Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $15.8700 (-7.52%) ($15.8400 - $17.0500) on Wed. Oct. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.88% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $15.8700(-7.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(93%)    SPY(90%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(78%)    VWO(76%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -1.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(6%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.44% (StdDev 2.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-0.33(-102.08%)
Resistance Level   $18.58
5 Day Moving Average   $16.54(-4.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.06(-6.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.58(-14.59%)
To recent high   -33.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 9.47% (three month std-dev: 2.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2008	22.14	18.58	17.06	16.54			15.87(-7.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-5	-190	17.9	36%	-0.4	-61.2	2.88%	0	-1.5	28	0
2	Oct_14_2008	22.23	18.79	17.43	16.67			17.16(-3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-46	-10000	4	-194	24.42	39%	-0.22	-64.9	2.74%	0	-1	34	0
3	Oct_13_2008	22.28	18.99	17.68	16.58			17.76(11.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-52	-10000	1	-209	16.44	40%	-0.31	-68.5	2.71%	0	-0.7	37	0
4	Oct_10_2008	22.35	19.13	17.79	16.55			15.9(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-92	-10000	-28	-282	31.53	32%	-0.4	-69.7	2.26%	0	-1.8	20	0
5	Oct_9_2008	22.44	19.43	18.28	17.1			16(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-83	-10000	-29	-244	23.15	31%	-0.36	-66.9	2.27%	0	-2.1	19	0

6	Oct_8_2008	22.52	19.72	18.75	17.68			16.55(-0.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-74	-10000	-30	-206	24.3	32%	-0.4	-65.6	2.26%	0	-2.2	21	0
7	Oct_7_2008	22.61	19.97	19.15	18.3			16.7(-5.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-61	-10000	-29	-158	14.86	32%	-0.4	-65.8	2.27%	0	-2.6	32	0
8	Oct_6_2008	22.7	20.22	19.53	18.93			17.6(-5.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-40	-10000	-13	-121	20.37	34%	-0.35	-68.5	2.2%	0	-2.4	30	0
9	Oct_3_2008	22.78	20.44	19.82	19.21			18.63(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10000	-21	-113	13.05	37%	-0.31	-78.9	2.12%	0	-2	38	0
10	Oct_2_2008	22.85	20.59	20.04	19.64			18.9(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-17	-91	10.86	37%	-0.26	-82.4	2.12%	0	-2	34	0

11	Oct_1_2008	22.91	20.72	20.24	20			19.67(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-7	-74	13.47	39%	-0.22	-83.2	2.07%	0	-1.3	38	0
12	Sep_30_2008	22.96	20.85	20.27	20.14			19.85(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-4	-80	10.35	39%	-0.22	-78.7	2.07%	0	-1.2	42	0
13	Sep_29_2008	23.01	20.99	20.39	20.23			19(-8.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-13	-86	20.52	35%	-0.26	-80.6	1.98%	0	-2.4	34	0
14	Sep_26_2008	23.07	21.18	20.58	20.49			20.8(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	-1	-88	16.68	39%	-0.17	-81.9	1.69%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	Sep_25_2008	23.11	21.29	20.66	20.5			20.7(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-1	-84	14.86	39%	-0.17	-70	1.7%	0	-0.7	43	0

16	Sep_24_2008	23.15	21.41	20.74	20.52			20.35(0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	5	-81	7.08	37%	-0.22	-64.9	1.69%	0	-1.1	40	0
17	Sep_23_2008	23.2	21.54	20.84	20.43			20.3(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-9	-110	16.73	37%	-0.17	-67.7	1.69%	0	-1.3	34	0
18	Sep_22_2008	23.24	21.67	20.95	20.59			20.31(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-5	-114	8.85	37%	-0.21	-65.9	1.69%	0	-1.4	32	0
19	Sep_19_2008	23.29	21.82	21.1	20.67			20.85(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-10	-125	11.22	37%	-0.17	-66.6	1.68%	0	-1	34	0
20	Sep_18_2008	23.33	21.93	21.16	20.85			20.77(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-10	-137	22.79	37%	-0.13	-65.1	1.68%	0	-1.2	30	0

21	Sep_17_2008	23.36	22.04	21.24	21.02			19.92(-5.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-52	-10000	-17	-158	22.13	32%	-0.17	-64.1	1.58%	0	-2.3	22	0
22	Sep_16_2008	23.4	22.21	21.49	21.3			21.09(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-4	-151	27.43	36%	-0.13	-68	1.44%	0	-1.4	31	0
23	Sep_15_2008	23.43	22.32	21.63	21.36			20.7(-4.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-10000	-14	-160	20.2	33%	-0.13	-68	1.41%	0	-2	25	0
24	Sep_12_2008	23.46	22.48	21.84	21.58			21.75(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-36	-10000	4	-154	7.18	37%	-0.13	-62.7	1.3%	0	-0.9	28	0
25	Sep_11_2008	23.49	22.57	21.98	21.53			21.65(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10000	2	-156	9.76	35%		-60.1	1.31%	0	-1.2	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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