Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $21.9200 (0.55%) ($21.8300 - $21.9500) on Fri. May. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $21.9200(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    VWO(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-20%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.13(-8.17%)
Resistance Level   $22.03
5 Day Moving Average   $21.78(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.91(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.03(-0.5%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2006	21.81	22.03	21.91	21.78			21.92(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	2	-65	1.13	56%	0	-73.6	0.81%	0	-0.5	53	0
2	May_4_2006	21.81	22.05	21.93	21.76			21.8(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-12	-75	1.68	56%	0	-62.5	0.82%	0	-1.1	44	0
3	May_3_2006	21.81	22.09	21.97	21.87			21.72(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0.82	56%	0	-42.2	0.82%	0	-1.5	43	0
4	May_2_2006	21.81	22.12	22.03	21.94			21.77(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.88	53%	0	-26	0.83%	0	-1.5	45	0
5	May_1_2006	21.81	22.15	22.08	21.99			21.67(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-10	-10000	-8	-17	3.85	53%	-0.05	-18.9	0.84%	0	-2.3	38	0

6	Apr_28_2006	21.82	22.18	22.11	22.06			21.85(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-6	-15	2.91	52%	0.05	-9.9	0.83%	0	-1.8	41	0
7	Apr_27_2006	21.81	22.2	22.14	22.11			22.32(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	1	-18	2.65	58%	0	2.6	0.8%	0	0.7	43	0
8	Apr_26_2006	21.81	22.19	22.14	22.1			22.1(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-5	-36	2.45	56%	0	6.5	0.8%	0	-0.5	36	0
9	Apr_25_2006	21.81	22.18	22.11	22.14			22.02(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-6	-40	2.11	56%	0	6.2	0.8%	0	-0.9	41	0
10	Apr_24_2006	21.81	22.18	22.13	22.19			22.03(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-4	-10000	4	-28	0.59	56%	0	14.8	0.8%	0	-0.9	44	0

11	Apr_21_2006	21.81	22.18	22.15	22.16			22.06(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-1	-33	1.39	56%	0	9.1	0.8%	0	-0.8	49	0
12	Apr_20_2006	21.81	22.19	22.19	22.17			22.3(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	6	-22	2.02	53%	0.05	9.9	0.79%	0	0.6	51	0
13	Apr_19_2006	21.8	22.18	22.21	22.12			22.28(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	5	-20	1.17	54%	0	0	0.86%	0	0.6	52	0
14	Apr_18_2006	21.8	22.17	22.22	22.07			22.3(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	1	-17	0.85	52%	0.05	-7.4	0.87%	0	0.7	61	0
15	Apr_17_2006	21.79	22.16	22.21	22.06			21.86(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-9	-19	2.6	47%	0	-1.3	0.84%	0	-1.8	46	0

16	Apr_13_2006	21.79	22.18	22.25	22.14			22.1(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.9	49%	0	23.6	0.84%	0	-0.5	52	0
17	Apr_12_2006	21.79	22.17	22.26	22.22			22.07(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-11	18	2.62	49%	0.05	51.4	0.84%	0	-0.6	53	0
18	Apr_11_2006	21.78	22.17	22.28	22.32			22.03(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	6	-10000	-6	41	2.47	50%	0	80.6	0.84%	0	-0.9	51	0
19	Apr_10_2006	21.78	22.18	22.27	22.38			22.23(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-1	50	1.17	52%	0.05	93.5	0.84%	0	0.3	56	0
20	Apr_7_2006	21.77	22.16	22.26	22.39			22.26(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	16	-10000	3	53	1.67	52%	0.05	80	0.84%	0	0.5	54	0

21	Apr_6_2006	21.76	22.14	22.25	22.36			22.52(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	5	51	1.65	57%	0.05	64.6	0.83%	0	1.7	63	0
22	Apr_5_2006	21.75	22.09	22.2	22.31			22.54(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-10000	6	42	2.74	57%	0.09	50.5	0.85%	0	2.1	65	0
23	Apr_4_2006	21.73	22.05	22.15	22.25			22.35(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	11	29	1.99	58%	0.05	36.3	0.85%	0	1.5	54	0
24	Apr_3_2006	21.72	22.02	22.12	22.15			22.27(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	3	10	3.3	61%	0.05	29.3	0.86%	0	1.4	57	0
25	Mar_31_2006	21.71	22.01	22.1	22.12			22.14(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	1	13	1.62	61%		27.3	0.89%	0	0.8	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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