Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.8500 (-0.46%) ($21.1100 - $22.1100) on Mon. Mar. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $21.8500(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(90%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

Resistance Level   $22.32
5 Day Moving Average   $22.18(-1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.12(-1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.32(-2.11%)
To recent high   -20.2%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2008	24.75	22.32	22.12	22.18			21.85(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-7	-10000	1	-31	5.72	28%	-0.24	-51.8	1.39%	0	-1.5	33	0
2	Mar_14_2008	24.81	22.36	22.15	22.17			21.95(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-1	-42	8.24	28%	-0.24	-49.3	1.4%	0	-1.4	40	0
3	Mar_13_2008	24.87	22.4	22.17	22.18			22.23(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	3	-46	3.91	28%	-0.2	-43.3	1.4%	0	-0.6	46	0
4	Mar_12_2008	24.92	22.45	22.21	22.18			22.32(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	0	-50	4.4	31%	-0.24	-28.8	1.4%	0	-0.4	47	0
5	Mar_11_2008	24.98	22.47	22.26	22.14			22.55(3.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	5	-42	5.31	30%	-0.2	-26.9	1.42%	0	0.2	49	0

6	Mar_10_2008	25.03	22.48	22.28	22.06			21.78(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-5	-52	9.31	24%	-0.2	-39.1	1.34%	0	-2	34	0
7	Mar_7_2008	25.08	22.51	22.37	22.14			22.02(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-12	-10000	-1	-45	4.61	24%	-0.24	-56.3	1.34%	0	-1.5	33	0
8	Mar_6_2008	25.14	22.53	22.42	22.16			22.02(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-8	-51	3.02	24%	-0.24	-69.2	1.34%	0	-1.7	32	0
9	Mar_5_2008	25.2	22.55	22.47	22.28			22.33(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-7	-52	5.3	29%	-0.24	-73.4	1.34%	0	-0.8	28	0
10	Mar_4_2008	25.26	22.57	22.49	22.39			22.17(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-10	-44	4.31	29%	-0.2	-74.2	1.38%	0	-1.5	41	0

11	Mar_3_2008	25.31	22.62	22.53	22.54			22.14(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-6	-31	2.92	29%	-0.24	-55.6	1.38%	0	-1.7	41	0
12	Feb_29_2008	25.37	22.69	22.59	22.63			22.15(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-7	-10000	-5	-14	4.49	29%	-0.24	-28	1.37%	0	-1.6	50	0
13	Feb_28_2008	25.43	22.74	22.66	22.7			22.61(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1	-10000	1	1	2.7	34%	-0.2	-22	1.35%	0	-0.4	54	0
14	Feb_27_2008	25.48	22.76	22.72	22.68			22.9(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	16	2.52	34%	-0.2	-22.8	1.4%	0	0.4	62	0
15	Feb_26_2008	25.53	22.76	22.7	22.61			22.88(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	4	12	3.1	33%	-0.2	-22.1	1.41%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Feb_25_2008	25.58	22.77	22.68	22.54			22.62(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-1	-5	2.48	33%	-0.2	-29.9	1.42%	0	-0.4	41	0
17	Feb_22_2008	25.63	22.78	22.65	22.56			22.49(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-4	-27	3	33%	-0.16	-37	1.43%	0	-0.8	33	0
18	Feb_21_2008	25.67	22.82	22.66	22.62			22.51(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-9	-36	3.45	32%	-0.19	-39.2	1.44%	0	-0.9	41	0
19	Feb_20_2008	25.72	22.84	22.64	22.77			22.55(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-2	-29	5.79	32%	-0.19	-46.3	1.45%	0	-0.9	46	0
20	Feb_19_2008	25.77	22.85	22.65	22.81			22.51(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-2	-34	2.31	31%	-0.23	-71.1	1.46%	0	-1	43	0

21	Feb_15_2008	25.83	22.88	22.71	22.84			22.72(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	5	-25	2.31	32%	-0.19	-86.8	1.48%	0	-0.5	48	0
22	Feb_14_2008	25.88	22.91	22.79	22.76			22.8(-1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	4	-21	3.64	32%	-0.15	-100.6	1.48%	0	-0.3	50	0
23	Feb_13_2008	25.92	22.96	22.83	22.69			23.26(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	11	-25	5.76	37%	-0.15	-105.7	1.47%	0	0.8	50	0
24	Feb_12_2008	25.96	23	22.8	22.51			22.74(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	-10000	2	-45	4.78	33%	-0.15	-99.5	1.5%	0	-0.5	49	0
25	Feb_11_2008	26	23.09	22.83	22.47			22.69(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	-6	-45	3.19	33%		-81.8	1.51%	0	-0.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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