Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.2300 (-0.54%) ($21.7500 - $22.2300) on Tue. Jul. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $22.2300(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(93%)    SPY(90%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(4%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

Resistance Level   $22.6
5 Day Moving Average   $22.45(-0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.32(-0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.6(-1.64%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2008	23.55	22.6	22.32	22.45			22.23(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	3	-10	7.77	37%	0	-78.9	1.32%	0	-0.8	43	0
2	Jul_21_2008	23.55	22.66	22.37	22.4			22.35(-1.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	4	-17	4.98	37%	0.04	-86.1	1.32%	0	-0.6	42	0
3	Jul_18_2008	23.54	22.73	22.39	22.34			22.8(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	7	-29	9.67	42%	0	-89.3	1.31%	0	0.1	46	0
4	Jul_17_2008	23.54	22.79	22.34	22.23			22.55(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	2	-61	13.01	42%	-0.04	-80.8	1.32%	0	-0.4	38	0
5	Jul_16_2008	23.55	22.87	22.33	22.2			22.32(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-10000	2	-88	6.86	48%	0	-73.8	1.31%	0	-0.8	29	0

6	Jul_15_2008	23.55	22.97	22.37	22.17			22(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-11	-105	11.12	46%	-0.04	-70.6	1.4%	0	-1.3	28	0
7	Jul_14_2008	23.56	23.09	22.46	22.34			22.05(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-7	-98	11.83	46%	0	-63.9	1.4%	0	-1.3	28	0
8	Jul_11_2008	23.56	23.21	22.55	22.45			22.22(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-1	-99	13.32	43%	-0.04	-62.2	1.4%	0	-1.3	27	0
9	Jul_10_2008	23.57	23.31	22.65	22.47			22.43(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-1	-112	6.52	43%	0	-69.7	1.43%	0	-1.1	25	0
10	Jul_9_2008	23.57	23.39	22.77	22.48			22.15(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-36	-10000	-7	-124	5.94	43%	0	-77.6	1.42%	0	-1.7	21	0

11	Jul_8_2008	23.57	23.51	22.91	22.6			22.83(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-10000	-1	-130	6.67	47%	-0.04	-77.8	1.38%	0	-0.9	23	0
12	Jul_7_2008	23.58	23.6	22.97	22.61			22.6(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-5	-150	6.85	47%	0.04	-78	1.37%	0	-1.3	17	0
13	Jul_3_2008	23.57	23.71	23.08	22.68			22.35(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-50	-10000	-12	-162	4.29	47%	-0.04	-74	1.35%	0	-1.7	13	0
14	Jul_2_2008	23.58	23.86	23.27	22.86			22.45(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-49	-10000	-16	-146	6.5	47%	0	-72.1	1.35%	0	-1.9	22	0
15	Jul_1_2008	23.58	23.98	23.44	23.11			22.75(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-9	-117	9.25	51%	0	-69.6	1.35%	0	-1.7	32	0

16	Jun_30_2008	23.58	24.09	23.61	23.26			22.91(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-7	-102	4.77	51%	0	-68.7	1.39%	0	-1.8	27	0
17	Jun_27_2008	23.58	24.2	23.77	23.38			22.94(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-10	-95	9.4	51%	0.04	-62.8	1.39%	0	-1.9	26	0
18	Jun_26_2008	23.57	24.32	23.93	23.55			23.25(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-12	-86	5.35	48%	0.04	-54.6	1.38%	0	-1.8	28	0
19	Jun_25_2008	23.56	24.42	24.03	23.75			23.7(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-6	-84	5.13	51%	0.04	-44.5	1.38%	0	-1.3	25	0
20	Jun_24_2008	23.55	24.49	24.06	23.84			23.5(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-11	-94	5.49	55%	0	-42.7	1.38%	0	-1.8	33	0

21	Jun_23_2008	23.55	24.56	24.17	24.02			23.53(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-12	-79	4.18	55%	0	-41.7	1.44%	0	-2.1	34	0
22	Jun_20_2008	23.55	24.62	24.28	24.22			23.75(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-8	-65	6.46	55%	0.04	-44.7	1.45%	0	-2	34	0
23	Jun_19_2008	23.54	24.66	24.38	24.36			24.25(0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-14	-10000	1	-60	6.33	53%	0.04	-51.3	1.43%	0	-1.1	34	0
24	Jun_18_2008	23.53	24.67	24.49	24.35			24.16(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-13	-10000	2	-56	4.43	58%	0.04	-59.7	1.48%	0	-1.3	36	0
25	Jun_17_2008	23.52	24.72	24.56	24.31			24.42(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-1	-60	4.05	58%		-62.7	1.57%	0	-0.8	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.