Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 10, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.1500 (0.45%) ($19.9300 - $20.1700) on Thu. Mar. 10, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $20.1500(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    VWO(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.14(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.1(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.06(0.45%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2005	20.5	20.06	20.1	20.14			20.15(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	4	56	0.57	42%	0	5	0.82%	0	0.6	57	0
2	Mar_9_2005	20.5	20.05	20.07	20.11			20.06(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-1	37	0.95	42%	0.05	-3.8	0.82%	0	0.1	44	0
3	Mar_8_2005	20.49	20.05	20.04	20.12			20.1(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-2	20	0.74	42%	0	5.9	0.82%	0	0.2	43	0
4	Mar_7_2005	20.49	20.05	20.01	20.14			20.27(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	7	14	0.54	41%	0.05	15.6	0.82%	0	1.2	50	0
5	Mar_4_2005	20.48	20.06	19.97	20.08			20.12(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	2	-12	0.74	41%	0.05	17.8	0.82%	0	0.3	47	0

6	Mar_3_2005	20.47	20.06	19.95	20.06			19.99(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.4	41%	0.05	17.8	0.82%	0	-0.3	51	0
7	Mar_2_2005	20.46	20.06	19.97	20.03			20.14(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	10	-11	0.45	41%	0	21.1	0.82%	0	0.5	56	0
8	Mar_1_2005	20.46	20.05	19.97	19.95			20.19(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	11	-28	0.6	46%	0.05	18.9	0.82%	0	0.8	46	0
9	Feb_28_2005	20.45	20.05	19.98	19.86			19.95(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	1	-47	0.84	43%	0	15.3	0.84%	0	-0.5	43	0
10	Feb_25_2005	20.45	20.03	19.98	19.85			20.01(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	2	-53	0.58	43%	0	14.4	0.84%	0	-0.1	43	0

11	Feb_24_2005	20.45	20.02	20	19.83			19.88(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-10	-61	0.88	43%	0	8.4	0.84%	0	-0.7	50	0
12	Feb_23_2005	20.45	20.02	20.01	19.91			19.71(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-14	-52	1.04	41%	0	14.7	0.84%	0	-1.6	43	0
13	Feb_22_2005	20.45	20.02	20.07	20.03			19.77(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-11	-19	0.99	41%	0.05	13	0.84%	0	-1.2	45	0
14	Feb_18_2005	20.44	20.01	20.12	20.12			19.88(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.35	38%	0.05	10	0.85%	0	-0.6	51	0
15	Feb_17_2005	20.43	20.01	20.12	20.18			19.92(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	9	-10000	-1	38	0.46	41%	0.05	9.1	0.86%	0	-0.4	56	0

16	Feb_16_2005	20.42	20	20.16	20.19			20.25(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	7	50	0.54	44%	0.05	0.9	0.85%	0	1.1	65	0
17	Feb_15_2005	20.41	20	20.14	20.19			20.32(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	0	44	1.04	44%	0.1	-10.8	0.85%	0	1.4	67	0
18	Feb_14_2005	20.39	19.99	20.11	20.13			20.22(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	1	60	0.96	44%	0.05	-12.2	0.85%	0	1	70	0
19	Feb_11_2005	20.38	19.99	20.08	20.12			20.18(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-10000	-2	69	0.57	50%	0.05	-17.4	0.87%	0	0.9	70	0
20	Feb_10_2005	20.37	19.98	20.05	20.14			19.99(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	1	75	0.41	48%	0.05	-20.9	0.88%	0	0	59	0

21	Feb_9_2005	20.36	20	20.03	20.13			19.95(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-2	71	1.17	48%	0	-23.3	0.88%	0	-0.2	53	0
22	Feb_8_2005	20.36	20.01	20.02	20.15			20.3(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	6	74	0.49	51%	0.05	-25.6	0.86%	0	1.2	57	0
23	Feb_7_2005	20.35	20.01	19.95	20.1			20.2(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	7	40	0.93	51%	0.05	-38.5	0.86%	0	0.7	41	0
24	Feb_4_2005	20.34	20.02	19.88	20.04			20.26(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	12	10	0.85	54%	0.05	-54.1	0.86%	0	0.9	49	0
25	Feb_3_2005	20.33	20.03	19.83	19.94			19.93(-0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	-10000	4	-25	0.99	50%		-74.3	0.85%	0	-0.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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