Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 3, 2008

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $18.6300 (-1.43%) ($18.5500 - $19.5200) on Fri. Oct. 3, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.12% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $18.6300(-1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(93%)    SPY(90%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(79%)    VWO(76%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -1.06% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(6%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.06% (StdDev 2.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.17(-40.04%)
Resistance Level   $20.44
5 Day Moving Average   $19.21(-3.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.82(-6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.44(-8.86%)
To recent high   -21.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 4.45% (three month std-dev: 2.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2008	22.78	20.44	19.82	19.21			18.63(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10000	-21	-113	13.05	37%	-0.31	-78.9	2.12%	0	-2	38	0
2	Oct_2_2008	22.85	20.59	20.04	19.64			18.9(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-17	-91	10.86	37%	-0.26	-82.4	2.12%	0	-2	34	0
3	Oct_1_2008	22.91	20.72	20.24	20			19.67(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-7	-74	13.47	39%	-0.22	-83.2	2.07%	0	-1.3	38	0
4	Sep_30_2008	22.96	20.85	20.27	20.14			19.85(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-4	-80	10.35	39%	-0.22	-78.7	2.07%	0	-1.2	42	0
5	Sep_29_2008	23.01	20.99	20.39	20.23			19(-8.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-13	-86	20.52	35%	-0.26	-80.6	1.98%	0	-2.4	34	0

6	Sep_26_2008	23.07	21.18	20.58	20.49			20.8(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	-1	-88	16.68	39%	-0.17	-81.9	1.69%	0	-0.5	41	0
7	Sep_25_2008	23.11	21.29	20.66	20.5			20.7(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-1	-84	14.86	39%	-0.17	-70	1.7%	0	-0.7	43	0
8	Sep_24_2008	23.15	21.41	20.74	20.52			20.35(0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	5	-81	7.08	37%	-0.22	-64.9	1.69%	0	-1.1	40	0
9	Sep_23_2008	23.2	21.54	20.84	20.43			20.3(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-9	-110	16.73	37%	-0.17	-67.7	1.69%	0	-1.3	34	0
10	Sep_22_2008	23.24	21.67	20.95	20.59			20.31(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-5	-114	8.85	37%	-0.21	-65.9	1.69%	0	-1.4	32	0

11	Sep_19_2008	23.29	21.82	21.1	20.67			20.85(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-39	-10000	-10	-125	11.22	37%	-0.17	-66.6	1.68%	0	-1	34	0
12	Sep_18_2008	23.33	21.93	21.16	20.85			20.77(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-10	-137	22.79	37%	-0.13	-65.1	1.68%	0	-1.2	30	0
13	Sep_17_2008	23.36	22.04	21.24	21.02			19.92(-5.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-52	-10000	-17	-158	22.13	32%	-0.17	-64.1	1.58%	0	-2.3	22	0
14	Sep_16_2008	23.4	22.21	21.49	21.3			21.09(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-4	-151	27.43	36%	-0.13	-68	1.44%	0	-1.4	31	0
15	Sep_15_2008	23.43	22.32	21.63	21.36			20.7(-4.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-10000	-14	-160	20.2	33%	-0.13	-68	1.41%	0	-2	25	0

16	Sep_12_2008	23.46	22.48	21.84	21.58			21.75(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-36	-10000	4	-154	7.18	37%	-0.13	-62.7	1.3%	0	-0.9	28	0
17	Sep_11_2008	23.49	22.57	21.98	21.53			21.65(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10000	2	-156	9.76	35%	-0.09	-60.1	1.31%	0	-1.2	33	0
18	Sep_10_2008	23.51	22.66	22.12	21.5			21.3(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-10000	-15	-166	7.45	32%	-0.13	-59.7	1.32%	0	-1.8	27	0
19	Sep_9_2008	23.54	22.78	22.28	21.71			21.4(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-10000	-17	-149	8.16	32%	-0.13	-51.3	1.32%	0	-1.9	29	0
20	Sep_8_2008	23.57	22.89	22.45	21.95			21.78(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-14	-132	12.67	34%	-0.08	-38.4	1.31%	0	-1.7	28	0

21	Sep_5_2008	23.59	22.97	22.6	22.15			21.52(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-48	-10000	-23	-122	7.2	35%	-0.08	-24.1	1.33%	0	-2.4	21	0
22	Sep_4_2008	23.61	23.05	22.76	22.5			21.52(-3.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-39	-10000	-21	-94	8.9	35%	-0.08	-4.6	1.36%	0	-3.1	23	0
23	Sep_3_2008	23.63	23.13	22.92	22.82			22.32(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-23	-10000	-8	-66	6.66	38%	0	25.2	1.3%	0	-2.3	33	0
24	Sep_2_2008	23.63	23.15	23	22.94			22.62(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-5	-63	5.72	39%	0.04	42.8	1.29%	0	-1.7	35	0
25	Aug_29_2008	23.62	23.14	23.08	23.01			22.75(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-7	-58	8.92	39%		41.2	1.29%	0	-0.9	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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