Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $22.8900 (0.22%) ($22.7800 - $22.9900) on Tue. Oct. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.8900(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.9(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.81(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.66(1.02%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   17.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2006	20.9	22.66	22.81	22.9			22.89(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10000	3	42	2.82	77%	0.14	84.9	0.79%	0	0.9	65	0
2	Oct_30_2006	20.87	22.62	22.81	22.87			22.84(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	42	2.48	77%	0.14	70.1	0.8%	0	0.7	64	0
3	Oct_27_2006	20.84	22.57	22.81	22.87			22.76(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	0	57	2.35	79%	0.14	65.1	0.82%	0	0.6	63	0
4	Oct_26_2006	20.81	22.53	22.78	22.88			23.06(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	80	2.17	84%	0.14	69.5	0.8%	0	1.6	74	0
5	Oct_25_2006	20.78	22.48	22.75	22.79			22.94(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	9	77	1.33	85%	0.1	69.4	0.8%	0	1.4	73	0

6	Oct_24_2006	20.76	22.43	22.69	22.71			22.74(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	2	63	2.2	85%	0.14	65.7	0.8%	0	1	68	0
7	Oct_23_2006	20.73	22.4	22.66	22.69			22.9(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	20	-10000	2	72	1.3	85%	0.1	72	0.81%	0	1.6	83	0
8	Oct_20_2006	20.71	22.36	22.6	22.67			22.76(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	20	-10000	-1	83	1.74	76%	0.1	71.1	0.82%	0	1.2	83	0
9	Oct_19_2006	20.69	22.3	22.56	22.68			22.62(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-1	93	1.98	78%	0.1	71.1	0.85%	0	0.9	72	0
10	Oct_18_2006	20.67	22.26	22.53	22.69			22.55(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	28	-10000	3	104	3.76	78%	0.1	73.2	0.86%	0	0.9	67	0

11	Oct_17_2006	20.65	22.23	22.5	22.66			22.61(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	5	112	7.45	78%	0.1	73.2	0.86%	0	1.1	72	0
12	Oct_16_2006	20.63	22.18	22.44	22.61			22.8(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	9	104	1.9	78%	0.1	69.6	0.85%	0	1.8	69	0
13	Oct_13_2006	20.61	22.12	22.35	22.52			22.81(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	11	87	2.93	73%	0.1	73.2	0.85%	0	2.1	73	0
14	Oct_12_2006	20.59	22.06	22.26	22.42			22.7(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	26	-10000	8	78	2.43	68%	0.15	80.9	0.88%	0	2.1	78	0
15	Oct_11_2006	20.56	22.01	22.2	22.34			22.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	1	70	1.48	66%	0.1	95.1	0.9%	0	1.3	68	0

16	Oct_10_2006	20.54	21.97	22.16	22.33			22.38(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	9	74	1.59	64%	0.1	109.3	0.9%	0	1.6	60	0
17	Oct_9_2006	20.52	21.93	22.13	22.24			22.36(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	10	74	0.53	64%	0.1	97.7	0.92%	0	1.5	67	0
18	Oct_6_2006	20.5	21.88	22.09	22.14			22.3(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	6	64	1.65	64%	0.1	79.6	0.93%	0	1.4	63	0
19	Oct_5_2006	20.48	21.82	22.02	22.08			22.29(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	5	53	1.71	60%	0.05	65	0.93%	0	1.3	62	0
20	Oct_4_2006	20.47	21.76	21.97	22.03			22.3(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	6	47	6.26	60%	0.1	56.4	0.95%	0	1.5	63	0

21	Oct_3_2006	20.45	21.69	21.93	21.97			21.96(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-3	42	2.06	58%	0.05	53.5	0.94%	0	0.8	59	0
22	Oct_2_2006	20.44	21.66	21.89	22			21.84(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-3	47	4.17	58%	0.05	63.1	0.94%	0	0.5	56	0
23	Sep_29_2006	20.43	21.64	21.88	22.03			22(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	8	70	1.19	61%	0.05	71	0.94%	0	1	69	0
24	Sep_28_2006	20.42	21.6	21.85	21.95			22.07(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	6	70	2.27	61%	0	72.2	0.99%	0	1.3	74	0
25	Sep_27_2006	20.42	21.56	21.81	21.88			21.96(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	0	78	5.31	59%		81	0.99%	0	1.2	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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