Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 8, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.4500 (1.79%) ($20.0700 - $20.4600) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $20.4500(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    VWO(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.13(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.07(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.16(1.44%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2005	19.7	20.16	20.07	20.13			20.45(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	3	-10000	11	-21	1.27	49%	0	-12.7	0.9%	0	1.8	52	0
2	Jul_7_2005	19.7	20.16	20.04	20.13			20.09(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	0	-48	1.15	48%	0	-39.2	0.88%	0	-0.4	43	0
3	Jul_6_2005	19.7	20.15	20.06	20.03			20.05(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-1	-44	0.54	48%	0	-44.6	0.89%	0	-0.7	43	0
4	Jul_5_2005	19.7	20.15	20.09	20.04			20.1(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	7	-34	0.64	48%	-0.05	-44.6	0.89%	0	-0.4	50	0
5	Jul_1_2005	19.71	20.16	20.11	19.98			19.97(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-1	-47	0.98	46%	0	-62.3	0.88%	0	-1.4	42	0

6	Jun_30_2005	19.71	20.18	20.14	19.99			19.92(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-7	-46	0.83	49%	0	-60.8	0.88%	0	-1.7	44	0
7	Jun_29_2005	19.71	20.21	20.18	20.05			20.11(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-7	-34	0.59	50%	0	-42	0.89%	0	-0.7	44	0
8	Jun_28_2005	19.71	20.22	20.19	20.11			20.08(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-6	-21	0.56	50%	0	-24.6	0.9%	0	-1	48	0
9	Jun_27_2005	19.71	20.23	20.2	20.16			19.83(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-11	-10000	-10	-13	1.54	47%	0	-11.6	0.88%	0	-2.9	41	0
10	Jun_24_2005	19.71	20.25	20.25	20.25			19.99(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-4	-10000	-7	5	0.77	47%	0	20.4	0.89%	0	-2.6	43	0

11	Jun_23_2005	19.71	20.27	20.25	20.31			20.24(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-1	18	0.87	50%	0	61.4	0.87%	0	-0.3	50	0
12	Jun_22_2005	19.71	20.26	20.27	20.32			20.4(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	3	16	0.74	48%	0	75	0.86%	0	1.6	45	0
13	Jun_21_2005	19.71	20.25	20.25	20.29			20.36(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	5	5	0.71	48%	0.05	97.7	0.87%	0	1.2	48	0
14	Jun_20_2005	19.7	20.24	20.23	20.25			20.27(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	1	-7	0.7	48%	0	111.4	0.87%	0	0.3	54	0
15	Jun_17_2005	19.7	20.23	20.23	20.24			20.3(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.58	48%	0.05	130.6	0.87%	0	0.7	49	0

16	Jun_16_2005	19.69	20.22	20.22	20.24			20.29(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	0	-19	0.59	46%	0	150	0.87%	0	0.6	48	0
17	Jun_15_2005	19.69	20.2	20.23	20.22			20.25(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	2	-8	0.5	45%	0.05	156.3	0.88%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Jun_14_2005	19.68	20.17	20.24	20.22			20.13(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	0	-6	0.54	45%	0	127	0.89%	0	-0.2	49	0
19	Jun_13_2005	19.68	20.14	20.25	20.22			20.25(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1	-10000	0	-3	0.73	45%	0.05	107	0.89%	0	0.5	56	0
20	Jun_10_2005	19.67	20.1	20.26	20.2			20.17(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-1	4	0.45	43%	0	92.1	0.9%	0	0.3	56	0

21	Jun_9_2005	19.67	20.05	20.27	20.21			20.28(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-4	16	1.75	43%	0.05	76	0.9%	0	0.7	61	0
22	Jun_8_2005	19.66	20	20.27	20.25			20.18(0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-4	30	0.6	41%	-0.05	70.5	0.9%	0	0.4	62	0
23	Jun_7_2005	19.67	19.94	20.27	20.29			20.14(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-1	56	1.03	41%	0.05	65.9	0.91%	0	0.4	69	0
24	Jun_6_2005	19.66	19.9	20.26	20.3			20.22(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10000	-2	75	1.74	41%	0	68.2	0.91%	0	0.7	73	0
25	Jun_3_2005	19.66	19.85	20.24	20.32			20.25(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-2	101	0.58	41%		69.2	0.91%	0	0.8	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.