Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $26.5700 (0.38%) ($26.4300 - $26.6600) on Thu. Sep. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $26.5700(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(90%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.23(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.08(1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.97(2.31%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2007	25.69	25.97	26.08	26.23			26.57(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	9	15	1.85	51%	0.08	90.4	1.07%	0	1.7	62	0
2	Sep_19_2007	25.67	25.91	26.04	26.11			26.47(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	7	11	2.07	51%	0.08	89.6	1.07%	0	1.6	62	0
3	Sep_18_2007	25.65	25.84	26.04	26.02			26.37(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	4	18	3.39	51%	0.08	77.6	1.07%	0	1.4	69	0
4	Sep_17_2007	25.63	25.77	26.01	25.96			25.86(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	2	27	0.93	49%	0.04	60.6	1.04%	0	0.2	55	0
5	Sep_14_2007	25.62	25.72	26.01	25.93			25.87(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	2	29	2.9	50%	0.04	48.6	1.04%	0	0.3	52	0

6	Sep_13_2007	25.61	25.66	26.03	25.9			26(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-4	34	1.84	51%	0.08	32.7	1.05%	0	0.7	59	0
7	Sep_12_2007	25.59	25.6	26.01	25.96			26(-0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-10000	-2	51	2.79	50%	0.04	22.7	1.06%	0	0.8	60	0
8	Sep_11_2007	25.58	25.55	25.93	25.99			26.07(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-6	57	2.48	50%	0.08	18.4	1.07%	0	1	65	0
9	Sep_10_2007	25.56	25.53	25.89	26.07			25.7(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-5	83	3.5	48%	0.08	21.6	1.06%	0	0.3	63	0
10	Sep_7_2007	25.54	25.5	25.9	26.14			25.75(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	28	-10000	-1	113	4.74	48%	0.08	24.5	1.07%	0	0.5	65	0

11	Sep_6_2007	25.52	25.49	25.87	26.16			26.29(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	-10000	8	141	2.29	49%	0.08	23.5	1.05%	0	1.5	76	0
12	Sep_5_2007	25.5	25.48	25.77	26.05			26.16(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	15	145	2.46	49%	0.08	22	1.06%	0	1.3	71	0
13	Sep_4_2007	25.48	25.46	25.66	25.85			26.44(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	-10000	12	121	4.44	50%	0.16	14.1	1.05%	0	2	68	0
14	Aug_31_2007	25.44	25.42	25.51	25.69			26.04(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	4	88	4.65	49%	0.08	5.3	1.03%	0	1.4	54	0
15	Aug_30_2007	25.42	25.38	25.38	25.63			25.87(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	7	75	4.31	50%	0.08	-1.2	1.03%	0	1.2	57	0

16	Aug_29_2007	25.4	25.38	25.26	25.54			25.76(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	7	44	3.27	50%	0.08	-10.8	1.03%	0	0.9	50	0
17	Aug_28_2007	25.38	25.37	25.16	25.45			25.16(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	2	-10000	2	1	2.8	47%	0.08	-25.9	0.99%	0	-0.5	36	0
18	Aug_27_2007	25.36	25.37	25.15	25.42			25.62(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	11	-17	1.47	49%	0	-39.8	0.97%	0	0.6	47	0
19	Aug_24_2007	25.36	25.39	25.13	25.28			25.76(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	15	-38	2.57	47%	0.08	-61.5	0.98%	0	0.9	49	0
20	Aug_23_2007	25.34	25.38	25.07	25.1			25.4(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	14	-67	1.91	45%	0.04	-80.9	0.97%	0	0	51	0

21	Aug_22_2007	25.33	25.42	25.08	24.93			25.33(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-18	-10000	9	-98	2	45%	0.08	-85.1	0.97%	0	-0.2	44	0
22	Aug_21_2007	25.31	25.48	25.16	24.82			25(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-29	-10000	-1	-112	2.86	43%	0.08	-86.1	0.96%	0	-0.9	41	0
23	Aug_20_2007	25.29	25.55	25.23	24.83			24.92(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10000	-12	-112	2.19	43%	0.04	-80.9	0.96%	0	-1.1	44	0
24	Aug_17_2007	25.28	25.65	25.31	24.97			24.83(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-7	-93	4.01	43%	0.08	-71.1	0.96%	0	-1.3	41	0
25	Aug_16_2007	25.26	25.74	25.37	25.05			24.59(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-17	-95	4.04	43%		-66.7	0.95%	0	-1.8	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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