Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $15.9400 (-0.31%) ($15.7200 - $16.0400) on Mon. Jan. 5, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.23% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $15.9400(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(77%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -2.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.115% (StdDev 4.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.5(2.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.27(4.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.35(3.84%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 4.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2009	17.62	15.35	15.27	15.5			15.94(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	6	-10000	6	7	6.27	46%	-0.45	53.2	4.23%	0	1.6	57	0
2	Jan_2_2009	17.7	15.28	15.19	15.3			15.99(3.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	5	-10000	7	-3	4.48	45%	-0.73	30	4.23%	0	2.1	60	0
3	Dec_31_2008	17.83	15.23	15.15	15.09			15.41(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	3	-14	4.14	45%	-0.5	17	4.22%	0	0.5	48	0
4	Dec_30_2008	17.92	15.19	15.15	14.98			15.22(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	1	-19	4.27	46%	-0.44	8.4	4.22%	0	0.1	44	0
5	Dec_29_2008	18	15.14	15.19	14.95			14.94(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-2	-26	3.01	44%	-0.5	8.1	4.25%	0	-0.5	38	0

6	Dec_26_2008	18.09	15.16	15.23	15.01			14.93(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-2	-20	2.12	44%	-0.71	34.2	4.38%	0	-0.5	51	0
7	Dec_24_2008	18.22	15.18	15.26	15.07			14.95(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-4	-13	1.66	44%	-0.38	55.2	4.36%	0	-0.5	59	0
8	Dec_23_2008	18.29	15.17	15.32	15.21			14.85(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-7	-3	5.59	44%	-0.44	66.1	4.35%	0	-0.7	50	0
9	Dec_22_2008	18.37	15.16	15.4	15.44			15.06(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-1	18	7.91	44%	-0.38	82.1	4.35%	0	-0.2	56	0
10	Dec_19_2008	18.44	15.11	15.46	15.46			15.27(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-1	33	17.32	44%	-0.38	63.4	4.36%	0	0.3	63	0

11	Dec_18_2008	18.51	15.01	15.45	15.48			15.22(-2.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	0	33	8.84	45%	-0.38	34.8	4.36%	0	0.3	51	0
12	Dec_17_2008	18.58	14.95	15.38	15.47			15.66(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	27	8.56	44%	-0.38	26.9	4.39%	0	1	54	0
13	Dec_16_2008	18.65	14.89	15.32	15.43			15.97(5.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	2	29	9.83	44%	-0.32	21.8	4.43%	0	1.6	60	0
14	Dec_15_2008	18.71	14.81	15.19	15.37			15.18(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-3	25	5.57	42%	-0.37	11.4	4.38%	0	0.6	57	0
15	Dec_12_2008	18.78	14.81	15.1	15.48			15.35(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	2	36	7.85	42%	-0.37	9.2	4.42%	0	0.9	64	0

16	Dec_11_2008	18.85	14.79	15.1	15.41			15.17(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	4	52	17.68	42%	-0.42	7.1	4.41%	0	0.6	68	0
17	Dec_10_2008	18.93	14.76	15.08	15.27			15.5(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	3	58	6.98	42%	-0.32	-10.5	4.42%	0	1.1	64	0
18	Dec_9_2008	18.99	14.74	15.01	15.18			15.63(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	6	57	8.17	42%	-0.37	-28.6	4.42%	0	1.4	57	0
19	Dec_8_2008	19.06	14.74	14.9	14.99			15.73(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	-10000	10	51	9.41	42%	-0.37	-43.8	4.42%	0	1.6	59	0
20	Dec_5_2008	19.13	14.73	14.72	14.67			15.03(3.94%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	4	-10000	-2	23	10.4	40%	-0.42	-61.9	4.38%	0	0.5	52	0

21	Dec_4_2008	19.21	14.74	14.54	14.72			14.46(-4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-5	5	10.06	39%	-0.41	-68.5	4.34%	0	-0.4	43	0
22	Dec_3_2008	19.29	14.83	14.48	14.87			15.07(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	2	9	9.66	39%	-0.36	-55.5	4.34%	0	0.3	53	0
23	Dec_2_2008	19.36	14.93	14.43	14.81			14.65(3.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	1	-1	8	39%	-0.36	-44.5	4.32%	0	-0.3	46	0
24	Dec_1_2008	19.43	15.02	14.4	14.79			14.15(-7.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-2	-10000	2	-12	6.3	39%	-0.46	-34.4	4.29%	0	-0.9	41	0
25	Nov_28_2008	19.52	15.14	14.46	14.74			15.25(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	-10000	14	-20	1.86	40%		-28	4.21%	0	0.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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