Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $16.3000 (-6.05%) ($16.2700 - $17.1400) on Wed. Nov. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.74% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $16.3000(-6.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(78%)    VWO(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -1.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.87% (StdDev 3.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

Resistance Level   $16.36
5 Day Moving Average   $16.74(-2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.26(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.36(-0.37%)
To recent high   -31.3%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 4.46% (three month std-dev: 3.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2008	20.86	16.36	16.26	16.74			16.3(-6.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-10000	1	21	9.04	42%	-0.38	-25.8	3.74%	0	-0.1	49	0
2	Nov_4_2008	20.94	16.37	16.18	16.71			17.35(4.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	4	17	12.22	44%	-0.33	-45.7	3.69%	0	1.3	59	0
3	Nov_3_2008	21.01	16.33	16.06	16.6			16.65(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	13	7	6.77	42%	-0.38	-66.9	3.65%	0	0.4	48	0
4	Oct_31_2008	21.09	16.37	16.1	16.22			16.65(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	11	-21	23.45	42%	-0.38	-75.3	3.65%	0	0.3	45	0
5	Oct_30_2008	21.17	16.45	16.07	15.9			16.75(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	7	-35	19.15	42%	-0.33	-82.4	3.65%	0	0.3	55	0

6	Oct_29_2008	21.24	16.55	16.05	15.71			16.15(-3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	5	-41	16.56	41%	-0.38	-80.2	3.61%	0	-0.3	53	0
7	Oct_28_2008	21.32	16.71	16.03	15.57			16.8(13.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	4	-56	12.09	42%	-0.37	-76	3.6%	0	0.1	52	0
8	Oct_27_2008	21.4	16.84	16.04	15.47			14.75(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-10000	-20	-77	8.75	35%	-0.47	-76	3.14%	0	-1.5	42	0
9	Oct_24_2008	21.5	17.06	16.34	15.96			15.06(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-12	-42	14.14	35%	-0.51	-66.6	3.14%	0	-1.3	39	0
10	Oct_23_2008	21.61	17.34	16.45	16.26			15.8(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-7	-50	18.53	38%	-0.41	-60.1	3.11%	0	-0.9	37	0

11	Oct_22_2008	21.7	17.58	16.48	16.44			15.45(-5.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-3	-67	11.39	38%	-0.41	-56.2	3.1%	0	-1.3	34	0
12	Oct_21_2008	21.79	17.82	16.6	16.52			16.3(-5.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-7	-97	10	39%	-0.41	-54.8	3.04%	0	-0.9	34	0
13	Oct_20_2008	21.88	18.02	16.65	16.69			17.2(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	-5	-120	18.87	40%	-0.36	-54.2	2.99%	0	-0.5	36	0
14	Oct_17_2008	21.96	18.17	16.67	16.81			16.54(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-28	-10000	5	-127	15.63	38%	-0.41	-52	2.95%	0	-0.9	38	0
15	Oct_16_2008	22.05	18.38	16.86	16.68			16.7(5.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-34	-10000	6	-155	19.92	39%	-0.41	-55.6	2.95%	0	-0.9	33	0

16	Oct_15_2008	22.14	18.58	17.06	16.54			15.87(-7.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-5	-190	17.9	36%	-0.4	-61.2	2.88%	0	-1.5	28	0
17	Oct_14_2008	22.23	18.79	17.43	16.67			17.16(-3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-46	-10000	4	-194	24.42	39%	-0.22	-64.9	2.74%	0	-1	34	0
18	Oct_13_2008	22.28	18.99	17.68	16.58			17.76(11.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-52	-10000	1	-209	16.44	40%	-0.31	-68.5	2.71%	0	-0.7	37	0
19	Oct_10_2008	22.35	19.13	17.79	16.55			15.9(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-92	-10000	-28	-282	31.53	32%	-0.4	-69.7	2.26%	0	-1.8	20	0
20	Oct_9_2008	22.44	19.43	18.28	17.1			16(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-83	-10000	-29	-244	23.15	31%	-0.36	-66.9	2.27%	0	-2.1	19	0

21	Oct_8_2008	22.52	19.72	18.75	17.68			16.55(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-74	-10000	-30	-206	24.3	32%	-0.4	-65.6	2.26%	0	-2.2	21	0
22	Oct_7_2008	22.61	19.97	19.15	18.3			16.7(-5.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-61	-10000	-29	-158	14.86	32%	-0.4	-65.8	2.27%	0	-2.6	32	0
23	Oct_6_2008	22.7	20.22	19.53	18.93			17.6(-5.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-40	-10000	-13	-121	20.37	34%	-0.35	-68.5	2.2%	0	-2.4	30	0
24	Oct_3_2008	22.78	20.44	19.82	19.21			18.63(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10000	-21	-113	13.05	37%	-0.31	-78.9	2.12%	0	-2	38	0
25	Oct_2_2008	22.85	20.59	20.04	19.64			18.9(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-17	-91	10.86	37%		-82.4	2.12%	0	-2	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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