Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 28, 2007

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.0500 (0.22%) ($22.8700 - $23.2700) on Wed. Feb. 28, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $23.0500(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-21%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $23.7
5 Day Moving Average   $23.59(-2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.73(-2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.7(-2.74%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   0.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20070328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2007	23.37	23.7	23.73	23.59			23.05(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-2	-16	-10000	-16	-17	3.62	42%	0.04	7	0.82%	0	-2.4	36	0
2	Feb_27_2007	23.36	23.73	23.79	23.75			23(-3.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.3	-13	-10000	-19	6	4.72	38%	0.04	36.1	0.82%	0	-3.2	38	0
3	Feb_26_2007	23.35	23.76	23.85	23.94			23.92(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	1	45	0.99	46%	0.04	84.7	0.72%	0	0.9	58	0
4	Feb_23_2007	23.34	23.73	23.81	23.94			23.98(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	0	38	1.01	46%	0.09	76.3	0.72%	0	1.3	57	0
5	Feb_22_2007	23.32	23.7	23.79	23.93			24(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	4	45	3.58	48%	0.09	75	0.72%	0	1.6	62	0

6	Feb_21_2007	23.3	23.68	23.76	23.9			23.87(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	8	43	1.16	48%	0.09	75	0.73%	0	1.1	54	0
7	Feb_20_2007	23.28	23.65	23.74	23.83			23.91(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	10	34	1.32	48%	0.13	41.2	0.73%	0	1.3	60	0
8	Feb_16_2007	23.25	23.61	23.72	23.74			23.9(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	8	22	2.04	48%	0.09	10.1	0.72%	0	1.4	64	0
9	Feb_15_2007	23.23	23.59	23.7	23.67			23.95(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	4	20	3.06	48%	0.09	-11.8	0.72%	0	1.8	68	0
10	Feb_14_2007	23.21	23.56	23.67	23.64			23.86(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	2	22	1.02	48%	0.09	-24.7	0.72%	0	1.6	67	0

11	Feb_13_2007	23.19	23.54	23.65	23.62			23.54(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-2	22	1.53	46%	0.09	-24.7	0.71%	0	0	48	0
12	Feb_12_2007	23.17	23.56	23.65	23.64			23.44(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-6	38	2.6	46%	0.09	-12.9	0.71%	0	-0.6	58	0
13	Feb_9_2007	23.15	23.59	23.66	23.69			23.54(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-5	57	1.88	46%	0.09	4.3	0.71%	0	-0.2	61	0
14	Feb_8_2007	23.13	23.61	23.65	23.73			23.8(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	4	71	1.37	49%	0.09	13.7	0.7%	0	0.8	61	0
15	Feb_7_2007	23.11	23.6	23.6	23.7			23.77(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	1	63	1.57	49%	0.09	18.6	0.7%	0	0.7	61	0

16	Feb_6_2007	23.09	23.6	23.59	23.69			23.66(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	1	61	1.7	52%	0.09	24.7	0.7%	0	0.3	49	0
17	Feb_5_2007	23.07	23.59	23.55	23.68			23.69(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	6	36	1.03	52%	0.09	27.8	0.71%	0	0.4	42	0
18	Feb_2_2007	23.05	23.59	23.5	23.63			23.75(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	10	2	1.52	52%	0.09	24.5	0.71%	0	0.7	41	0
19	Feb_1_2007	23.03	23.58	23.46	23.55			23.63(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	7	-34	1.51	52%	0.09	25.5	0.71%	0	0.2	40	0
20	Jan_31_2007	23.01	23.56	23.43	23.49			23.73(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	3	-59	1.72	52%	0.09	24.5	0.71%	0	0.7	49	0

21	Jan_30_2007	22.99	23.54	23.42	23.47			23.59(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	8	-60	2.5	52%	0.13	22.5	0.71%	0	0.2	50	0
22	Jan_29_2007	22.96	23.53	23.45	23.4			23.45(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	6	-64	2.34	52%	0.09	13.7	0.71%	0	-0.3	48	0
23	Jan_26_2007	22.94	23.53	23.5	23.4			23.35(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	0	-60	4.29	49%	0.13	8.5	0.73%	0	-0.7	48	0
24	Jan_25_2007	22.91	23.52	23.56	23.35			23.34(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-1	-51	1.51	51%	0.09	3.8	0.73%	0	-0.7	43	0
25	Jan_24_2007	22.89	23.5	23.6	23.36			23.63(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-11	-10000	-1	-39	4.38	54%		-3.8	0.72%	0	0.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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