Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 21, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.4500 (0%) ($19.3500 - $19.5600) on Mon. Mar. 21, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $19.4500(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.3(-11.05%)
Resistance Level   $19.89
5 Day Moving Average   $19.56(-0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.78(-1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.89(-2.21%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2005	20.5	19.89	19.78	19.56			19.45(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-41	-10000	-13	-123	0.85	37%	0	-60.3	0.77%	0	-1.8	29	0
2	Mar_18_2005	20.5	19.92	19.86	19.66			19.45(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-10000	-12	-90	1.35	37%	-0.05	-60	0.78%	0	-2.1	39	0
3	Mar_17_2005	20.51	19.94	19.93	19.75			19.56(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-15	-70	0.34	33%	0	-58.9	0.78%	0	-2	40	0
4	Mar_16_2005	20.51	19.98	19.98	19.87			19.57(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-19	-10000	-12	-38	0.57	33%	0	-37.8	0.84%	0	-2.3	45	0
5	Mar_15_2005	20.51	20.02	20.04	19.97			19.77(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-7	-4	0.33	35%	0	-23.5	0.83%	0	-1.5	54	0

6	Mar_14_2005	20.51	20.04	20.08	20.03			19.97(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-7	24	0.65	36%	0.05	-11.8	0.82%	0	-0.4	57	0
7	Mar_11_2005	20.5	20.05	20.09	20.09			19.89(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-10000	-6	39	0.57	40%	0	-4.7	0.83%	0	-0.9	52	0
8	Mar_10_2005	20.5	20.06	20.1	20.14			20.15(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	56	0.57	42%	0	5	0.82%	0	0.6	57	0
9	Mar_9_2005	20.5	20.05	20.07	20.11			20.06(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-1	37	0.95	42%	0.05	-3.8	0.82%	0	0.1	44	0
10	Mar_8_2005	20.49	20.05	20.04	20.12			20.1(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-2	20	0.74	42%	0	5.9	0.82%	0	0.2	43	0

11	Mar_7_2005	20.49	20.05	20.01	20.14			20.27(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	7	14	0.54	41%	0.05	15.6	0.82%	0	1.2	50	0
12	Mar_4_2005	20.48	20.06	19.97	20.08			20.12(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	2	-12	0.74	41%	0.05	17.8	0.82%	0	0.3	47	0
13	Mar_3_2005	20.47	20.06	19.95	20.06			19.99(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.4	41%	0.05	17.8	0.82%	0	-0.3	51	0
14	Mar_2_2005	20.46	20.06	19.97	20.03			20.14(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	10	-11	0.45	41%	0	21.1	0.82%	0	0.5	56	0
15	Mar_1_2005	20.46	20.05	19.97	19.95			20.19(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	11	-28	0.6	46%	0.05	18.9	0.82%	0	0.8	46	0

16	Feb_28_2005	20.45	20.05	19.98	19.86			19.95(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	1	-47	0.84	43%	0	15.3	0.84%	0	-0.5	43	0
17	Feb_25_2005	20.45	20.03	19.98	19.85			20.01(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	2	-53	0.58	43%	0	14.4	0.84%	0	-0.1	43	0
18	Feb_24_2005	20.45	20.02	20	19.83			19.88(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-10	-61	0.88	43%	0	8.4	0.84%	0	-0.7	50	0
19	Feb_23_2005	20.45	20.02	20.01	19.91			19.71(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-14	-52	1.04	41%	0	14.7	0.84%	0	-1.6	43	0
20	Feb_22_2005	20.45	20.02	20.07	20.03			19.77(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-11	-19	0.99	41%	0.05	13	0.84%	0	-1.2	45	0

21	Feb_18_2005	20.44	20.01	20.12	20.12			19.88(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.35	38%	0.05	10	0.85%	0	-0.6	51	0
22	Feb_17_2005	20.43	20.01	20.12	20.18			19.92(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	9	-10000	-1	38	0.46	41%	0.05	9.1	0.86%	0	-0.4	56	0
23	Feb_16_2005	20.42	20	20.16	20.19			20.25(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	7	50	0.54	44%	0.05	0.9	0.85%	0	1.1	65	0
24	Feb_15_2005	20.41	20	20.14	20.19			20.32(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	0	44	1.04	44%	0.1	-10.8	0.85%	0	1.4	67	0
25	Feb_14_2005	20.39	19.99	20.11	20.13			20.22(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	1	60	0.96	44%		-12.2	0.85%	0	1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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