Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 10, 2005

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)
XLK latest price $20.4500 (0%) ($20.3900 - $20.6500) on Mon. Jan. 10, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $20.4500(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLK declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLK declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(92%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(85%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(74%)
Factors Impacting XLK price   XLK will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-11%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.3(-15.4%)
Resistance Level   $20.99
5 Day Moving Average   $20.46(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.76(-1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.99(-2.57%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2005	20.13	20.99	20.76	20.46			20.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-35	-10000	-11	-106	0.49	56%	0.1	-67.6	0.87%	0	-1.5	39	0
2	Jan_7_2005	20.11	21.03	20.82	20.56			20.45(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-14	-87	0.4	52%	0.1	-69.3	0.89%	0	-1.7	35	0
3	Jan_6_2005	20.09	21.08	20.89	20.69			20.41(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-31	-10000	-16	-74	0.48	52%	0.05	-63.7	0.9%	0	-2	24	0
4	Jan_5_2005	20.08	21.13	20.97	20.84			20.47(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-26	-10000	-14	-62	0.81	52%	0.15	-57.7	0.9%	0	-2.2	23	0
5	Jan_4_2005	20.05	21.18	21.03	20.97			20.54(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-23	-10000	-13	-53	0.76	52%	0.1	-45.5	0.9%	0	-2.5	24	0

6	Jan_3_2005	20.03	21.24	21.07	21.09			20.93(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-2	-50	1.32	57%	0.15	-24.8	0.87%	0	-1.3	31	0
7	Dec_31_2004	20	21.27	21.08	21.11			21.11(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-1	-56	0.49	61%	0.15	-13.3	0.87%	0	-0.7	45	0
8	Dec_30_2004	19.97	21.29	21.11	21.11			21.15(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	0	-50	0.54	61%	0.15	-5.3	0.92%	0	-0.6	43	0
9	Dec_29_2004	19.94	21.29	21.14	21.12			21.14(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	2	-47	0.38	61%	0.15	1.8	0.92%	0	-0.7	42	0
10	Dec_28_2004	19.91	21.29	21.18	21.1			21.14(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	6	-44	0.49	61%	0.1	-0.9	0.93%	0	-0.6	42	0

11	Dec_27_2004	19.89	21.29	21.22	21.04			21.03(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	-10000	1	-62	0.24	61%	0.2	-6	0.92%	0	-1.1	32	0
12	Dec_23_2004	19.85	21.29	21.25	21.03			21.16(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-24	-10000	-6	-77	1.49	61%	0.1	-12.4	0.93%	0	-0.6	37	0
13	Dec_22_2004	19.83	21.29	21.27	21.09			21.11(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-9	-71	0.63	57%	0.1	-6.8	0.93%	0	-0.8	42	0
14	Dec_21_2004	19.81	21.29	21.3	21.18			21.07(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-10	-57	1.96	57%	0.05	1.7	0.96%	0	-0.9	43	0
15	Dec_20_2004	19.8	21.3	21.34	21.28			20.84(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-14	-31	0.33	55%	0.1	9.8	0.95%	0	-1.8	51	0

16	Dec_17_2004	19.78	21.31	21.43	21.42			20.96(-2.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-3	-10000	-7	10	0.48	55%	0.05	26.5	0.95%	0	-1.5	50	0
17	Dec_16_2004	19.77	21.33	21.43	21.49			21.48(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	2	41	0.66	62%	0.15	46.3	0.89%	0	0.7	63	0
18	Dec_15_2004	19.74	21.32	21.5	21.47			21.57(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	15	-10000	4	49	0.5	57%	0.1	59.3	0.89%	0	1.1	64	0
19	Dec_14_2004	19.72	21.3	21.48	21.43			21.57(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	3	56	1.7	57%	0.15	63	0.92%	0	1.2	68	0
20	Dec_13_2004	19.69	21.27	21.42	21.4			21.53(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	9	-10000	-4	47	0.59	57%	0.15	72.8	0.92%	0	1.2	64	0

21	Dec_10_2004	19.66	21.25	21.38	21.44			21.28(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-7	57	0.52	58%	0.1	85.6	0.91%	0	0.1	60	0
22	Dec_9_2004	19.64	21.23	21.37	21.51			21.39(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-1	65	0.75	61%	0.1	92.9	0.92%	0	0.7	51	0
23	Dec_8_2004	19.62	21.19	21.34	21.52			21.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-1	64	0.43	61%	0.1	86.4	0.94%	0	0.7	53	0
24	Dec_7_2004	19.6	21.15	21.3	21.53			21.42(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	9	68	0.93	61%	0.15	93.4	0.94%	0	0.9	60	0
25	Dec_6_2004	19.57	21.12	21.26	21.44			21.71(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	12	52	0.35	64%		91.5	0.92%	0	2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.