Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 14, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.6900 (0.23%) ($21.5000 - $21.7600) on Thu. Sep. 14, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $21.6900(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    GLD(3%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.47(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.33(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.09(2.84%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2006	20.42	21.09	21.33	21.47			21.69(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	15	79	1.48	57%	-0.05	104.5	1.02%	0	1.8	74	0
2	Sep_13_2006	20.43	21.04	21.28	21.31			21.64(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	26	-10000	11	72	1.7	57%	0	112.2	1.02%	0	1.9	75	0
3	Sep_12_2006	20.43	20.97	21.22	21.19			21.64(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	5	63	1.42	54%	-0.05	112.2	1.02%	0	2.2	71	0
4	Sep_11_2006	20.44	20.89	21.15	21.19			21.27(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	60	3.2	52%	0	98.8	1.03%	0	1.1	66	0
5	Sep_8_2006	20.44	20.81	21.1	21.14			21.09(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-2	59	1.89	52%	-0.1	83.2	1.03%	0	0.7	58	0

6	Sep_7_2006	20.46	20.75	21.06	21.16			20.92(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-6	61	1.84	50%	-0.05	76.2	1.02%	0	0.4	56	0
7	Sep_6_2006	20.47	20.7	21.04	21.23			21.04(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-2	72	1.33	50%	-0.05	75.2	1.04%	0	0.7	63	0
8	Sep_5_2006	20.48	20.63	21.01	21.25			21.39(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	9	93	2.46	50%	-0.05	71.9	1.01%	0	1.4	81	0
9	Sep_1_2006	20.49	20.55	20.93	21.16			21.28(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10000	10	100	4.03	52%	-0.05	65.9	1.02%	0	1.3	85	0
10	Aug_31_2006	20.5	20.47	20.89	21.05			21.19(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	9	112	1.11	52%	-0.05	61.7	1.04%	0	1.3	86	0

11	Aug_30_2006	20.51	20.4	20.84	20.95			21.27(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	13	124	2.01	50%	0	60.8	1.04%	0	1.6	84	0
12	Aug_29_2006	20.51	20.32	20.78	20.81			21.12(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	-10000	7	123	1.77	50%	-0.1	58.2	1.07%	0	1.5	83	0
13	Aug_28_2006	20.53	20.24	20.7	20.73			20.93(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	4	131	1.38	50%	-0.05	57.9	1.07%	0	1.4	83	0
14	Aug_25_2006	20.54	20.18	20.6	20.68			20.74(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	31	-10000	-2	129	0.96	51%	-0.1	63.1	1.07%	0	1.2	78	0
15	Aug_24_2006	20.56	20.13	20.5	20.7			20.68(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	33	-10000	-1	135	1.14	52%	-0.1	73	1.07%	0	1.2	74	0

16	Aug_23_2006	20.58	20.08	20.42	20.71			20.6(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-10000	-2	139	2.5	52%	-0.05	79.5	1.08%	0	1.1	71	0
17	Aug_22_2006	20.59	20.02	20.34	20.73			20.7(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	7	148	1.02	51%	-0.1	81.3	1.08%	0	1.5	75	0
18	Aug_21_2006	20.61	19.96	20.23	20.65			20.69(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	14	144	1.59	51%	-0.05	83.1	1.09%	0	1.6	78	0
19	Aug_18_2006	20.62	19.89	20.13	20.49			20.83(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	-10000	20	121	0.76	51%	-0.1	74.8	1.09%	0	2.1	71	0
20	Aug_17_2006	20.64	19.8	20.02	20.27			20.75(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	-10000	17	86	1.84	49%	-0.05	66.2	1.09%	0	2.3	69	0

21	Aug_16_2006	20.65	19.72	19.92	20.08			20.66(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	-10000	16	66	4.19	48%	-0.1	63.8	1.1%	0	2.7	73	0
22	Aug_15_2006	20.67	19.65	19.82	19.9			20.34(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	14	43	1.5	46%	-0.05	59.5	1.09%	0	2.4	67	0
23	Aug_14_2006	20.68	19.6	19.74	19.75			19.88(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	3	18	0.84	43%	-0.14	42.2	1.05%	0	1.1	61	0
24	Aug_11_2006	20.71	19.56	19.72	19.72			19.71(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-10000	-1	24	1.02	40%	-0.1	27.1	1.05%	0	0.6	64	0
25	Aug_10_2006	20.73	19.53	19.74	19.73			19.82(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	0	48	0.77	39%		12.3	1.07%	0	1.1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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