17.07	15.41	15.59	15.33			14.74(-3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-10000	-7	10	8.51	46%	-0.47	-2.9	3.87%	0	-1.6	52	0

11	Jan_13_2009	17.15	15.44	15.65	15.54			15.2(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-7	24	8.65	50%	-0.46	5	3.87%	0	-0.6	55	0
12	Jan_12_2009	17.23	15.45	15.64	15.76			15.27(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-10000	-4	33	5.13	50%	-0.52	22.7	4.14%	0	-0.4	51	0
13	Jan_9_2009	17.32	15.45	15.62	15.9			15.55(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-3	39	3.94	49%	-0.4	40.4	4.14%	0	0.3	56	0
14	Jan_8_2009	17.39	15.44	15.56	15.99			15.9(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	41	5.71	49%	-0.46	50.4	4.15%	0	1.1	52	0
15	Jan_7_2009	17.47	15.44	15.46	15.89			15.79(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	4	27	6.21	48%	-0.4	57.5	4.15%	0	0.9	45	0

16	Jan_6_2009	17.54	15.42	15.39	15.77			16.31(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	8	22	8.43	46%	-0.45	67.7	4.18%	0	2.2	64	0
17	Jan_5_2009	17.62	15.35	15.27	15.5			15.94(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	6	-10000	6	7	6.27	46%	-0.45	53.2	4.23%	0	1.6	57	0
18	Jan_2_2009	17.7	15.28	15.19	15.3			15.99(3.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	5	-10000	7	-3	4.48	45%	-0.73	30	4.23%	0	2.1	60	0
19	Dec_31_2008	17.83	15.23	15.15	15.09			15.41(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	3	-14	4.14	45%	-0.5	17	4.22%	0	0.5	48	0
20	Dec_30_2008	17.92	15.19	15.15	14.98			15.22(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	1	-19	4.27	46%	-0.44	8.4	4.22%	0	0.1	44	0

21	Dec_29_2008	18	15.14	15.19	14.95			14.94(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-2	-26	3.01	44%	-0.5	8.1	4.25%	0	-0.5	38	0
22	Dec_26_2008	18.09	15.16	15.23	15.01			14.93(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-2	-20	2.12	44%	-0.71	34.2	4.38%	0	-0.5	51	0
23	Dec_24_2008	18.22	15.18	15.26	15.07			14.95(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-4	-13	1.66	44%	-0.38	55.2	4.36%	0	-0.5	59	0
24	Dec_23_2008	18.29	15.17	15.32	15.21			14.85(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-7	-3	5.59	44%	-0.44	66.1	4.35%	0	-0.7	50	0
25	Dec_22_2008	18.37	15.16	15.4	15.44			15.06(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-1	18	7.91	44%		82.1	4.35%	0	-0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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