Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $23.2200 (-0.47%) ($23.1500 - $23.3700) on Thu. Dec. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $23.2200(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $23.46
5 Day Moving Average   $23.38(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.44(-0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.46(-1.02%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.64% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_21_2006	22.21	23.46	23.44	23.38			23.22(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-11	-26	1.82	70%	0.18	-46.9	0.7%	0	-1.6	49	0
2	Dec_20_2006	22.17	23.49	23.46	23.47			23.33(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-5	-10	1.27	73%	0.18	-20.3	0.71%	0	-1.1	45	0
3	Dec_19_2006	22.13	23.5	23.48	23.51			23.32(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2	-10000	-2	-2	1.49	73%	0.14	-9.4	0.73%	0	-1.2	47	0
4	Dec_18_2006	22.1	23.52	23.51	23.53			23.47(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-1	14	2.08	73%	0.18	4.7	0.73%	0	-0.3	56	0
5	Dec_15_2006	22.06	23.52	23.52	23.54			23.56(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	4	32	1.85	73%	0.18	23.4	0.73%	0	0.2	62	0

6	Dec_14_2006	22.02	23.53	23.5	23.51			23.69(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	7	13	1.32	73%	0.18	34.4	0.72%	0	1.1	47	0
7	Dec_13_2006	21.98	23.53	23.5	23.51			23.49(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	0	-11	1.4	72%	0.18	37.5	0.72%	0	-0.2	41	0
8	Dec_12_2006	21.94	23.52	23.48	23.45			23.45(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-4	-18	3	75%	0.18	51.6	0.72%	0	-0.5	46	0
9	Dec_11_2006	21.9	23.51	23.47	23.48			23.53(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-2	-20	0.96	75%	0.23	66.2	0.74%	0	0.1	47	0
10	Dec_8_2006	21.85	23.49	23.44	23.5			23.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	-10000	1	-30	0.82	75%	0.18	74	0.74%	0	-0.6	44	0

11	Dec_7_2006	21.81	23.47	23.47	23.49			23.39(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-2	-29	1.56	75%	0.18	70.8	0.75%	0	-0.4	45	0
12	Dec_6_2006	21.77	23.46	23.51	23.49			23.48(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.97	68%	0.18	74.5	0.75%	0	0.1	50	0
13	Dec_5_2006	21.73	23.44	23.53	23.51			23.63(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	7	-6	1.16	68%	0.23	74.5	0.78%	0	0.8	55	0
14	Dec_4_2006	21.68	23.4	23.53	23.45			23.62(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	9	-7	1.42	68%	0.23	60.9	0.78%	0	0.8	60	0
15	Dec_1_2006	21.63	23.36	23.52	23.37			23.32(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-9	-14	2.9	66%	0.19	44.4	0.77%	0	-0.1	59	0

16	Nov_30_2006	21.59	23.33	23.52	23.45			23.52(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	-7	20	1.72	69%	0.19	42.5	0.76%	0	0.6	67	0
17	Nov_29_2006	21.55	23.29	23.52	23.51			23.47(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-3	48	3.17	69%	0.19	42.6	0.76%	0	0.5	66	0
18	Nov_28_2006	21.51	23.26	23.55	23.54			23.32(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-8	67	2.94	69%	0.14	46.5	0.76%	0	0.2	63	0
19	Nov_27_2006	21.48	23.24	23.55	23.61			23.2(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	15	-10000	-10	91	3.23	69%	0.14	50	0.77%	0	-0.1	64	0
20	Nov_24_2006	21.45	23.22	23.56	23.7			23.76(-0.21%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	40	-10000	5	143	0.42	80%	0.23	55.4	0.7%	0	1.4	95	0

21	Nov_22_2006	21.4	23.18	23.48	23.66			23.81(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	7	154	1.07	80%	0.14	63.9	0.7%	0	1.8	99	0
22	Nov_21_2006	21.37	23.14	23.41	23.6			23.63(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	4	156	1.43	79%	0.14	68.7	0.69%	0	1.4	85	0
23	Nov_20_2006	21.34	23.09	23.35	23.57			23.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	46	-10000	9	156	1.4	79%	0.14	71.9	0.7%	0	1.7	77	0
24	Nov_17_2006	21.31	23.05	23.27	23.5			23.64(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	13	148	1.52	79%	0.14	73.1	0.7%	0	2	78	0
25	Nov_16_2006	21.28	23.01	23.17	23.39			23.6(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	41	-10000	13	124	1.62	81%		67.2	0.7%	0	2.1	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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