Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 25, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $18.9500 (0.69%) ($18.8800 - $19.0500) on Mon. Apr. 25, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $18.9500(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.91(-21.32%)
Resistance Level   $19.18
5 Day Moving Average   $18.82(0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.89(0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.18(-1.2%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2005	20.08	19.18	18.89	18.82			18.95(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	10	-114	0.79	41%	-0.15	-37.4	0.94%	0	-0.6	41	0
2	Apr_22_2005	20.11	19.2	18.94	18.73			18.82(-1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	8	-135	0.65	41%	-0.1	-44.8	0.93%	0	-1	39	0
3	Apr_21_2005	20.13	19.23	19.01	18.73			19.05(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-37	-10000	0	-147	1.47	43%	-0.15	-53.5	0.93%	0	-0.5	44	0
4	Apr_20_2005	20.16	19.25	19.07	18.66			18.55(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-10000	-19	-164	0.8	37%	-0.1	-56.9	0.86%	0	-1.8	31	0
5	Apr_19_2005	20.18	19.29	19.17	18.81			18.72(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-22	-139	0.71	35%	-0.15	-58	0.86%	0	-1.7	34	0

6	Apr_18_2005	20.21	19.33	19.25	18.99			18.49(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-42	-10000	-23	-97	2.04	35%	-0.1	-54.2	0.88%	0	-2.6	38	0
7	Apr_15_2005	20.23	19.38	19.35	19.18			18.47(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-35	-10000	-27	-59	1.39	35%	-0.1	-56.6	0.89%	0	-3.6	35	0
8	Apr_14_2005	20.25	19.44	19.46	19.41			19.05(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-15	-10000	-16	-12	0.66	39%	-0.1	-71.4	0.82%	0	-2.6	44	0
9	Apr_13_2005	20.27	19.47	19.51	19.54			19.32(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	4	-10000	-4	29	0.79	40%	-0.1	-75.8	0.8%	0	-1.2	50	0
10	Apr_12_2005	20.29	19.49	19.53	19.57			19.6(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	3	48	0.64	42%	-0.1	-76.1	0.79%	0	0.8	61	0

11	Apr_11_2005	20.31	19.5	19.5	19.57			19.48(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	36	0.72	41%	-0.05	-71.3	0.79%	0	-0.1	51	0
12	Apr_8_2005	20.32	19.52	19.49	19.55			19.59(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	5	36	0.43	41%	-0.1	-70.1	0.79%	0	0.4	54	0
13	Apr_7_2005	20.34	19.55	19.47	19.51			19.73(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	4	21	0.66	41%	-0.1	-60.2	0.79%	0	0.8	54	0
14	Apr_6_2005	20.36	19.56	19.43	19.48			19.47(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-1	5	0.45	37%	-0.05	-60.9	0.77%	0	-0.4	45	0
15	Apr_5_2005	20.37	19.59	19.43	19.49			19.5(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-10000	7	-7	0.55	37%	-0.1	-55.2	0.77%	0	-0.3	38	0

16	Apr_4_2005	20.39	19.62	19.41	19.44			19.46(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.96	34%	-0.1	-50.6	0.77%	0	-0.5	31	0
17	Apr_1_2005	20.41	19.66	19.4	19.44			19.39(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	0	-58	2.05	34%	-0.05	-49.1	0.8%	0	-0.8	32	0
18	Mar_31_2005	20.42	19.69	19.4	19.42			19.56(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	5	-78	0.55	36%	-0.05	-48.5	0.8%	0	-0.4	29	0
19	Mar_30_2005	20.43	19.71	19.42	19.38			19.53(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	7	-104	0.93	36%	-0.05	-43.9	0.8%	0	-0.5	32	0
20	Mar_29_2005	20.44	19.75	19.44	19.33			19.24(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-5	-138	0.74	31%	-0.1	-41.8	0.77%	0	-1.5	20	0

21	Mar_28_2005	20.46	19.78	19.51	19.37			19.39(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10000	-1	-141	0.65	32%	-0.05	-40.1	0.77%	0	-1.2	19	0
22	Mar_24_2005	20.47	19.82	19.55	19.38			19.37(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-5	-150	0.45	32%	-0.05	-41	0.77%	0	-1.5	27	0
23	Mar_23_2005	20.48	19.84	19.63	19.42			19.36(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-5	-139	0.66	32%	-0.05	-46.6	0.77%	0	-1.7	33	0
24	Mar_22_2005	20.49	19.86	19.7	19.46			19.28(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-10000	-13	-138	1.54	32%	-0.05	-55.9	0.77%	0	-2.1	27	0
25	Mar_21_2005	20.5	19.89	19.78	19.56			19.45(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-41	-10000	-13	-123	0.85	37%		-60.3	0.77%	0	-1.8	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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