Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 28, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $19.7800 (0%) ($19.6200 - $19.9200) on Fri. Jan. 28, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $19.7800(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.93(-19.46%)
Resistance Level   $20.17
5 Day Moving Average   $19.71(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.87(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.17(-1.93%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2005	20.3	20.17	19.87	19.71			19.78(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	1	-109	0.34	50%	0.05	-84.7	0.85%	0	-1	32	0
2	Jan_27_2005	20.29	20.24	19.9	19.7			19.78(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-1	-122	0.72	55%	0.1	-77.9	0.85%	0	-1	34	0
3	Jan_26_2005	20.27	20.3	19.96	19.71			19.8(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-6	-119	0.36	55%	0.05	-72.5	0.9%	0	-1	33	0
4	Jan_25_2005	20.26	20.37	20	19.76			19.6(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-18	-129	1.06	53%	-0.05	-66.4	0.89%	0	-1.6	25	0
5	Jan_24_2005	20.27	20.44	20.09	19.92			19.57(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-40	-10000	-15	-113	0.98	53%	0.05	-59.6	0.89%	0	-1.9	19	0

6	Jan_21_2005	20.26	20.52	20.18	20.05			19.73(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-33	-10000	-10	-103	1.52	49%	0.05	-59.8	0.93%	0	-1.8	19	0
7	Jan_20_2005	20.25	20.6	20.25	20.14			19.87(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-36	-10000	-11	-111	1.01	49%	0.05	-62.3	0.93%	0	-1.7	19	0
8	Jan_19_2005	20.24	20.66	20.32	20.24			20.01(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-32	-10000	-5	-114	1.01	49%	0.1	-66.7	0.92%	0	-1.7	21	0
9	Jan_18_2005	20.22	20.7	20.37	20.24			20.44(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-32	-10000	0	-128	0.53	53%	0.15	-75.4	0.88%	0	-0.7	26	0
10	Jan_14_2005	20.19	20.73	20.41	20.29			20.22(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-5	-135	4.1	51%	0.05	-82.2	0.88%	0	-1.4	23	0

11	Jan_13_2005	20.18	20.79	20.5	20.33			20.16(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-37	-10000	-6	-131	1.18	51%	0.1	-76.4	0.88%	0	-1.7	18	0
12	Jan_12_2005	20.16	20.86	20.59	20.38			20.36(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-3	-122	2.79	53%	0.05	-69.8	0.88%	0	-1.3	23	0
13	Jan_11_2005	20.15	20.92	20.67	20.41			20.25(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-35	-10000	-6	-121	0.73	53%	0.1	-65.6	0.87%	0	-1.7	21	0
14	Jan_10_2005	20.13	20.99	20.76	20.46			20.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-35	-10000	-11	-106	0.49	56%	0.1	-67.6	0.87%	0	-1.5	39	0
15	Jan_7_2005	20.11	21.03	20.82	20.56			20.45(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-14	-87	0.4	52%	0.1	-69.3	0.89%	0	-1.7	35	0

16	Jan_6_2005	20.09	21.08	20.89	20.69			20.41(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-31	-10000	-16	-74	0.48	52%	0.05	-63.7	0.9%	0	-2	24	0
17	Jan_5_2005	20.08	21.13	20.97	20.84			20.47(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-26	-10000	-14	-62	0.81	52%	0.15	-57.7	0.9%	0	-2.2	23	0
18	Jan_4_2005	20.05	21.18	21.03	20.97			20.54(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-23	-10000	-13	-53	0.76	52%	0.1	-45.5	0.9%	0	-2.5	24	0
19	Jan_3_2005	20.03	21.24	21.07	21.09			20.93(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-2	-50	1.32	57%	0.15	-24.8	0.87%	0	-1.3	31	0
20	Dec_31_2004	20	21.27	21.08	21.11			21.11(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-1	-56	0.49	61%	0.15	-13.3	0.87%	0	-0.7	45	0

21	Dec_30_2004	19.97	21.29	21.11	21.11			21.15(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	0	-50	0.54	61%	0.15	-5.3	0.92%	0	-0.6	43	0
22	Dec_29_2004	19.94	21.29	21.14	21.12			21.14(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	2	-47	0.38	61%	0.15	1.8	0.92%	0	-0.7	42	0
23	Dec_28_2004	19.91	21.29	21.18	21.1			21.14(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	6	-44	0.49	61%	0.1	-0.9	0.93%	0	-0.6	42	0
24	Dec_27_2004	19.89	21.29	21.22	21.04			21.03(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	-10000	1	-62	0.24	61%	0.2	-6	0.92%	0	-1.1	32	0
25	Dec_23_2004	19.85	21.3	21.25	21.03			21.16(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-10000	-6	-77	1.49	61%		-12.4	0.93%	0	-0.6	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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