Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $25.2000 (0.72%) ($24.9200 - $25.3400) on Thu. May. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $25.2000(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(90%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.82(1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.98(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.88(1.29%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2008	23.37	24.88	24.98	24.82			25.2(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	8	5	2.51	61%	0.04	54.3	1.57%	0	1	61	0
2	May_28_2008	23.36	24.82	24.96	24.67			25.02(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-2	-10000	-1	-6	5	61%	0	32.7	1.59%	0	0.5	59	0
3	May_27_2008	23.36	24.78	24.96	24.69			24.88(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	-6	-8	2.57	61%	-0.04	36.6	1.6%	0	0.2	48	0
4	May_23_2008	23.37	24.74	24.95	24.81			24.48(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10000	-9	4	3.02	60%	-0.09	41.2	1.57%	0	-0.6	49	0
5	May_22_2008	23.39	24.72	24.96	24.99			24.53(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-9	16	2.75	60%	-0.09	53.8	1.58%	0	-0.4	47	0

6	May_21_2008	23.41	24.71	24.98	25.17			24.44(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-5	30	4.22	60%	0.04	71.1	1.58%	0	-0.6	46	0
7	May_20_2008	23.4	24.69	25	25.27			25.1(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	2	55	3.12	64%	-0.04	78.3	1.54%	0	0.8	71	0
8	May_19_2008	23.41	24.63	24.98	25.23			25.5(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	6	65	4.21	66%	-0.09	89.4	1.53%	0	1.7	67	0
9	May_16_2008	23.43	24.55	24.9	25.11			25.37(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	9	67	3.63	66%	-0.04	100.5	1.53%	0	1.7	69	0
10	May_15_2008	23.44	24.48	24.83	24.94			25.43(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	9	64	2.79	66%	-0.09	101.5	1.54%	0	1.9	70	0

11	May_14_2008	23.46	24.37	24.76	24.77			24.95(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	5	56	4.23	61%	0.04	96.5	1.53%	0	1.2	60	0
12	May_13_2008	23.45	24.3	24.66	24.68			24.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	-10000	-1	44	5.5	63%	-0.09	78.9	1.55%	0	1	63	0
13	May_12_2008	23.47	24.19	24.59	24.7			24.9(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	2	52	1.65	63%	-0.09	66.9	1.58%	0	1	65	0
14	May_9_2008	23.49	24.07	24.5	24.66			24.5(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	48	2.92	63%	-0.13	57.2	1.57%	0	0.6	59	0
15	May_8_2008	23.52	23.98	24.46	24.71			24.58(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-3	57	7.47	63%	-0.08	55.3	1.58%	0	0.8	62	0

16	May_7_2008	23.54	23.91	24.43	24.76			24.54(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	8	80	4.7	63%	-0.08	56.3	1.58%	0	0.9	66	0
17	May_6_2008	23.56	23.84	24.38	24.61			24.98(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	8	77	3.5	66%	-0.04	49.7	1.56%	0	1.6	73	0
18	May_5_2008	23.57	23.74	24.26	24.46			24.68(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	7	85	1.54	62%	-0.08	47.4	1.57%	0	1.4	79	0
19	May_2_2008	23.59	23.66	24.19	24.32			24.79(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	8	95	6.49	60%	-0.08	50.9	1.61%	0	1.7	80	0
20	May_1_2008	23.61	23.58	24.09	24.17			24.8(4.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	29	-10000	6	99	7.59	61%	-0.13	54.3	1.62%	0	2	78	0

21	Apr_30_2008	23.64	23.5	23.95	24.06			23.8(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-2	97	3.28	57%	-0.13	63.3	1.55%	0	0.6	59	0
22	Apr_29_2008	23.67	23.48	23.91	24.1			24.23(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	4	113	2.91	60%	-0.08	71.2	1.53%	0	1.4	67	0
23	Apr_28_2008	23.69	23.42	23.75	24.03			24(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	1	98	10.22	60%	-0.13	65.4	1.53%	0	1.1	63	0
24	Apr_25_2008	23.72	23.34	23.61	24.02			24(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	2	89	5.66	58%	-0.13	57.1	1.53%	0	1.2	60	0
25	Apr_24_2008	23.75	23.26	23.47	23.99			24.29(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	80	3.31	58%		57.2	1.54%	0	1.9	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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