Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 14, 2007

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.8600 (1.36%) ($23.6100 - $23.8800) on Wed. Feb. 14, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $23.8600(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.64(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.67(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.56(1.27%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2007	23.21	23.56	23.67	23.64			23.86(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	2	22	1.02	48%	0.09	-24.7	0.72%	0	1.6	67	0
2	Feb_13_2007	23.19	23.54	23.65	23.62			23.54(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-2	22	1.53	46%	0.09	-24.7	0.71%	0	0	48	0
3	Feb_12_2007	23.17	23.56	23.65	23.64			23.44(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-6	38	2.6	46%	0.09	-12.9	0.71%	0	-0.6	58	0
4	Feb_9_2007	23.15	23.59	23.66	23.69			23.54(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-5	57	1.88	46%	0.09	4.3	0.71%	0	-0.2	61	0
5	Feb_8_2007	23.13	23.61	23.65	23.73			23.8(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	4	71	1.37	49%	0.09	13.7	0.7%	0	0.8	61	0

6	Feb_7_2007	23.11	23.6	23.6	23.7			23.77(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	1	63	1.57	49%	0.09	18.6	0.7%	0	0.7	61	0
7	Feb_6_2007	23.09	23.6	23.59	23.69			23.66(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	1	61	1.7	52%	0.09	24.7	0.7%	0	0.3	49	0
8	Feb_5_2007	23.07	23.59	23.55	23.68			23.69(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	6	36	1.03	52%	0.09	27.8	0.71%	0	0.4	42	0
9	Feb_2_2007	23.05	23.59	23.5	23.63			23.75(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	10	2	1.52	52%	0.09	24.5	0.71%	0	0.7	41	0
10	Feb_1_2007	23.03	23.58	23.46	23.55			23.63(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	7	-34	1.51	52%	0.09	25.5	0.71%	0	0.2	40	0

11	Jan_31_2007	23.01	23.56	23.43	23.49			23.73(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	3	-59	1.72	52%	0.09	24.5	0.71%	0	0.7	49	0
12	Jan_30_2007	22.99	23.54	23.42	23.47			23.59(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	8	-60	2.5	52%	0.13	22.5	0.71%	0	0.2	50	0
13	Jan_29_2007	22.96	23.53	23.45	23.4			23.45(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	6	-64	2.34	52%	0.09	13.7	0.71%	0	-0.3	48	0
14	Jan_26_2007	22.94	23.53	23.5	23.4			23.35(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	0	-60	4.29	49%	0.13	8.5	0.73%	0	-0.7	48	0
15	Jan_25_2007	22.91	23.52	23.56	23.35			23.34(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-1	-51	1.51	51%	0.09	3.8	0.73%	0	-0.7	43	0

16	Jan_24_2007	22.89	23.5	23.56	23.36			23.63(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-11	-10000	-1	-39	4.38	54%	0.09	-3.8	0.72%	0	0.5	58	0
17	Jan_23_2007	22.87	23.5	23.6	23.37			23.21(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-23	-10000	-19	-36	1.47	50%	0.04	-11.3	0.69%	0	-1	52	0
18	Jan_22_2007	22.86	23.49	23.64	23.52			23.21(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-10000	-20	2	3.4	50%	0.09	1.8	0.69%	0	-1.1	50	0
19	Jan_19_2007	22.84	23.5	23.68	23.68			23.38(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-10000	-14	44	2.37	52%	0.09	16	0.69%	0	-0.4	54	0
20	Jan_18_2007	22.82	23.51	23.68	23.8			23.39(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	16	-10000	-8	89	4.83	52%	0.09	26.9	0.69%	0	-0.4	59	0

21	Jan_17_2007	22.8	23.52	23.71	23.87			23.66(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	32	-10000	2	121	1.51	55%	0.13	35	0.68%	0	0.5	69	0
22	Jan_16_2007	22.77	23.51	23.68	23.85			23.97(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	10	129	1.56	60%	0.22	39	0.66%	0	1.6	70	0
23	Jan_12_2007	22.72	23.49	23.61	23.77			24.02(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	-10000	13	116	3.15	64%	0.18	36.8	0.66%	0	2.1	67	0
24	Jan_11_2007	22.68	23.46	23.54	23.67			23.96(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	6	91	3.62	64%	0.13	25.5	0.68%	0	2.3	66	0
25	Jan_10_2007	22.65	23.43	23.46	23.62			23.72(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	10	74	2.66	61%		19.8	0.67%	0	1.5	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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