Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 23, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.1000 (0.35%) ($20.0400 - $20.1800) on Mon. May. 23, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $20.1000(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    VWO(75%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.93(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.6(2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.3(4.15%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2005	19.68	19.3	19.6	19.93			20.1(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	-10000	13	151	1.02	43%	-0.05	70.2	0.92%	0	1.9	84	0
2	May_20_2005	19.69	19.23	19.51	19.81			20.03(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	48	-10000	15	147	0.47	43%	-0.1	73.4	0.91%	0	2.1	85	0
3	May_19_2005	19.71	19.17	19.42	19.68			20(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	48	-10000	20	133	0.86	43%	-0.05	79.1	0.92%	0	2.4	84	0
4	May_18_2005	19.72	19.12	19.32	19.5			19.89(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	41	-10000	17	112	1.38	43%	-0.05	71	0.92%	0	2.5	85	0
5	May_17_2005	19.73	19.05	19.24	19.35			19.61(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-10000	14	91	0.42	38%	-0.05	55.1	0.91%	0	2.2	71	0

6	May_16_2005	19.74	19	19.17	19.23			19.54(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	-10000	8	71	0.72	38%	-0.05	29.4	0.93%	0	2.3	71	0
7	May_13_2005	19.75	18.95	19.1	19.16			19.36(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	6	57	1.86	36%	-0.05	3.3	0.91%	0	1.8	61	0
8	May_12_2005	19.76	18.91	19.05	19.16			19.12(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	0	49	0.3	33%	-0.15	-26.1	0.9%	0	1	60	0
9	May_11_2005	19.79	18.9	19.01	19.16			19.1(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	0	37	1.86	35%	-0.1	-37.7	0.91%	0	0.9	50	0
10	May_10_2005	19.81	18.91	18.99	19.11			19.01(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	1	49	0.35	35%	-0.05	-35	0.91%	0	0.4	62	0

11	May_9_2005	19.82	18.93	18.97	19.1			19.21(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	8	56	0.27	34%	-0.1	-32	0.9%	0	1	61	0
12	May_6_2005	19.84	18.94	18.94	19.03			19.13(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	6	55	0.35	34%	-0.15	-35.5	0.92%	0	0.6	65	0
13	May_5_2005	19.87	18.96	18.94	18.98			19.08(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	9	59	0.72	34%	-0.1	-34.6	0.92%	0	0.3	64	0
14	May_4_2005	19.89	18.99	18.91	18.9			19.11(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	43	0.42	38%	-0.15	-36.4	0.93%	0	0.3	50	0
15	May_3_2005	19.92	19	18.85	18.86			18.98(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	11	0.29	38%	-0.1	-40	0.95%	0	-0.1	43	0

16	May_2_2005	19.94	19.03	18.82	18.83			18.85(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-24	0.32	38%	-0.15	-38.5	0.95%	0	-0.5	36	0
17	Apr_29_2005	19.97	19.06	18.79	18.85			18.87(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	1	-49	0.42	38%	-0.15	-37.1	0.94%	0	-0.5	39	0
18	Apr_28_2005	20	19.08	18.75	18.84			18.7(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-8	-90	0.36	38%	-0.1	-36.7	0.94%	0	-0.9	35	0
19	Apr_27_2005	20.02	19.13	18.79	18.91			18.89(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	-10000	8	-94	0.43	39%	-0.15	-30.1	0.93%	0	-0.6	35	0
20	Apr_26_2005	20.05	19.16	18.82	18.84			18.82(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	-10000	2	-115	0.54	41%	-0.15	-33.3	0.93%	0	-0.9	40	0

21	Apr_25_2005	20.08	19.18	18.89	18.82			18.95(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	10	-114	0.79	41%	-0.15	-37.4	0.94%	0	-0.6	41	0
22	Apr_22_2005	20.11	19.2	18.94	18.73			18.82(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	8	-135	0.65	41%	-0.1	-44.8	0.93%	0	-1	39	0
23	Apr_21_2005	20.13	19.23	19.01	18.73			19.05(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-37	-10000	0	-147	1.47	43%	-0.15	-53.5	0.93%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Apr_20_2005	20.16	19.25	19.07	18.66			18.55(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-10000	-19	-164	0.8	37%	-0.1	-56.9	0.86%	0	-1.8	31	0
25	Apr_19_2005	20.18	19.29	19.17	18.81			18.72(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-22	-139	0.71	35%		-58	0.86%	0	-1.7	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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