Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.6300 (1.81%) ($23.2800 - $23.6300) on Wed. Jan. 24, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $23.6300(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.36(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.6(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.5(0.55%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2007	22.89	23.5		23.36			23.63(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-11	-10000	-1	-39	4.38	54%	0.09	-3.8	0.72%	0	0.5	58	0
2	Jan_23_2007	22.87	23.5	23.6	23.37			23.21(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-23	-10000	-19	-36	1.47	50%	0.04	-11.3	0.69%	0	-1	52	0
3	Jan_22_2007	22.86	23.49	23.64	23.52			23.21(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-10000	-20	2	3.4	50%	0.09	1.8	0.69%	0	-1.1	50	0
4	Jan_19_2007	22.84	23.5	23.68	23.68			23.38(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	0	-10000	-14	44	2.37	52%	0.09	16	0.69%	0	-0.4	54	0
5	Jan_18_2007	22.82	23.51	23.68	23.8			23.39(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	16	-10000	-8	89	4.83	52%	0.09	26.9	0.69%	0	-0.4	59	0

6	Jan_17_2007	22.8	23.52	23.71	23.87			23.66(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	32	-10000	2	121	1.51	55%	0.13	35	0.68%	0	0.5	69	0
7	Jan_16_2007	22.77	23.51	23.68	23.85			23.97(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	10	129	1.56	60%	0.22	39	0.66%	0	1.6	70	0
8	Jan_12_2007	22.72	23.49	23.61	23.77			24.02(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	-10000	13	116	3.15	64%	0.18	36.8	0.66%	0	2.1	67	0
9	Jan_11_2007	22.68	23.46	23.54	23.67			23.96(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	6	91	3.62	64%	0.13	25.5	0.68%	0	2.3	66	0
10	Jan_10_2007	22.65	23.43	23.46	23.62			23.72(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	10	74	2.66	61%	0.13	19.8	0.67%	0	1.5	55	0

11	Jan_9_2007	22.62	23.41	23.39	23.54			23.6(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	9	40	3.47	61%	0.18	11	0.67%	0	1.1	49	0
12	Jan_8_2007	22.58	23.41	23.35	23.47			23.57(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	6	9	1.78	61%	0.09	-4.1	0.67%	0	1	44	0
13	Jan_5_2007	22.56	23.41	23.33	23.42			23.5(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	4	-8	1.65	61%	0.13	-11	0.67%	0	0.6	49	0
14	Jan_4_2007	22.53	23.41	23.31	23.39			23.69(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	-10000	13	-17	2.88	68%	0.13	-8.8	0.66%	0	1.8	55	0
15	Jan_3_2007	22.5	23.41	23.28	23.29			23.33(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	8	-44	4.75	64%	0.4	-17.2	0.66%	0	-0.5	42	0

16	Dec_29_2006	22.41	23.4	23.3	23.23			23.26(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	1	-53	1.07	64%	0.13	-38.2	0.67%	0	-0.9	46	0
17	Dec_28_2006	22.38	23.41	23.34	23.23			23.33(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-12	-10000	0	-47	1.01	64%	0.18	-48.5	0.67%	0	-0.5	48	0
18	Dec_27_2006	22.34	23.41	23.35	23.23			23.34(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-12	-10000	0	-47	0.91	64%	0.18	-52.9	0.67%	0	-0.5	45	0
19	Dec_26_2006	22.3	23.41	23.36	23.22			23.17(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-8	-59	0.89	63%	0.27	-63.2	0.67%	0	-1.6	35	0
20	Dec_22_2006	22.24	23.42	23.4	23.28			23.04(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-12	-49	1.41	67%	0.14	-61.6	0.7%	0	-2.2	30	0

21	Dec_21_2006	22.21	23.46	23.44	23.38			23.22(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-11	-26	1.82	70%	0.18	-46.9	0.7%	0	-1.6	49	0
22	Dec_20_2006	22.17	23.49	23.46	23.47			23.33(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-5	-10	1.27	73%	0.18	-20.3	0.71%	0	-1.1	45	0
23	Dec_19_2006	22.13	23.5	23.48	23.51			23.32(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2	-10000	-2	-2	1.49	73%	0.14	-9.4	0.73%	0	-1.2	47	0
24	Dec_18_2006	22.1	23.52	23.51	23.53			23.47(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-1	14	2.08	73%	0.18	4.7	0.73%	0	-0.3	56	0
25	Dec_15_2006	22.06	23.53	23.52	23.54			23.56(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	4	32	1.85	73%		23.4	0.73%	0	0.2	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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