Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 14, 2007

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.9800 (0.92%) ($22.5900 - $22.9900) on Wed. Mar. 14, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $22.9800(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $23.3
5 Day Moving Average   $22.97(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.9(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.3(-1.37%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2007	23.39	23.3	22.9	22.97			22.98(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-10000	5	-79	2.9	38%	0	-32.9	0.9%	0	-0.6	33	0
2	Mar_13_2007	23.39	23.33	22.91	22.92			22.77(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-5	-113	1.66	36%	0	-37.4	0.9%	0	-1.1	32	0
3	Mar_12_2007	23.39	23.36	22.93	22.97			23.14(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	-10000	9	-127	1.59	39%	0.04	-38.5	0.88%	0	-0.5	35	0
4	Mar_9_2007	23.38	23.38	23	22.88			23(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-31	-10000	7	-146	1.13	39%	0	-46.3	0.87%	0	-0.8	32	0
5	Mar_8_2007	23.38	23.42	23.09	22.81			22.94(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-43	-10000	-3	-162	2.77	39%	0	-49.3	0.88%	0	-1	30	0

6	Mar_7_2007	23.38	23.47	23.19	22.84			22.75(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10000	-6	-160	1.54	39%	0	-49	0.87%	0	-1.5	28	0
7	Mar_6_2007	23.38	23.51	23.3	22.9			23.04(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	1	-143	2.18	41%	0.04	-48.1	0.86%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	Mar_5_2007	23.37	23.55	23.38	22.89			22.69(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-57	-10000	-26	-151	1.41	36%	0	-47.5	0.83%	0	-2	37	0
9	Mar_2_2007	23.37	23.61	23.51	23.14			22.64(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-10000	-26	-101	2.61	40%	0	-32.3	0.84%	0	-2.6	34	0
10	Mar_1_2007	23.37	23.66	23.64	23.4			23.07(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-20	-53	3.68	42%	0	-11.8	0.82%	0	-2	35	0

11	Feb_28_2007	23.37	23.7	23.73	23.59			23.05(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-2	-16	-10000	-16	-17	3.62	42%	0.04	7	0.82%	0	-2.4	36	0
12	Feb_27_2007	23.36	23.73	23.79	23.75			23(-3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.3	-13	-10000	-19	6	4.72	38%	0.04	36.1	0.82%	0	-3.2	38	0
13	Feb_26_2007	23.35	23.76	23.85	23.94			23.92(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	1	45	0.99	46%	0.04	84.7	0.72%	0	0.9	58	0
14	Feb_23_2007	23.34	23.73	23.81	23.94			23.98(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	0	38	1.01	46%	0.09	76.3	0.72%	0	1.3	57	0
15	Feb_22_2007	23.32	23.7	23.79	23.93			24(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	4	45	3.58	48%	0.09	75	0.72%	0	1.6	62	0

16	Feb_21_2007	23.3	23.68	23.76	23.9			23.87(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	8	43	1.16	48%	0.09	75	0.73%	0	1.1	54	0
17	Feb_20_2007	23.28	23.65	23.74	23.83			23.91(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	10	34	1.32	48%	0.13	41.2	0.73%	0	1.3	60	0
18	Feb_16_2007	23.25	23.61	23.72	23.74			23.9(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	8	22	2.04	48%	0.09	10.1	0.72%	0	1.4	64	0
19	Feb_15_2007	23.23	23.59	23.7	23.67			23.95(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	4	20	3.06	48%	0.09	-11.8	0.72%	0	1.8	68	0
20	Feb_14_2007	23.21	23.56	23.67	23.64			23.86(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	2	22	1.02	48%	0.09	-24.7	0.72%	0	1.6	67	0

21	Feb_13_2007	23.19	23.54	23.65	23.62			23.54(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-2	22	1.53	46%	0.09	-24.7	0.71%	0	0	48	0
22	Feb_12_2007	23.17	23.56	23.65	23.64			23.44(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-6	38	2.6	46%	0.09	-12.9	0.71%	0	-0.6	58	0
23	Feb_9_2007	23.15	23.59	23.66	23.69			23.54(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-5	57	1.88	46%	0.09	4.3	0.71%	0	-0.2	61	0
24	Feb_8_2007	23.13	23.61	23.65	23.73			23.8(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	4	71	1.37	49%	0.09	13.7	0.7%	0	0.8	61	0
25	Feb_7_2007	23.11	23.6	23.6	23.7			23.77(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	1	63	1.57	49%		18.6	0.7%	0	0.7	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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