Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 2, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.1400 (-0.25%) ($20.0000 - $20.2900) on Wed. Mar. 2, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $20.1400(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.03(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.97(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.05(0.45%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2005	20.46		19.97	20.03			20.14(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	10	-11	0.45	41%	0	21.1	0.82%	0	0.5	56	0
2	Mar_1_2005	20.46	20.05	19.97	19.95			20.19(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	11	-28	0.6	46%	0.05	18.9	0.82%	0	0.8	46	0
3	Feb_28_2005	20.45	20.05	19.98	19.86			19.95(-0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	-10000	1	-47	0.84	43%	0	15.3	0.84%	0	-0.5	43	0
4	Feb_25_2005	20.45	20.03	19.98	19.85			20.01(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	2	-53	0.58	43%	0	14.4	0.84%	0	-0.1	43	0
5	Feb_24_2005	20.45	20.02	20	19.83			19.88(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-10	-61	0.88	43%	0	8.4	0.84%	0	-0.7	50	0

6	Feb_23_2005	20.45	20.02	20.01	19.91			19.71(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-14	-52	1.04	41%	0	14.7	0.84%	0	-1.6	43	0
7	Feb_22_2005	20.45	20.02	20.07	20.03			19.77(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-11	-19	0.99	41%	0.05	13	0.84%	0	-1.2	45	0
8	Feb_18_2005	20.44	20.01	20.12	20.12			19.88(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-7	8	0.35	38%	0.05	10	0.85%	0	-0.6	51	0
9	Feb_17_2005	20.43	20.01	20.12	20.18			19.92(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	9	-10000	-1	38	0.46	41%	0.05	9.1	0.86%	0	-0.4	56	0
10	Feb_16_2005	20.42	20	20.16	20.19			20.25(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	7	50	0.54	44%	0.05	0.9	0.85%	0	1.1	65	0

11	Feb_15_2005	20.41	20	20.14	20.19			20.32(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	0	44	1.04	44%	0.1	-10.8	0.85%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Feb_14_2005	20.39	19.99	20.11	20.13			20.22(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	1	60	0.96	44%	0.05	-12.2	0.85%	0	1	70	0
13	Feb_11_2005	20.38	19.99	20.08	20.12			20.18(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-10000	-2	69	0.57	50%	0.05	-17.4	0.87%	0	0.9	70	0
14	Feb_10_2005	20.37	19.98	20.05	20.14			19.99(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	1	75	0.41	48%	0.05	-20.9	0.88%	0	0	59	0
15	Feb_9_2005	20.36	20	20.03	20.13			19.95(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-2	71	1.17	48%	0	-23.3	0.88%	0	-0.2	53	0

16	Feb_8_2005	20.36	20.01	20.02	20.15			20.3(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	6	74	0.49	51%	0.05	-25.6	0.86%	0	1.2	57	0
17	Feb_7_2005	20.35	20.01	19.95	20.1			20.2(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	7	40	0.93	51%	0.05	-38.5	0.86%	0	0.7	41	0
18	Feb_4_2005	20.34	20.02	19.88	20.04			20.26(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	12	10	0.85	54%	0.05	-54.1	0.86%	0	0.9	49	0
19	Feb_3_2005	20.33	20.03	19.83	19.94			19.93(-0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	-10000	4	-25	0.99	50%	0.05	-74.3	0.85%	0	-0.4	43	0
20	Feb_2_2005	20.32	20.05	19.82	19.91			20.05(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	6	-47	0.46	50%	0.05	-82	0.85%	0	0	40	0

21	Feb_1_2005	20.31	20.08	19.81	19.86			20.04(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	9	-64	0.7	50%	0.05	-93.5	0.85%	0	-0.1	44	0
22	Jan_31_2005	20.3	20.12	19.84	19.78			19.92(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	8	-84	1.31	50%	0	-89.4	0.85%	0	-0.6	36	0
23	Jan_28_2005	20.3	20.17	19.87	19.71			19.78(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	1	-109	0.34	50%	0.05	-84.7	0.85%	0	-1	32	0
24	Jan_27_2005	20.29	20.24	19.9	19.7			19.78(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-1	-122	0.72	55%	0.1	-77.9	0.85%	0	-1	34	0
25	Jan_26_2005	20.27	20.3	19.96	19.71			19.8(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-6	-119	0.36	55%		-72.5	0.9%	0	-1	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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